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Smoking in bed is a main cause of home fire.
Less people smoke now.
Death caused by home fire has not decreased
Smoking in bed home fires do not cause many deaths any ways, so less smoking will not have much impact on death of home fires
Smoking in bed fire always happens after the smoker sleeps. This means death is very likely in smoking in bed fires. And less smokers should mean less death caused by smoking in bed fires. Can't explain the discrepensy.
Smoking in bed fires are caused by heavy smokers. The people who quit are lighter smokers. Less smokers does not mean less heavy smokers, thus does not mean less smoking in bed fires, thus does not mean less deaths caused by the SIB fires.
More deaths are caused by another type of home fires, and that's why the total deaths has not declined even if the SIB fire deaths are less.
Home density means more deaths in each home fire. So death has not declined even if the number of home fires has declined.
Sorry, didn't see the key word EXCEPT, let me try again.
Fact: smoking in bed is the main cause of home fires.
discrepency: 1 decline in cigarette smoking 2, no decline in the number of people killed in home fires.
So, the reason which cannot explain that there is no decline in the number of people killed in home fires is the right answer. In other words, other choices must be able to explain why there is no decline .
(B) it said home fires are hard to prevent. OK
(C) it said it is so hard to abstain from smoking that home fires happen easily
(D) it said home fire cases is increasing. OK.
(E)home fires cause more death. OK.
(A) there is no need to divide home fire type. And it said home fires caused by smoking cause little damage, which couldn't support the descrepency.
The rational is this: Less smokers should lead to less SIB fires, thus lead to less home fires, thus lead to less death in home fires. However this is not happening, why? Basically, it wants you to pick the one that cannot help answer this question. If an answer can break one link in this chain, then it is NOT our answer.
(A) says that SIB fires do not cause death, so less smokers has no impact on deaths in home fires.
(C) says that less smokers does not lead to less SIB fires because SIB fires are caused by heavy smokers who do not quit.
(D) says less SIB fires does not mean less home fires, since other types of home fires have increased
(E) says less home fires does not mean less death in home fires, since each fire now have more deaths because of home density
Only (B) does not help, since it says SIB fires likely cause death, therefore the chain should work, and so cannot explain the discrepensy.
Check out this awesome article about Anderson on Poets Quants, http://poetsandquants.com/2015/01/02/uclas-anderson-school-morphs-into-a-friendly-tech-hub/ . Anderson is a great place! Sorry for the lack of updates recently. I...