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Despite the approach of winter oil prices to industrial

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Despite the approach of winter oil prices to industrial [#permalink] New post 02 Oct 2012, 07:44
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37% (02:35) correct 62% (01:34) wrong based on 293 sessions
Despite the approach of winter, oil prices to industrial customers are exceptionally low this year and likely to remain so. Therefore, unless the winter is especially severe, the price of natural gas to industrial customers is also likely to remain low.

Which of the following, if true, provides the most support for the conclusion above?
 
(A) Long-term weather forecasts predict a mild winter.
(B) The industrial users who consume most natural gas can quickly and cheaply switch to using oil instead.
(C) The largest sources of supply for both oil and natural gas are in subtropical regions unlikely to be affected by winter weather.
(D) The fuel requirements of industrial users of natural gas are not seriously affected by the weather.
(E) Oil distribution is more likely to be affected by severe winter weather than is the distribution of natural gas.
[Reveal] Spoiler: OA

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Re: Despite the approach of winter [#permalink] New post 02 Oct 2012, 14:16
I went with C but the OA is B.. Any explanations...
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Re: Despite the approach of winter [#permalink] New post 02 Oct 2012, 22:17
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abhishekkpv wrote:
I went with C but the OA is B.. Any explanations...


The argument clearly states that "unless the winter is especially severe, the price of natural gas to industrial customers is also likely to remain low", So it is possible that if the winter is sever the price can change, which cannot be justified by option C

Premise 1 - Despite the approach of winter, oil prices to industrial customers are exceptionally low this year and likely to remain so.
Conclusion - unless the winter is especially severe, the price of natural gas to industrial customers is also likely to remain low.

Any option which link the premise and conclusion is our answer i.e. here it should link oil with natural Gas

Option B does the job perfectly.

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Re: Despite the approach of winter oil prices to industrial [#permalink] New post 11 Oct 2012, 21:35
(A) Long-term weather forecasts predict a mild winter => doesn't attach the premise " unless the winter is especially severe"
(B) The industrial users who consume most natural gas can quickly and cheaply switch to using oil instead.
(C) The largest sources of supply for both oil and natural gas are in subtropical regions unlikely to be affected by winter weather. -> therefore, the severe weather has no impact on price => against conclusion that unless the winter is especially severe, the price of natural gas to industrial customers is also likely to remain low.
(D) The fuel requirements of industrial users of natural gas are not seriously affected by the weather => go against conclusion " unless the winter is especially severe, the price of natural gas to industrial customers is also likely to remain low."
(E) Oil distribution is more likely to be affected by severe winter weather than is the distribution of natural gas. => talk about oil price, not natural gas price
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Re: Despite the approach of winter oil prices to industrial [#permalink] New post 13 Oct 2012, 01:33
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First off, I want to stress that this question is actually not MUst-be-true one. It is actually a 'Straighten' question type.
As for the question, the correct answer is B

Premise-Despite the approach of winter, oil prices to industrial customers are exceptionally low this year and likely to remain so.
Conclusion -Therefore, unless the winter is especially severe, the price of natural gas to industrial customers is also likely to remain low.

Even if u cant understand which one is the conclusion by simply reading the argument, the word "therefore" is a great indicator of having a conclusion.
So, if u see that a sentence begins with the word "therefore", be sure that this sentence is a conclusion.

As we can see the premise says about the oil prices, but the conclusion is made about the gas prices. So, we have some logical gap between these two. In order to link these two sentence, we need an answer choice, that will have this link and by doing so, will definitely strengthen the passage above.

answer choice B states that the industrial users who consume most natural gas can quickly and cheaply switch to using oil instead.
the answer choice links gas with oil. it means that if the oil prices are low, the gas prices will also be low.
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Re: Despite the approach of winter oil prices to industrial [#permalink] New post 13 Oct 2012, 20:22
This is a nice CR +1 to the poster....!
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Re: Despite the approach of winter oil prices to industrial [#permalink] New post 08 Nov 2012, 02:22
Chose C but now can see why B is correct.
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Re: Despite the approach of winter oil prices to industrial [#permalink] New post 18 Dec 2013, 14:05
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Re: Despite the approach of winter oil prices to industrial [#permalink] New post 07 Jul 2014, 16:16
PREMISE: Despite the approach of winter, oil prices to industrial customers are exceptionally low this year and likely to remain so.

CONCLUSION: Therefore, unless the winter is especially severe, the price of natural gas to industrial customers is also likely to remain low.


From what I understand, it means - Oil prices are low, therefore the natural gas prices are low. (unless there's severe winter)

So it means both the prices work in unison unless there's severe winter. So the SEVERE WINTER must introduce some irregularity. Right?

E states the irregularity.
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Re: Despite the approach of winter oil prices to industrial [#permalink] New post 07 Jul 2014, 21:06
Expert's post
gauravkaushik8591 wrote:
PREMISE: Despite the approach of winter, oil prices to industrial customers are exceptionally low this year and likely to remain so.

CONCLUSION: Therefore, unless the winter is especially severe, the price of natural gas to industrial customers is also likely to remain low.


From what I understand, it means - Oil prices are low, therefore the natural gas prices are low. (unless there's severe winter)

So it means both the prices work in unison unless there's severe winter. So the SEVERE WINTER must introduce some irregularity. Right?

E states the irregularity.


Oil prices to industrial customers are low this year and likely to remain so.

Conclusion: If winter is not severe, natural gas price will also remain low.

So we are concluding that since oil prices are low, natural gas prices will remain low too. How can we strengthen the conclusion? In some way, we need to establish that gas prices will stay low if winters are not overly severe.

(B) The industrial users who consume most natural gas can quickly and cheaply switch to using oil instead.
This tells us that if gas prices go up, users will switch to the cheaper oil. If this happens, oil prices will go down again. Hence, if oil prices stay low, gas prices will stay low too.
This helps strengthen our conclusion.

(E) Oil distribution is more likely to be affected by severe winter weather than is the distribution of natural gas.
This doesn't explain the relation between oil and gas prices and hence doesn't strengthen our conclusion.
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Re: Despite the approach of winter oil prices to industrial   [#permalink] 07 Jul 2014, 21:06
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