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If 2 different representatives are to be selected at random [#permalink]
22 Aug 2004, 02:27

1

This post received KUDOS

00:00

A

B

C

D

E

Difficulty:

75% (hard)

Question Stats:

54% (02:36) correct
46% (01:09) wrong based on 53 sessions

If 2 different representatives are to be selected at random from a group of 10 employees and if p is the probability that both representatives selected will be women, is p > 1/2 ?

(1) More than 1/2 of the 10 employees are women.

(2)The probability that both representatives selected will be men is less than 1/10.

In the first one, we just know a majority is women. That could be 6 women or more. If there were 6 women, the probability for both choices to be women would be 1/3, not above 1/2. If there were 8 women, the prob would be 28/45, which is above 1/2. If there were 7 women, the prob would be 7/15, also not 1/2. So there has to be 8 women at least to ensure larger prob than 1/2.

The second one tells us that the probability of two men is less than 1/10. If there were ONLY 2 men, then the probability would be 1/45, which is definately less than 1/10, but if there were 3 men, the probability would be 1/15, also less than 1/10. Only at 4 men is the probability greater than 1/10. So there could up to 3 men, and that means as few as 7 women.

So even together, we can't say conclusively that there are 8 women at least, so it must be E.

I think the question posted here is a good one, and it could potentially be on the test.

I think most of the questions posted here in probability and permutations are too hard, and are above the test, but there is value to working those out and learning all the ins and outs of the topic.

In general, you should do as many as you can, and get a feel for what the range of questions are that are out there. That way, when you see a question, it'll look familiar and you'll know what to do.

I don't see most problems as just putting a couple of numbers in and hoping for the best. Even with this problem, we had to use numbers to figure it out, but not haphazardly. The numbers were chosen to find out what happened when women are the majority. The experience of doing multiple problems should tell you that just because they're the majority it doesn't mean that picking 2 in a row is 50% or more. So we try a bunch to see what DOES make 50% or more.

I guess what I'm saying is that given enough practice and the right frame of mind, you can think carefully on the test and not just try random numbers to verify.

I also think that it's fine to take 3 or even 4 minutes on a given problem, as long as you know that doing the work will get you the answer. There will always be some problems that take only 20 or 30 seconds, so there should be ballance. Just don't do 4 minutes for a problem you'll get wrong anyway. Those you should do in 30 seconds, decide you won't get it, and save the time for something else.

1 is not sufficient ... if # of women=6 then prob is 30/90<0.5
if # of women=9 prob is 72/90>0.5
2 is not sufficient
prob of men selected can be <.1 only if number of men are 2 and 3
if # of men = 2, # of fem = 8, p=56/90 >.5
if # of men = 3, # of fem = 7, p=42/90 <.5

Ian:
Do you think that this kind of question can be called a tough question by GMAT standards.. I mean a kind of question which might come if you are approaching 50-51? And do you feel that it is normal to spend around 3-4 minutes in this question in the real exam. I solved it in approximately 3:15 minutes but was wondering if I took more time than required.
Thanks

Ian: Do you think that this kind of question can be called a tough question by GMAT standards.. I mean a kind of question which might come if you are approaching 50-51? And do you feel that it is normal to spend around 3-4 minutes in this question in the real exam. I solved it in approximately 3:15 minutes but was wondering if I took more time than required. Thanks

yeah, I think all those things are true. This question is definately fair and in line with what I'd expect from the GMAT. I also have no problem spending more than 2 minutes on a question, as long as I know I'm going to have a problem down the road that won't take as long. Remember, you're distributing your time around the test, and it has to average 2 min/question. If you've been studying and really know your stuff, then at some point you'll get an easy algebra data sufficiency or some fraction problem that will only take about a minute, and you'll make up time.

That's how I take the test. When I want to be sure I'm not getting suckered into a trap when I see a hard question, I'll spend extra time on it.

DS Hard Probability [#permalink]
22 Sep 2004, 03:21

Q2:
If 2 different representatives are to be selected at random from a group of 10 employees and if p is the probability that both representatives selected will be women, is p > 1/2 ?
(1) More than half of the 10 employees are women.
(2) The probability that both representatives selected will be men is less than 1/10 .

A. Statement (1) ALONE is sufficient, but statement (2) alone is not sufficient.
B. Statement (2) ALONE is sufficient, but statement (1) alone is not sufficient.
C. BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient.
D. EACH statement ALONE is sufficient.
E. Statements (1) and (2) TOGETHER are NOT sufficient.

for the possibility being > 0.5 we need more than 7 women in the group.
(7/10) *(6/9) < 0.5
(8/10)* (7/9) > 0.5

Statement 1: Insufficient.
Statement 2: Insufficient.
We can learn that there should be 3 or less men in the group,
which means 7 or more women.
Still not enough.

Even together we still can't be sure that there are more than 7 women.
So i pick E.

1. Insufficient. We only know that the count of women is greater than 5. However, for the p>1/2, the number of women have to necesarily be 8 and above. Why? because 8C2/10C2 would be the first number that will be greater than 1/2. So, we do not know if its 6 women or 8 women, hence insufficient.

2. Insufficient. Because, the number of Men should be 3 or less. Why? only 3C2/10C2, is the first number that will make the probability of choosing men less than 1/10. This would mean the number of women can still be 7 or 8 or 9 whatever. If the number of women is 7 then we dont meet the stimulus criteria. If number of women is 8 then we are good to meet the critieria.

Both combined we still will be unsure if the number of women are 7(and not meet the criteria) or 8 & above (meeting the criteria).

1. Insufficient. We only know that the count of women is greater than 5. However, for the p>1/2, the number of women have to necesarily be 8 and above. Why? because 8C2/10C2 would be the first number that will be greater than 1/2. So, we do not know if its 6 women or 8 women, hence insufficient.

2. Insufficient. Because, the number of Men should be 3 or less. Why? only 3C2/10C2, is the first number that will make the probability of choosing men less than 1/10. This would mean the number of women can still be 7 or 8 or 9 whatever. If the number of women is 7 then we dont meet the stimulus criteria. If number of women is 8 then we are good to meet the critieria.

Both combined we still will be unsure if the number of women are 7(and not meet the criteria) or 8 & above (meeting the criteria).

SO E.

Is it 3 or less men OR 2 or less men? from statement 2?

Its 3 or less - In which case the women will be 7 or more.

Let me see if I am doing some fundamental mistake or not. Lets assume 4 men in the group and 2 are selected. We would have 4C2/10C2, which will be equal to 2/15 or 1/(7.5) and is not less than 1/10. However, if we assume 3 men, it would be 3C2/10C2 which is 1/15 and is < than 1/10. Yep its 3 or les..

probability :Men and women [#permalink]
13 Aug 2006, 04:02

If 2 different representatives are to be selected at random from a group of 10 employees and if p is the probability that both representatives selected will be women, is p > 1/2?
(1) More than 1/2 of the 10 employees are women.
(2) The probability that both representatives selected will be men is less than 1/10.

A. Statement (1) ALONE is sufficient, but statement (2) alone is not sufficient.
B. Statement (2) ALONE is sufficient, but statement (1) alone is not sufficient. C. BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient.
D. EACH statement ALONE is sufficient.
E. Statements (1) and (2) TOGETHER are NOT sufficient.

Answers ??

Last edited by Achilless on 13 Aug 2006, 04:28, edited 1 time in total.

Re: probability :Men and women [#permalink]
13 Aug 2006, 05:35

[quote="Achilless"]If 2 different representatives are to be selected at random from a group of 10 employees and if p is the probability that both representatives selected will be women, is p > 1/2?
(1) More than 1/2 of the 10 employees are women.
(2) The probability that both representatives selected will be men is less than 1/10.

A. Statement (1) ALONE is sufficient, but statement (2) alone is not sufficient.
B. Statement (2) ALONE is sufficient, but statement (1) alone is not sufficient. C. BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient.
D. EACH statement ALONE is sufficient.
E. Statements (1) and (2) TOGETHER are NOT sufficient.

Answers ??[/quote]

Is it E ?

for p > 1/2 atleast 8 should be women
for men (p)< 1/10 men should be >5

If 2 different representatives are to be selected at random from a group of 10 employees and if p is the probability that both representatives selected will be women, is p > 1/2?
(1) More than 1/2 of the 10 employees are women.
(2) The probability that both representatives selected will be men is less than 1/10.

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