People tend to estimate the likelihood of an event s : GMAT Critical Reasoning (CR)
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# People tend to estimate the likelihood of an event s

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People tend to estimate the likelihood of an event s [#permalink]

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27 Dec 2009, 23:33
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64% (02:18) correct 36% (01:33) wrong based on 112 sessions

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People tend to estimate the likelihood of an event’s occurrence according to its salience; that is, according to how strongly and how often it comes to their attention.
It can be concluded on the basis of the statements above that, if they are true, which of the following is most probably also true?
(A) The language used in newspaper headlines about local crime is inflammatory and fails to respect the rights of suspects.
(B)The coverage of international events in newspapers is neglected in favor of the coverage of local events.
(C) Readers of local news in newspapers tend to overestimate the amount of crime in their own localities relative to the amount of crime in other places.
(D) None of the events concerning other people that are reported in newspapers is so salient in people’s minds as their own personal experiences.
(E) The press is the news medium that focuses people’s attention most strongly on local crimes.
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28 Dec 2009, 00:39
ashokreddy wrote:
People tend to estimate the likelihood of an event’s occurrence according to its salience; that is, according to how strongly and how often it comes to their attention.
It can be concluded on the basis of the statements above that, if they are true, which of the following is most probably also true?
(A) The language used in newspaper headlines about local crime is inflammatory and fails to respect the rights of suspects.
(B)The coverage of international events in newspapers is neglected in favor of the coverage of local events.
(C) Readers of local news in newspapers tend to overestimate the amount of crime in their own localities relative to the amount of crime in other places.
(D) None of the events concerning other people that are reported in newspapers is so salient in people’s minds as their own personal experiences.
(E) The press is the news medium that focuses people’s attention most strongly on local crimes.

premise 1: people estimate the likelihood of an event's occurrence based on how often it comes to their attention

premise 2: newspapers emphasize stories about local crime over stories about crime elsewhere

possible conclusion : hence, readers of newspapers overestimate local crime over crime in other places.

now lets check out the answer stem:

A- language used in the newspaper and the rights of suspects are not the points of discussion--- irrelevant
B- newspapers emphasize stories about local crime over stories about crime elsewhere. but neglecting the coverage of international events in not mentioned.--- no
C- a strong contender for the answer because it properly considers both the premises and it is also a paraphrase of our possible conclusion.
D- people's own experience is not the point of discussion--- irrelevant
E- press emphasizes on local crime but its contribution in focusing people’s attention most strongly on local crimes is not necessarily true---no
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28 Dec 2009, 01:45
Agree. C is correct.
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28 Dec 2009, 08:25
+1 for C
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28 Dec 2009, 12:46
ludwigfraboulet wrote:
+1 for C

hi ashok
plz provide the OA!!
i think its B
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28 Dec 2009, 13:13
But C fails to take into consideration about the major events happening else where so how that could be the answer??
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28 Dec 2009, 13:32
sagarsabnis wrote:
But C fails to take into consideration about the major events happening else where so how that could be the answer??

This is a "must be true" question. So, we don't need to include all the information. We just have to find the info that is true according to the stimulus. C does it perfectly.

People tend to estimate the likelihood of an event’s occurrence according to its salience; that is, according to how strongly and how often it comes to their attention.
It can be concluded on the basis of the statements above that, if they are true, which of the following is most probably also true?
(A) The language used in newspaper headlines about local crime is inflammatory and fails to respect the rights of suspects.
(B)The coverage of international events in newspapers is neglected in favor of the coverage of local events.
(C) Readers of local news in newspapers tend to overestimate the amount of crime in their own localities relative to the amount of crime in other places.
(D) None of the events concerning other people that are reported in newspapers is so salient in people’s minds as their own personal experiences.
(E) The press is the news medium that focuses people’s attention most strongly on local crimes.
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28 Dec 2009, 15:41
C for sure!
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28 Dec 2009, 22:09
Another Vote for C
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28 Dec 2009, 22:38
one more vote for C.
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29 Dec 2009, 09:52
OA is C
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17 Jan 2010, 10:06
Would go with C....
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15 Aug 2010, 18:44
c
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15 Aug 2010, 21:25
+1 for C
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16 Aug 2010, 10:44
C it is.
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16 Aug 2010, 12:45
+1 C
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16 Aug 2010, 20:40
People tend to estimate the likelihood of an event’s occurrence according to its salience; that is, according to how strongly and how often it comes to their attention.
It can be concluded on the basis of the statements above that, if they are true, which of the following is most probably also true?
(A) The language used in newspaper headlines about local crime is inflammatory and fails to respect the rights of suspects. >>> irrelevant
(B)The coverage of international events in newspapers is neglected in favor of the coverage of local events. >>> irrelevant
(C) Readers of local news in newspapers tend to overestimate the amount of crime in their own localities relative to the amount of crime in other places.
(D) None of the events concerning other people that are reported in newspapers is so salient in people’s minds as their own personal experiences. >>> irrelevant
(E) The press is the news medium that focuses people’s attention most strongly on local crimes. >>> irrelevant
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18 Aug 2010, 01:15
C
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21 Aug 2010, 11:28
C
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24 Aug 2010, 00:44
Count +1 for C
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