Hi
Sajjad1994, Please could you evaluate the below essay? Thank you.
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Citing the similar increase in the percentages of people watching television programs about visual arts and the increased percentage of the number of people visiting the city’s museum, the author of the argument claims that with the threat of severe cuts to the visual arts programs, the attendance at the city’s art museums will also start to decline. The conclusion relies on the statistical correlation between the viewership of visual arts programs and visits to the city museums, but fails to mention several factors on the basis of which the argument can be evaluated. The author heavily relies on the correlation but fails to consider other factors, making the argument rather weak and unconvincing.
While the argument largely relies on the correlation between viewership of visual arts programs and the visits to the city’s museum, the author of the argument does not question whether the correlation is valid. The mere fact that two phenomena are occurring at the same time does not mean that increased viewership caused the rise in museum attendance. The author fails to provide compelling evidence without which the conclusion is unwarranted.
The author also fails to consider other factors that could have caused the rise in the museum attendance, such as increased advertising of the museum drawing in more attention, the installation of a famous piece, change in the type of artwork presented in the museum, decrease in the price of tickets, making in affordable for a larger number of people, change in government policies leading to increased tourism and correspondingly an increase in the attendance at the museum. Unless the author can rule of the other factors, the author commits the fallacy of assuming two unrelated events are in some way correlated because they occur at the same time.
Lastly, the author assumes that the people who took part in the polls are the same people who have visited the museums. Without compelling evidence to support that the individuals in the two groups are the same, there is a likelihood that the author is making unfounded claims.
In conclusion, the argument is weak because it depends on the above mentioned assumptions. In order to strengthen the argument, the author must provide the necessary evidence which would help substantiate the claim made. Without this information, the argument remains unsubstantiated and is open to debate.