warrior1991 wrote:
generis VeritasKarishma GMATNinjaI marked D as answer.However, the answer is C.
My thoughts:-
Quote:
The likelihood of any event,according to people, is determined by 2 factors:-
1.How strong the event is .
2.Frequency of occurrence.
Newspapers put more emphasis on local crime stories than on crime stories elsewhere.
Firstly, I think this is an inference question? Correct me if I am wrong.Quote:
(C) Readers of local news in newspapers tend to overestimate the amount of crime in their own localities relative to the amount of crime in other places.
Secondly option C puts the onus on readers and says that readers overestimate local crimes.
But this is not what the argument is saying.
Quote:
(D) None of the events concerning other people that are reported in newspapers is so salient in people’s minds as their own personal experiences.
Option D seems to echo the thoughts presented in the question.
Please help
Take another look at exactly how the passage defines "salience": "how strongly and how often [an event]
comes to [one's] attention." This is very different than saying that the likelihood of an event is dependent on the factors you mentioned in your analysis -- instead of looking objectively at "how strong an event is" or its "frequency of occurrence," people are influenced by how strongly and often something is brought to their attention.
Newspapers "emphasize stories about local crime over stories about crime elsewhere and about many other major events." So, newspapers call the attention of readers to certain stories over others, which will in turn impact the readers' estimate of how likely those events are to occur.
Based on this understanding, let's take another look at the question:
Quote:
It can be concluded on the basis of the statements above that, if they are true, which of the following is most probably also true?
So, we are looking for an answer statement that "can be concluded" from the information in the passage.
Quote:
(C) Readers of local news in newspapers tend to overestimate the amount of crime in their own localities relative to the amount of crime in other places.
From the passage, we know that "newspapers emphasize stories about local crime over stories about crime elsewhere," and that people estimate the likelihood of something occurring based on "how strongly and how often it comes to their attention." So, we can properly conclude that readers of local papers will have local crime brought to their attention more, and thus will tend to overestimate local crime relative to crime in other areas.
(C) is correct.
Now look again at (D):
Quote:
(D) None of the events concerning other people that are reported in newspapers is so salient in people’s minds as their own personal experiences.
The passage tells us how salience affects people's estimate of the likelihood of an event, and then provides information about how newspapers emphasize certain stories over others. We do not have any information about how the salience of "personal experiences" stacks up against the salience of newspaper stories -- so we cannot conclude that (D) is true based on the information in the passage. (D) is out.
I hope that helps!
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