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Re: M14-27 [#permalink]
Bunuel wrote:
Official Solution:


Notice that in order to find the probability we need to know how many computers are there in the network and how many are scanned every day.

(1) 10 computers are scanned every day. We still don't know how many computers are there in the network.

(2) 4% of all computers in the corporate network are scanned every day. Given: \(0.04*total=scanned\). Not sufficient.

(1)+(2) Since \(0.04*total=10\), then \(total=250\). We have all information needed: \(total=250\) and \(scanned=10\), so \(P=( \frac{C^{10}_{235}}{C^{10}_{250}} )^5\). Sufficient.


Answer: C



Hi Bunuel,

I would really appreciate if you could elaborate the last step?
Q is asking that what is the probability that no computer containing the virus will be scanned in the course of the next five days?

So, out of total 250, we know infected = 15 & not infected = 235 and 10 are scanned everyday.
Why are we using Combinatorics in the final step of calculating Probability ? Can you please explain?


THANKS IN ADVANCE!
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Re: M14-27 [#permalink]
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JIAA wrote:
Bunuel wrote:
Official Solution:


Notice that in order to find the probability we need to know how many computers are there in the network and how many are scanned every day.

(1) 10 computers are scanned every day. We still don't know how many computers are there in the network.

(2) 4% of all computers in the corporate network are scanned every day. Given: \(0.04*total=scanned\). Not sufficient.

(1)+(2) Since \(0.04*total=10\), then \(total=250\). We have all information needed: \(total=250\) and \(scanned=10\), so \(P=( \frac{C^{10}_{235}}{C^{10}_{250}} )^5\). Sufficient.


Answer: C



Hi Bunuel,

I would really appreciate if you could elaborate the last step?
Q is asking that what is the probability that no computer containing the virus will be scanned in the course of the next five days?

So, out of total 250, we know infected = 15 & not infected = 235 and 10 are scanned everyday.
Why are we using Combinatorics in the final step of calculating Probability ? Can you please explain?


THANKS IN ADVANCE!


JIAA Let's expand on the premises which you have got correctly!

Q-statement:
    For the 5 days: No virus should be scanned.
    NV: No virus
    V: Virus
    NV NV NV NV NV V

Probability = Desired value/ Total value


    So, out of total 250, we know infected = 15 & not infected = 235 and 10 are scanned every day.

The Total value:
    We need to select and scan 10 out the 250 computers irrespective of whether they have a virus:
    Thus, the selection of 10 out of the 250.
    \({C^{10}_{250}}\)

The Desired value:
    We need no virus detection for each of the scans for the next 5 days.
    Hence, subtracting the infected ones from the total: \(250-15 = 235\)
    Now, we need to select and scan 10 out of the remaining 235 (non-infected ones) such that no scan results in a virus.
    Thus, the selection of 10 out of the 235.
    \({C^{10}_{235}}\)

To answer this:
Quote:
Why are we using Combinatorics in the final step of calculating Probability

We are using combinations to calculate:
      1) All the possible iterations to fetch the total value.
      2) All the desired values to fetch the possible favorable iterations.

    and then to substitute in the formulae:
      Probability = Desired value/ Total value
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Re: M14-27 [#permalink]
I think this is a high-quality question and I agree with explanation.
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Re: M14-27 [#permalink]
The computers can be scanned again the following day. If the computer is scanned on day 1, it can still be scanned again on day 2.
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Re: M14-27 [#permalink]
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Expert Reply
SDW2 wrote:
I think this is a high-quality question and the explanation isn't clear enough, please elaborate. The solution to DS question is clear.
But was the probability calculated?
Considering that 10 computers were scanned and separated from the lot each day, wouldn't the probability be:
235/250 * 225/240* 215/230 *205/ 220 *195/ 210??


The question says that "every day several computers are arbitrarily selected for scanning".

It does not say that the ones scanned today are set aside. Every day 10 are arbitrarily selected (say by generating random numbers) and then scanned. Next day, again 10 are arbitrarily selected and scanned. It is possible that one computer gets scanned on two consecutive days.

So if we have total 250 computers, 235 of them clean and 15 infected and we select and scan 10 every day, the probability that only clean computers are scanned on any given day is
= 235C10 / 250C10
This probability stays the same every day.
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Re: M14-27 [#permalink]
Expert Reply
I have edited the question and the solution by adding more details to enhance its clarity. I hope it is now easier to understand.
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Re: M14-27 [#permalink]
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