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B and C implies that you are more inclined towards one of the two possibilities being that country X will probably fall or not fall under ennemy influence. Since you cannot speculate on any alternative when country Y will intervene, only choice E remains as the most "neutral" choice with an uncertain outcome.
Final decisions are in: Berkeley: Denied with interview Tepper: Waitlisted with interview Rotman: Admitted with scholarship (withdrawn) Random French School: Admitted to MSc in Management with scholarship (...