pbj2010 wrote:
Avernusaur wrote:
Updated the roll call with the most recent results.
Round 1 (64 applicants)
Interviewed: 28 (44%)
Matriculating: 0
Admitted: 14 (22%)
Waitlisted: 11 (17%)
Dinged: 9 *No interviewed applicants reported having been denied
Unknown Final Decision: 30
Does anyone know what % of WL applicants actually get admitted?
Also, for those of us who have already interviewed and are WL'd, can we interview again?
In our small sample size, everyone who was interviewed was either admitted or waitlisted. The ratio is exactly 50% admit and 50% waitlist if you assume that the unreported interviewees were also waitlisted. R1 is likely to have far more additions to the WL than R2, R3, and R4, but it's the only data available to us right now.
For a little fun, let's assume that our outstanding community is representative of the entire applicant pool. To make the math easier, let's pretend that that target class size at Haas is only 100 students. Let's also examine the absolute best case scenario, which is that Haas doesn't over-admit to account for yield (unlikely).
Haas Yield: 58% (Source: BusinessWeek)
If Haas doesn't over-admit to account for yield, but rather uses the waitlist to backfill these un-occupied seats, then your odds of coming off the waitlist would be at least 42% (I'll explain).
Target class size: 100
Total interviewed: 200
Accepted applicants: 100 (50%)
Waitlisted applicants: 100 (50%)
Matriculated: 58 (based on the 58% yield)
Admitted from the WL: 42+
*Explanation for 42+ admitted from WL: Some WL applicants will deny the offer in favor of other schools, so the school would have to admit at least 42 WL applicants to reach the target class size of 100. Also, keep in mind that many of the applicants who are offered a seat on the waitlist will choose not to join or will later withdraw their position. As people remove themselves from the waitlist, your odds of admission go up.
In reality, Haas likely over-admits to some degree to get close to their projected yield (58%) and then uses the WL to dial in the last 10-20 seats. If that's the case, then your odds of coming off the waitlist aren't very good, but it's certainly a possibility.
Edit: So much for optimism... BW data shows the following:
Applicants WL in 2010: 472
Acceped off the WL: 19 (4%)