I'd say the chances are slim, not because of your profile, but because the overall odds are against anyone applying in R3.
You can take a shot, but consider this... If you apply in R3 and DON'T get in, and you want to apply again next year, you'll need to show something new in your application from last year to this year (e.g., a promotion or a significant achievement outside of work). If you get dinged now and apply agains with the same app next year (in Round 1 or 2), it will be hard to get in next year.
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