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A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County

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A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County [#permalink]

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A
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D
E

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Question Stats:

38% (03:33) correct 62% (02:11) wrong based on 350 sessions

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A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County found that, of the severely injured
drivers and front-seat passengers, 80 percent were not wearing seat belts at the time of their
accidents. This indicates that, by wearing seat belts, drivers and front-seat passengers can
greatly reduce their risk of being severely injured if they are in an auto accident.

The conclusion above is not properly drawn unless which of the following is true?
(A) Of all the drivers and front-seat passengers in the survey, more than 20 percent were
wearing seat belts at the time of their accidents.
(B)Considerably more than 20 percent of drivers and front-seat passengers in Dole County
always wear seat belts when traveling by car.
(C) More drivers and front-seat passengers in the survey than rear-seat passengers were very
severely injured.
(D) More than half of the drivers and front-seat passengers in the survey were not wearing seat
belts at the time of their accidents.
(E) Most of the auto accidents reported to police in Dole County do not involve any serious
injury
[Reveal] Spoiler: OA
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Re: Logic [#permalink]

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New post 25 Mar 2011, 23:19
Can someone clarify why A is OA?
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Re: Logic [#permalink]

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New post 26 Mar 2011, 00:14
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This argument comes to a conclusion about the benefits of seatbelts without providing any data about what happens to people who wear them. Let's look at a similar scenario: Imagine that I perform a study that finds that most people with heart disease are not Dutch. Could I conclude that being Dutch protects against heart disease? No, because most people *without* heart disease aren't Dutch, either! I would have to see some data showing that Dutch people show up more in the general population than they do among heart disease sufferers.

Similarly, if we look at all the people who get in accidents--whether they get injured or not--and we don't see more than 20% wearing their seatbelts, then this data doesn't show that seatbelts are safe. It just shows that not many people wear them. If that's the case, then the conclusion doesn't make much sense--seatbelt wearers appear to be getting injured just as much as everyone else (even more, if they represent *less* than 20% of the group). On the other hand, if the assumption in A is correct, and more than 20% of people who get in accidents have their seatbelts on, then we have to wonder why more of them weren't injured. The conclusion starts to look much better.

I hope that helps!
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Re: Logic [#permalink]

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New post 26 Mar 2011, 20:23
Thank you for great explanation!!!
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A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County [#permalink]

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suppose in a town there are 100 people driving vehicles, 40( more than 20 %) wore seat belts , 60 did'nt.
accidents take place.... 10 result in serious cases..... 2 were wearing seat belts 8 were not.....
chances of serious accident----- for those with seat belt- 2/40 ie 5%
-------for those without seat belts- 8/60 ie 13.5 %.

hence conclusion true.....ans = A.............
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Re: A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County [#permalink]

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Re: A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County [#permalink]

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A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County found that, of the severely injured
drivers and front-seat passengers, 80 percent were not wearing seat belts at the time of their
accidents. This indicates that, by wearing seat belts, drivers and front-seat passengers can
greatly reduce their risk of being severely injured if they are in an auto accident.

Total Accidents - 100
Acc with Serious injuries - 10
Acc W/O seat belt and serious injuries (80%) - 8
Acc With seat belt and serious injuries - 2
Total no of people who wear seat belt = 10 (Assumption)
Total no of people who don't wear seat belt = 90 (Assumption)
% of people who wear seat belt and still have fatal injuries = 2/10 = 20%
% of people who don't wear seat belt and have fatal injuries = 8/90 = 8.88%

Hence wearing seat belt increases the chance of fatal injuries in accident. DO NOT WEAR SEAT BELTS.
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Re: A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County [#permalink]

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Re: A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County [#permalink]

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New post 05 Oct 2015, 06:58
mpetwal wrote:
Total no of people who wear seat belt = 10 (Assumption)
Total no of people who don't wear seat belt = 90 (Assumption)
% of people who wear seat belt and still have fatal injuries = 2/10 = 20%
% of people who don't wear seat belt and have fatal injuries = 8/90 = 8.88%

Hence wearing seat belt increases the chance of fatal injuries in accident. DO NOT WEAR SEAT BELTS.


Hi mpetwal
can you explain this portion in detail.
I've got a bit confused.
how did u assume that 10 and 90?
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Re: A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County [#permalink]

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New post 12 Sep 2016, 14:27
My line of thought:

Survey contains people severely injured (SI) and non-severely injured (N-SI)
80% SI didn't wear seat belt (SB). It means 20% of SI wore SB.

Also the Non-Seriously injured were also prevented from getting Seriously Injured. They should have been wearing Seat Belts if argument has to be true.

So the effective %age of SB wearing people will be more than %age of SB wearing people who were severely injured (20)
Re: A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County   [#permalink] 12 Sep 2016, 14:27
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