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B and C implies that you are more inclined towards one of the two possibilities being that country X will probably fall or not fall under ennemy influence. Since you cannot speculate on any alternative when country Y will intervene, only choice E remains as the most "neutral" choice with an uncertain outcome.
Check out this awesome article about Anderson on Poets Quants, http://poetsandquants.com/2015/01/02/uclas-anderson-school-morphs-into-a-friendly-tech-hub/ . Anderson is a great place! Sorry for the lack of updates recently. I...