Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic : GMAT Critical Reasoning (CR)
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# Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic

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Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic [#permalink]

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12 Jan 2013, 02:18
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Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic production of oil and natural gas, right now might be the worst. Libya's descent into chaos is fueling a rapid rise in oil prices, and unrest in other oil-producing countries in the Middle East and North Africa has led some analysits to predict unprecedented oil-price spikes may be looming.
If the statements above are true, which of the following inference can be most properly drawn?
A) The oil prices at present are the highest of what they might have been in the last few decades.
B) Libya is a major oil producing country.
C) If US allows oil domestic oil production, it may be able to avoid any further price increase.
D) The oil price increases that are predicted by analysts may be larger than those in the recent past.
E) Unrest in oil producing countries in Middle East has impacted overall oil production.
[Reveal] Spoiler: OA

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Last edited by joshnsit on 17 Jan 2013, 15:22, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Oil-y CR problem -2 [#permalink]

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12 Jan 2013, 11:02
I think C, but this does not sound like a GMAT question at all.
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Re: Oil-y CR problem -2 [#permalink]

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13 Jan 2013, 11:07
commdiver wrote:
I think C, but this does not sound like a GMAT question at all.
I also went for C, but still not able to understand the reason and explanation why it is wrong.
Will reveal OA in some time.
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If you know what you're worth, then go out and get what you're worth. But you gotta be willing to take the hits, and not pointing fingers saying you ain't where you wanna be because of anybody! Cowards do that and You're better than that!
The path is long, but self-surrender makes it short; the way is difficult, but perfect trust makes it easy.

Fire the final bullet only when you are constantly hitting the Bull's eye, till then KEEP PRACTICING.
Failure establishes only this, that our determination to succeed was not strong enough.
Getting defeated is just a temporary notion, giving it up is what makes it permanent.

http://gmatclub.com/forum/1000-sc-notes-at-one-place-in-one-document-with-best-of-explanations-192961.html

Press +1 Kudos, if you think my post gave u a tiny tip.

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Re: Oil-y CR problem -2 [#permalink]

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13 Jan 2013, 13:38
The first sentence of the question stem states that it is a bad time for the US to discourage domestic oil production. The second sentence of the question stem states that oil prices are about to rise because of unrest in Libya. One can assume that if the US cuts domestic oil product, therefore increasing their reliance on imported oil, prices will soar because of the unrest in Libya. Therefore, C is correct.

I hope that helps
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Re: Oil-y CR problem -2 [#permalink]

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13 Jan 2013, 14:14
commdiver wrote:
The first sentence of the question stem states that it is a bad time for the US to discourage domestic oil production. The second sentence of the question stem states that oil prices are about to rise because of unrest in Libya. One can assume that if the US cuts domestic oil product, therefore increasing their reliance on imported oil, prices will soar because of the unrest in Libya. Therefore, C is correct.

I hope that helps
C is not correct as per OE I have. The official explanation from the source against C is "What the passage states is that this is a bad time for US to curb domestic production. What we can infer is that if US allows domestic production then the price increase may not be that much or not at all. But, we can not conclusively say that there will not be any further price increase."

I am not able to make out much from this particular explanation that how is author saying that , so posted it for clarifications here.
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If you know what you're worth, then go out and get what you're worth. But you gotta be willing to take the hits, and not pointing fingers saying you ain't where you wanna be because of anybody! Cowards do that and You're better than that!
The path is long, but self-surrender makes it short; the way is difficult, but perfect trust makes it easy.

Fire the final bullet only when you are constantly hitting the Bull's eye, till then KEEP PRACTICING.
Failure establishes only this, that our determination to succeed was not strong enough.
Getting defeated is just a temporary notion, giving it up is what makes it permanent.

http://gmatclub.com/forum/1000-sc-notes-at-one-place-in-one-document-with-best-of-explanations-192961.html

Press +1 Kudos, if you think my post gave u a tiny tip.

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Re: Oil-y CR problem -2 [#permalink]

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17 Jan 2013, 15:12
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joshnsit wrote:
commdiver wrote:
The first sentence of the question stem states that it is a bad time for the US to discourage domestic oil production. The second sentence of the question stem states that oil prices are about to rise because of unrest in Libya. One can assume that if the US cuts domestic oil product, therefore increasing their reliance on imported oil, prices will soar because of the unrest in Libya. Therefore, C is correct.

I hope that helps
C is not correct as per OE I have. The official explanation from the source against C is "What the passage states is that this is a bad time for US to curb domestic production. What we can infer is that if US allows domestic production then the price increase may not be that much or not at all. But, we can not conclusively say that there will not be any further price increase."

I am not able to make out much from this particular explanation that how is author saying that , so posted it for clarifications here.

Finally, I got the error in C. C) says that "If US allows oil domestic oil production, it may be able to avoid any further price increase." This subtle devilish "any" is the problem in this option and ,if we go by this choice, this will mean that at any cost, the prices will not rise. But, this can not be proven based on this argument. The prices may remain flat or even dip in the future.

The correct option D is a corroboration of what the last sentence of this argument says:
D) The oil price increases that are predicted by analysts may be larger than those in the recent past.
_________________

If you know what you're worth, then go out and get what you're worth. But you gotta be willing to take the hits, and not pointing fingers saying you ain't where you wanna be because of anybody! Cowards do that and You're better than that!
The path is long, but self-surrender makes it short; the way is difficult, but perfect trust makes it easy.

Fire the final bullet only when you are constantly hitting the Bull's eye, till then KEEP PRACTICING.
Failure establishes only this, that our determination to succeed was not strong enough.
Getting defeated is just a temporary notion, giving it up is what makes it permanent.

http://gmatclub.com/forum/1000-sc-notes-at-one-place-in-one-document-with-best-of-explanations-192961.html

Press +1 Kudos, if you think my post gave u a tiny tip.

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Re: Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic [#permalink]

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08 Aug 2013, 03:19
I was confused between A and D went with A now i realise the question is about inference and A is a fact.

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Re: Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic [#permalink]

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08 Aug 2013, 14:41
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joshnsit wrote:
Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic production of oil and natural gas, right now might be the worst. Libya's descent into chaos is fueling a rapid rise in oil prices, and unrest in other oil-producing countries in the Middle East and North Africa has led some analysits to predict unprecedented oil-price spikes may be looming.
If the statements above are true, which of the following inference can be most properly drawn?
A) The oil prices at present are the highest of what they might have been in the last few decades.
B) Libya is a major oil producing country.
C) If US allows oil domestic oil production, it may be able to avoid any further price increase.
D) The oil price increases that are predicted by analysts may be larger than those in the recent past.
E) Unrest in oil producing countries in Middle East has impacted overall oil production.

Interesting question!

ANALYZE THE STIMULUS:

Factor #1: Libya's descent into chaos is fueling a rapid rise in oil prices.
Factor #2: unrest in other oil-producing countries in the Middle East and North Africa
Sub conclusion: unprecedented oil-price spikes may be looming.
Main conclusion: Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic production of oil and natural gas, right now might be the worst.

KEY WORD: unprecedented oil-price spikes.

ANALYZE EACH OPTION:

If the statements above are true, which of the following inference can be most properly drawn?

A) The oil prices at present are the highest of what they might have been in the last few decades.
Wrong. Nothing about “oil prices at present are the highest”. Probably, the oil prices at present are high, but we do not have enough info to conclude they are the highest.

B) Libya is a major oil producing country.
Wrong. SHELL GAME.
- “oil producing” differs from “oil exporting”. Libya may be a major oil exporting country. It may export a big amount of “rude” oil. So its chaos will have a big impact on oil prices. But, the premises do not say “Libya is a major producing country”.

C) If US allows oil domestic oil production, it may be able to avoid any further price increase.
Wrong. SHELL GAME. It’s wrong because:
- If US allows oil domestic production, it may be able to avoid further price increase in the U.S only. But, C say US can avoid price increase in general. C means U.S only or worldwide?
- C say the US can avoid any further price increase. KEY WORD is “any”. Is it true that the US can avoid any further price increase? The US can avoid only price increase to some extent, not any further price increase.

D) The oil price increases that are predicted by analysts may be larger than those in the recent past.
Correct. The stimulus says: “unprecedented oil-price spikes”. “unprecedented” means “have never happened before”. D is the most properly inference.

E) Unrest in oil producing countries in Middle East has impacted overall oil production.
Wrong. It’s true that unrest in oil producing countries in ME will impact overall oil production. But the unrest did impact or will impact (the time of the impact)? We don’t know. Hence, E is wrong.

Hope it helps.
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Re: Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic [#permalink]

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26 Aug 2013, 00:04
The problem with c is that it is too strong "any" if there was no "any" in the answer the. It would be Better answer than the the "D"

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Re: Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic [#permalink]

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14 Oct 2013, 23:54
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The key word here is 'unprecedented'. If u read this word the entire passage becomes a piece of cake.
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Re: Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic [#permalink]

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26 Nov 2014, 12:03
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Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic [#permalink]

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27 Nov 2014, 21:37
I also at first chose option C but after refering to it again found the strong word any. USA producing oil may help in reducing the oil prices to some extent but to say that doing so is the fullproof solution to any further increase would be extreme. May be the oil prices may again further increase due to some other reason in future when USA producing the oil prices may not come handy in that situation then what... Hope the explanation helps.
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Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic [#permalink]

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15 Jan 2015, 12:51
I was confused between C and D... But I picked C because D seems to be the same of last line of the passage, even after I found the glitch of "ANY" in C... As it is an inference question, I felt how could D be an option which just reword a part of passage.. Now I understand.. If a reworded passage is an option, it has to be considered well...
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Re: Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic [#permalink]

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09 Nov 2016, 09:58
pqhai wrote:
joshnsit wrote:
Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic production of oil and natural gas, right now might be the worst. Libya's descent into chaos is fueling a rapid rise in oil prices, and unrest in other oil-producing countries in the Middle East and North Africa has led some analysits to predict unprecedented oil-price spikes may be looming.
If the statements above are true, which of the following inference can be most properly drawn?
A) The oil prices at present are the highest of what they might have been in the last few decades.
B) Libya is a major oil producing country.
C) If US allows oil domestic oil production, it may be able to avoid any further price increase.
D) The oil price increases that are predicted by analysts may be larger than those in the recent past.
E) Unrest in oil producing countries in Middle East has impacted overall oil production.

Interesting question!

ANALYZE THE STIMULUS:

Factor #1: Libya's descent into chaos is fueling a rapid rise in oil prices.
Factor #2: unrest in other oil-producing countries in the Middle East and North Africa
Sub conclusion: unprecedented oil-price spikes may be looming.
Main conclusion: Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic production of oil and natural gas, right now might be the worst.

KEY WORD: unprecedented oil-price spikes.

ANALYZE EACH OPTION:

If the statements above are true, which of the following inference can be most properly drawn?

A) The oil prices at present are the highest of what they might have been in the last few decades.
Wrong. Nothing about “oil prices at present are the highest”. Probably, the oil prices at present are high, but we do not have enough info to conclude they are the highest.

B) Libya is a major oil producing country.
Wrong. SHELL GAME.
- “oil producing” differs from “oil exporting”. Libya may be a major oil exporting country. It may export a big amount of “rude” oil. So its chaos will have a big impact on oil prices. But, the premises do not say “Libya is a major producing country”.

C) If US allows oil domestic oil production, it may be able to avoid any further price increase.
Wrong. SHELL GAME. It’s wrong because:
- If US allows oil domestic production, it may be able to avoid further price increase in the U.S only. But, C say US can avoid price increase in general. C means U.S only or worldwide?
- C say the US can avoid any further price increase. KEY WORD is “any”. Is it true that the US can avoid any further price increase? The US can avoid only price increase to some extent, not any further price increase.

D) The oil price increases that are predicted by analysts may be larger than those in the recent past.
Correct. The stimulus says: “unprecedented oil-price spikes”. “unprecedented” means “have never happened before”. D is the most properly inference.

E) Unrest in oil producing countries in Middle East has impacted overall oil production.
Wrong. It’s true that unrest in oil producing countries in ME will impact overall oil production. But the unrest did impact or will impact (the time of the impact)? We don’t know. Hence, E is wrong.

Hope it helps.

I agree with D because it says may be, so it does not really say anything – it brings up the possibility that may be not.

However, I disagree with you in B. You can infer that Libya is an oil-producing country

inother oil-producing countries in the Middle East and North Africa

I guess that when the premise uses the term “other”, it refers to other than Libya, thus implying that Libya is an oil-producing country in the Middle East and North Africa.

The problem with B is that we cannot infer that is “major”.
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Re: Of all the times for the U.S. to be discouraging domestic   [#permalink] 09 Nov 2016, 09:58
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