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A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County

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A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County [#permalink] New post 18 Sep 2006, 11:16
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A
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C
D
E

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A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County found that, of the severely injured drivers and front-seat passengers, 80 percent were not wearing seat belts at the time of their accidents. This indicates that, by wearing seat belts, drivers and front-seat passengers can greatly reduce their risk of being severely injured if they are in an auto accident.
The conclusion above is not properly drawn unless which of the following is true?
(A) Of all the drivers and front-seat passengers in the survey, more than 20 percent were wearing seat belts at the time of their accidents.
(B) Considerably more than 20 percent of drivers and front-seat passengers in Dole County always wear seat belts when traveling by car.
(C) More drivers and front-seat passengers in the survey than rear-seat passengers were very severely injured.
(D) More than half of the drivers and front-seat passengers in the survey were not wearing seat belts at the time of their accidents.
(E) Most of the auto accidents reported to police in Dole County do not involve any serious injury.
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Re: 1000CR - Auto accident victims [#permalink] New post 18 Sep 2006, 11:55
punnu_mba wrote:
A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County found that, of the severely injured drivers and front-seat passengers, 80 percent were not wearing seat belts at the time of their accidents. This indicates that, by wearing seat belts, drivers and front-seat passengers can greatly reduce their risk of being severely injured if they are in an auto accident.
The conclusion above is not properly drawn unless which of the following is true?
(A) Of all the drivers and front-seat passengers in the survey, more than 20 percent were wearing seat belts at the time of their accidents.
(B) Considerably more than 20 percent of drivers and front-seat passengers in Dole County always wear seat belts when traveling by car.
(C) More drivers and front-seat passengers in the survey than rear-seat passengers were very severely injured.
(D) More than half of the drivers and front-seat passengers in the survey were not wearing seat belts at the time of their accidents.
(E) Most of the auto accidents reported to police in Dole County do not involve any serious injury.


Going with A. We have to show that among people who were wearing seatbelts, the percentage of injuries was less than that among people not wearing seatbelts.

Let the total number of people be 1000. Let the number of injured people be 100. Now number not wearing seatbelts = 80. Number wearing seatbelts = 20.
Now consider:

Of the 1000, 20 people were wearing seatbelts, and 980 were not. This means that 100% of the people wearing seatbelts were inured whereas only (80/980)*100% of the people not wearing seatbelts were injured. This seems to suggest that its safer not to wear seatbelts.

To get the minimum ratio, the percentage of people wearing seatbelts (in the sample set), must exceed 20%...hence A.
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 [#permalink] New post 18 Sep 2006, 17:26
i like D though.
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 [#permalink] New post 18 Sep 2006, 19:08
I would go with B.
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 [#permalink] New post 19 Sep 2006, 01:49
One more for D.
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 [#permalink] New post 19 Sep 2006, 03:37
Took long time to get on A.
I drew a table showing 4 combinations Belt, no Belt, Seriously Injured, not seriously injured.


! B ! no B !
---------------------------------------
SI ! 20 ! 80 ! 100
---------------------------------------
no SI! ! !
---------------------------------------
! 200 ! 800 ! 1000(total surveyed)


If A weren't true, then the percentage of people injured wearing belt would be equal or greater than of people not wearing belt. So conclusion wd be false.

B wrong, because the survey could contain 100 with belt and 900 w/o. So considering the table, conclusion wd be wrong also.

D wrong the reasons given above.
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 [#permalink] New post 19 Sep 2006, 07:46
Would go with A.
We are basically being asked here for the assumption.

A - Says that more than 20% of the accident victims were wearing seat belts. SO lets say 30% were wearing belts, but only 20% got injured, so seat belts DID prevent them from getting injured
B - This option talks of people who are outside the survey, so it is out of scope
C - Again out of scope. The evidence and conclusion are only related to front-seat passengers
D - This in fact weakens the conclusion. If more people who were not wearing belts were involved in accidents then obviously their percentage in those with injuries would be greater.
E - Too random!
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 [#permalink] New post 19 Sep 2006, 18:59
gauravgoyal_g wrote:
Would go with A.
We are basically being asked here for the assumption.

A - Says that more than 20% of the accident victims were wearing seat belts. SO lets say 30% were wearing belts, but only 20% got injured, so seat belts DID prevent them from getting injured
B - This option talks of people who are outside the survey, so it is out of scope
C - Again out of scope. The evidence and conclusion are only related to front-seat passengers
D - This in fact weakens the conclusion. If more people who were not wearing belts were involved in accidents then obviously their percentage in those with injuries would be greater.
E - Too random!


We can take 20.0005% in stead of 30% :wink:
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  [#permalink] 19 Sep 2006, 18:59
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