|
Author |
Message |
|
TAGS:
|
|
|
SVP
Joined: 21 Jul 2006
Posts: 1553
Followers: 6
Kudos [?]:
105
[1] , given: 1
|
A fair coin with sides marked heads and tails is to be [#permalink]
08 Dec 2007, 09:36
1
This post received KUDOS
Question Stats:
70% (02:29) correct
30% (01:06) wrong based on 10 sessions
A fair coin with sides marked heads and tails is to be tossed eight times. What is the probability that the coin will land tails side up more than five times?
a) 37/256
b) 56/256
c) 65/256
d) 70/256
e) 81/256
Please provide your explanation
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Director
Joined: 12 Jul 2007
Posts: 875
Followers: 8
Kudos [?]:
137
[1] , given: 0
|
1
This post received KUDOS
Is it A?
Landing on tails more than 5 times means tails has to hit 6, 7 or 8 times.
8!/6!2! = 7*4 = 28
8!/7!1! = 8
8!/8! = 1
28 + 8 + 1 = 37/256
|
|
|
|
|
|
VP
Joined: 22 Nov 2007
Posts: 1108
Followers: 6
Kudos [?]:
80
[1] , given: 0
|
1
This post received KUDOS
tarek99 wrote: OA is A. A is correct: P= nCm * p^m * q^n-m= 8C6*1/2^6 * 1/2^2 + 8C7 * 1/2^7 *1/2 + 8C8 1/2^8=28+8+1/256= 37/256
|
|
|
|
|
|
CEO
Joined: 29 Mar 2007
Posts: 2618
Followers: 13
Kudos [?]:
145
[0], given: 0
|
Re: PS: Another Probability [#permalink]
16 Jan 2008, 23:30
tarek99 wrote: A fair coin with sides marked heads and tails is to be tossed eight times. What is the probability that the coin will land tails side up more than five times?
a) 37/256
b) 56/256
c) 65/256
d) 70/256
e) 81/256
Please provide your explanation This actually is not that bad at all. I did it in less than 2 min in my head. Just gotta think about it logically. List the winning scenarios: 6 tails 2 heads 1/2^8 we have 8!/6!2! ways to arrage TTTTTTHH so 28/256 7 tails 1 head 8!/1!7! ---> 8/256 8 tails 8!/8! --> 1/256 28+8+1 = 37 --> 37/256 A
|
|
|
|
|
|
CEO
Joined: 17 Nov 2007
Posts: 3608
Concentration: Entrepreneurship, Other
Schools: Chicago (Booth) - Class of 2011
GMAT 1: 750 Q50 V40
Followers: 240
Kudos [?]:
1322
[0], given: 347
|
Re: PS: Another Probability [#permalink]
17 Jan 2008, 03:13
my 2 cents I tried to go from the other side and made a mistake. the wrong logic: the probability more than 4 tails is \frac12 (due to symmetry), the probability for 5 tails is \frac{C^8_5}{2^8}=\frac{56}{256}. therefore, p=\frac12-\frac{56}{256}=\frac{72}{256}the right logic: we have 9 variants for the number of tails: 0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8. Therefore, correct formula with symmetry approach is: p=\frac12-\frac12*\frac{C^8_4}{2^8}-\frac{C^8_5}{2^8}=\frac{128}{256}-\frac12*\frac{70}{256}-\frac{56}{256}=\frac{37}{256}
_________________
NEW! GMAT ToolKit 2 (iOS) / GMAT ToolKit (Android) - The must have GMAT prep app | PrepGame
|
|
|
|
|
|
SVP
Joined: 28 Dec 2005
Posts: 1612
Followers: 1
Kudos [?]:
54
[0], given: 2
|
Re: PS: Another Probability [#permalink]
27 Jan 2008, 17:40
getting the hang of using binomial theorem for these types of questions:
answer will be sum of probabilities of getting 6 , 7 or 8 heads
for 6 heads: (8C6)*(1/2)^6*(1/2)^2 = 28/256
for 7 heads: 8/256
for 8 heads: 1/256
sum is 37/256
|
|
|
|
|
|
Director
Joined: 03 Sep 2006
Posts: 909
Followers: 5
Kudos [?]:
35
[0], given: 33
|
Re: PS: Another Probability [#permalink]
27 Jan 2008, 19:45
tarek99 wrote: A fair coin with sides marked heads and tails is to be tossed eight times. What is the probability that the coin will land tails side up more than five times?
a) 37/256
b) 56/256
c) 65/256
d) 70/256
e) 81/256
Please provide your explanation First mistake which I did, I calculated it as "at least 5 times", but question clearly states "more" than five times! I should be more careful in reading the questions! This is basically Bernoulli's formula. 8C6*(1/2)^6*(1/2)^2 + 8C7*(1/2)^7*(1/2) + 8C8*(1/2)^8(1/2^8)*[ 8C6 + 8C7 + 8C8 ] = 37/2^8
|
|
|
|
|
|
SVP
Joined: 04 May 2006
Posts: 1946
Schools: CBS, Kellogg
Followers: 10
Kudos [?]:
170
[0], given: 1
|
Re: PS: Another Probability [#permalink]
27 Jan 2008, 22:46
LM wrote: tarek99 wrote: A fair coin with sides marked heads and tails is to be tossed eight times. What is the probability that the coin will land tails side up more than five times?
a) 37/256
b) 56/256
c) 65/256
d) 70/256
e) 81/256
Please provide your explanation First mistake which I did, I calculated it as "at least 5 times", but question clearly states "more" than five times! I should be more careful in reading the questions! This is basically Bernoulli's formula. 8C6*(1/2)^6*(1/2)^2 + 8C7*(1/2)^7*(1/2) + 8C8*(1/2)^8(1/2^8)*[ 8C6 + 8C7 + 8C8 ] = 37/2^8 How my mistake the same to your! I start off by 5 coins landing tail. And one more, I calculate 2^8 is only 64. Comparing with Answer series, my god, I made a stupid mistake. Cheer!
_________________
Find out what's new at GMAT Club - latest features and updates
|
|
|
|
|
|
SVP
Joined: 07 Nov 2007
Posts: 1837
Location: New York
Followers: 20
Kudos [?]:
296
[0], given: 5
|
Re: PS: Another Probability [#permalink]
25 Aug 2008, 12:38
tarek99 wrote: A fair coin with sides marked heads and tails is to be tossed eight times. What is the probability that the coin will land tails side up more than five times?
a) 37/256
b) 56/256
c) 65/256
d) 70/256
e) 81/256
Please provide your explanation 8C6 *1/2^8 + 8C7 *1/2^8 + 8C8 *1/2^8 = 28+8+1/256= 37/256
_________________
Your attitude determines your altitude Smiling wins more friends than frowning
|
|
|
|
|
|
Manager
Joined: 27 Oct 2008
Posts: 188
Followers: 1
Kudos [?]:
42
[0], given: 3
|
Re: PS: Another Probability [#permalink]
27 Sep 2009, 20:50
A fair coin with sides marked heads and tails is to be tossed eight times. What is the probability that the coin will land tails side up more than five times?
a) 37/256
b) 56/256
c) 65/256
d) 70/256
e) 81/256
Soln: For more than 5 times it can be broken into = Prob(that tails appears 6 times) + Prob(that tails appears 7 times) + Prob(that tails appears 8 times) using formula nCr * p^r * q^(n-r) = 8C6 * (1/2)^6 * (1/2)^2 + 8C7 * (1/2)^7 * (1/2)^1 + 8C8 * (1/2)^8 * (1/2)^0 = 37/(2^8)
A it is
|
|
|
|
|
|
Senior Manager
Joined: 03 Nov 2005
Posts: 400
Location: Chicago, IL
Followers: 3
Kudos [?]:
16
[0], given: 17
|
Re: PS: Another Probability [#permalink]
02 Oct 2009, 01:12
I think the solution should be: (C(8,6) + (C8,7) + (8,8)) / 2^8
_________________
Hard work is the main determinant of success
|
|
|
|
|
|
VP
Status: There is always something new !!
Affiliations: PMI,QAI Global,eXampleCG
Joined: 08 May 2009
Posts: 1395
Followers: 8
Kudos [?]:
86
[0], given: 10
|
Re: PS: Another Probability [#permalink]
03 May 2011, 07:41
1/2^ (8c6 + 8c7 + 8c8) 37/256
_________________
Visit -- http://www.sustainable-sphere.com/ Promote Green Business,Sustainable Living and Green Earth !!
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: PS: Another Probability
[#permalink]
03 May 2011, 07:41
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|