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# As we head to Suzuka this weekend, Michael Schumacher is

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Director
Joined: 05 Feb 2006
Posts: 902
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As we head to Suzuka this weekend, Michael Schumacher is [#permalink]  05 Oct 2006, 23:16
As we head to Suzuka this weekend, Michael Schumacher is able to clinch his 8th world title by finishing in first position while Alonso must not finish higher than in 9th position... There are a total of 22 cars on the grid.

The question is, what is the probability that Michael Schumacher wins the world drivers title this sunday?

*edit*

A) 4.5%
B) 2.3%
C) 3%
D) 1%
E) None of the above (in case i did wrong calculations )
VP
Joined: 25 Jun 2006
Posts: 1175
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Kudos [?]: 72 [0], given: 0

statistically it is C 3%.

but I am sure the real answer is 0%.
Senior Manager
Joined: 28 Aug 2006
Posts: 302
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Kudos [?]: 96 [0], given: 0

It is 2.89% precisely
_________________

Last edited by cicerone on 25 Sep 2008, 00:28, edited 1 time in total.
Director
Joined: 05 Feb 2006
Posts: 902
Followers: 1

Kudos [?]: 51 [0], given: 0

cicerone wrote:
It is 2.89% precisely

Yes you are right. I rounded up this figure....

OA is C
Director
Joined: 23 Jun 2005
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Kudos [?]: 31 [0], given: 1

Chance of Schumacher winning: 1/22

Chance of Alonso finishing in the last 14 places = 1 - chance of Alonso finishing in the first 8 places = 14/22

Chance of Schumacher winning AND Alonso finishing 9th or less = (1/22)*(14/22)*100

Is that right?
Director
Joined: 05 Feb 2006
Posts: 902
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Kudos [?]: 51 [0], given: 0

anandsebastin wrote:
Chance of Schumacher winning: 1/22

Chance of Alonso finishing in the last 14 places = 1 - chance of Alonso finishing in the first 8 places = 14/22

Chance of Schumacher winning AND Alonso finishing 9th or less = (1/22)*(14/22)*100

Is that right?

Absolutely yes
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