You're a middle-of-the-road Big-4 consultant (nothing of real concern, but nothing substantive that stands out relative to peers either) which means this:
HBS/Stanford - slim; plus, they really prefer younger consultants with 2-4 years experience (and there's still plenty to choose from within this group); at 5 years, you're getting long on the tooth and unless you have some truly exceptional achievement, you're simply competing against other consultants who are already in the "sweet spot" in terms of years of experience.
MIT - slim; simply because there's only two rounds, and you missed the R1 deadline already. Sloan's R2 is like everyone else's R3. Had you applied in R1, you would be a stretch
Chicago - stretch; you have enough of a shot that it's worth giving a shot. Do the best you can on the application; other peer schools include Kellogg, Tuck and Columbia.
Berkeley - sweet spot; schools in the bottom half of the top 16 are likely your sweet spots - schools where you have a reasonable shot of getting into (but not a shoe in). Peer schools like Duke, Darden, Michigan, UCLA, NYU, Cornell and Yale are also sweet spots for you.
I'm not saying that you should change your list entirely (i.e. you may be a "top school or bust" kind of guy), but if you're going to apply to the schools you originally listed, make sure you have some realistic expectations about where you have the best shot of getting into.
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