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In the United States, of the people who moved from one state

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In the United States, of the people who moved from one state [#permalink] New post 09 Oct 2010, 02:03
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Question Stats:

64% (02:12) correct 36% (01:11) wrong based on 132 sessions
In the United States, of the people who moved from one state to another when they retired, the percentage
who retired to Florida has decreased by three percentage points over the past ten years. Since many local
businesses in Florida cater to retirees, these declines are likely to have a noticeably negative economic effect
on these businesses and therefore on the economy of Florida.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument given?
(A) People who moved from one state to another when they retired moved a greater distance, on average,
last year than such people did ten years ago.
(B) People were more likely to retire to North Carolina from another state last year than people were
ten years ago.
(C) The number of people who moved from one state to another when they retired has increased signifi cantly
over the past ten years.
(D) The number of people who left Florida when they retired to live in another state was greater last year than
it was ten years ago.
(E) Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other
state.

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Last edited by ankitranjan on 10 Oct 2010, 02:35, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: CR3 [#permalink] New post 09 Oct 2010, 03:02
I vote for option C. Even though there is a drop of 3% points, if the overall population of retired people moving into Florida increases then the increase would more than offset the 3% point decrease.
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Re: CR3 [#permalink] New post 09 Oct 2010, 09:56
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Re: CR3 [#permalink] New post 09 Oct 2010, 10:38
My answer is C....
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Re: CR3 [#permalink] New post 09 Nov 2010, 02:43
I hardly find any answer choice correct. I don't agree with C because the C refers to the increase in the retirees who move from one state to another in general. It doesn't specifically refer to Florida. I think it's a big assumption to apply that fact to Florida.
That left me with option E.
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Re: CR3 [#permalink] New post 15 Nov 2010, 05:58
Though stinks it has to be C, others are no close
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Re: CR3 [#permalink] New post 15 Nov 2010, 12:16
Expert's post
Actually, C doesn't stink.
Consider the stimulus again:
"Of the people who moved from one state to another when they retired, the percentage who retired to Florida has decreased by three percentage points over the past ten years."

So ten years back, let's say, 100 people moved from one to another state. Let's also assume 30 of those 100 moved to Florida. In US, 30% of people who were moving after retirement, moved to Florida.

It has gone down to 27%.

What option C says is: "The number of people who moved from one state to another when they retired has increased significantly
over the past ten years"

The total number of people who are moving has increased significantly.
So now, perhaps 200 people move from one state to another as compared to 100 of ten years back. Then 27% would be 54, still much greater than 30.
So there may not have been any negative effect, in fact there might have been a positive effect because more people are moving to Florida. Therefore, it weakens the conclusion.
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Re: CR3 [#permalink] New post 17 Nov 2010, 03:45
This is OG 12 question and answer indeed is C.
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Re: CR3 [#permalink] New post 17 Nov 2010, 05:41
VeritasPrepKarishma wrote:
Actually, C doesn't stink.
Consider the stimulus again:
"Of the people who moved from one state to another when they retired, the percentage who retired to Florida has decreased by three percentage points over the past ten years."

So ten years back, let's say, 100 people moved from one to another state. Let's also assume 30 of those 100 moved to Florida. In US, 30% of people who were moving after retirement, moved to Florida.

It has gone down to 27%.

What option C says is: "The number of people who moved from one state to another when they retired has increased significantly
over the past ten years"

The total number of people who are moving has increased significantly.
So now, perhaps 200 people move from one state to another as compared to 100 of ten years back. Then 27% would be 54, still much greater than 30.
So there may not have been any negative effect, in fact there might have been a positive effect because more people are moving to Florida. Therefore, it weakens the conclusion.



The stimulus states "these declines are likely to have a noticeably negative economic effect on these businesses and therefore on the economy of Florida."

let the number move a higher than the last year, but considerably it is a number less than would have actually moved so there could still be a negative effect.
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Re: CR3 [#permalink] New post 17 Nov 2010, 07:15
Expert's post
mailnavin1 wrote:
VeritasPrepKarishma wrote:
Actually, C doesn't stink.
Consider the stimulus again:
"Of the people who moved from one state to another when they retired, the percentage who retired to Florida has decreased by three percentage points over the past ten years."

So ten years back, let's say, 100 people moved from one to another state. Let's also assume 30 of those 100 moved to Florida. In US, 30% of people who were moving after retirement, moved to Florida.

It has gone down to 27%.

What option C says is: "The number of people who moved from one state to another when they retired has increased significantly
over the past ten years"

The total number of people who are moving has increased significantly.
So now, perhaps 200 people move from one state to another as compared to 100 of ten years back. Then 27% would be 54, still much greater than 30.
So there may not have been any negative effect, in fact there might have been a positive effect because more people are moving to Florida. Therefore, it weakens the conclusion.



The stimulus states "these declines are likely to have a noticeably negative economic effect on these businesses and therefore on the economy of Florida."

let the number move a higher than the last year, but considerably it is a number less than would have actually moved so there could still be a negative effect.


Absolutely mailnavin1, there could still be a negative effect. Since (C) says 'increased significantly'. But we do not know by how much. But the question is "which of the following weakens the argument?", not "which of the following make it false?".. Since option (C) creates a possibility that the argument might become invalid, it weakens the argument considerably.
I hope it makes more sense now.
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Re: CR3   [#permalink] 17 Nov 2010, 07:15
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