If you're not applying for another 2 years, there's not much to say at this point. Everything seems to be on track. Don't worry about selecting schools this early - your opinions on schools will be fluid and ever-changing throughout this process, and there's no need to lock in this early (in fact, it can be counterproductive to lock and load so early - becoming too fixated on one thing that isn't really as crucial as what's in front of you - learning as much as you can and accomplishing as much as you can in your current job).
At this point, it's really a matter of perspective more than trying to get into the mindset of execution or even where you stand. Think of b-school as an *option* and not a necessity/integral part to your career. And when I say "career" I don't mean "management consulting" as some endgame. Your career is more about gaining valuable experience and exposure to people, processes, industries, skillsets, etc. that accumulate over a lifetime - it's not *one* thing that will be a game changer.
Also, keep an open enough mind, allowing yourself to adjust and change. You may find yourself in a position in 1-2 years where you don't want an MBA after all. It's a balance between being focused and open minded.
That doesn't really answer your question about your chances to a top b-school, but to be honest that is irrelevant at this point.
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