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People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by obse

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Bunuel
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People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by obse [#permalink] New post   20 Dec 2018, 00:08
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People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by observing how often and how prominently it comes to their attention. Over the past few years, not only have more lotteries been established but there have also been more advertisements featuring the winners of such lotteries.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions can be properly drawn?


A. Those who run lotteries are trying to coerce consumers into buying tickets.

B. Those who buy lottery tickets tend to notice advertisements for lotteries more than those who do not buy tickets.

C. Lottery-ticket buyers may overestimate their chances of winning.

D. Misinformed people should not be allowed to make decisions.

E. Advertisements are the most common source from which people learn about lotteries.
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C
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ErikLewe
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Re: People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by obse [#permalink] New post   20 Dec 2018, 02:47
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Bunuel wrote:
People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by observing how often and how prominently it comes to their attention. Over the past few years, not only have more lotteries been established but there have also been more advertisements featuring the winners of such lotteries.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions can be properly drawn?


A. Those who run lotteries are trying to coerce consumers into buying tickets.

B. Those who buy lottery tickets tend to notice advertisements for lotteries more than those who do not buy tickets.

C. Lottery-ticket buyers may overestimate their chances of winning.

D. Misinformed people should not be allowed to make decisions.

E. Advertisements are the most common source from which people learn about lotteries.

1: More observations--> higher percieved likely
2: More lottery wins --> percieved higher chance of winning.
3: POE A, D, E
4. C is in favor over B as it concludes better
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Darshi04
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Re: People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by obse [#permalink] New post   20 Dec 2018, 12:54
Bunuel wrote:
People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by observing how often and how prominently it comes to their attention. Over the past few years, not only have more lotteries been established but there have also been more advertisements featuring the winners of such lotteries.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions can be properly drawn?


A. Those who run lotteries are trying to coerce consumers into buying tickets.

B. Those who buy lottery tickets tend to notice advertisements for lotteries more than those who do not buy tickets.

C. Lottery-ticket buyers may overestimate their chances of winning.

D. Misinformed people should not be allowed to make decisions.

E. Advertisements are the most common source from which people learn about lotteries.


Can someone please explain the thought process behind elimination of A and B, and why C is preferred over A and B?
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yash312
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Re: People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by obse [#permalink] New post   20 Dec 2018, 13:14
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Crux of passage is : People keep an account of thing happening on the basis of observing how frequent and how strongly it appears infront of them
Than an example of lottery

A: Can be true ,but it can also be not true because it is no where given in passage that lottery guys coerce their customers...maybe the people are more interested in lottery or people want to make quick money

B:There is no mention regarding buying or anything related to buying of lottery

Passage is just about a result , the cause of which is People noticing a thing

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jaisonsunny77
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Re: People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by obse [#permalink] New post   16 Jun 2020, 18:55
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A. Those who run lotteries are trying to coerce consumers into buying tickets. - the passage is not concerned with ''who'' runs lotteries.

B. Those who buy lottery tickets tend to notice advertisements for lotteries more than those who do not buy tickets. - the passage does not make the distinction between ''those who buy lotteries'' and ''those who don't buy lotteries''.

C. Lottery-ticket buyers may overestimate their chances of winning. - based on the information provided to us in the passage, we can reasonably infer (C). Hence, (C) is the right answer choice.

D. Misinformed people should not be allowed to make decisions. - the passage does not deal with ''misinformed people''

E. Advertisements are the most common source from which people learn about lotteries. - not mentioned in the passage.
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People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by obse [#permalink] New post   05 Apr 2022, 00:26
Hello expert,
The first sentence correlate the possibility of occurrence of an event with how often it comes to their attention—>the more a person notice the advertisement, the more likely he think it will happen to him (he will be the winner of lottery)—> so he will be more likely to buy the lottery (that’s what B is saying: People who buy lottery tickets tend to notice advertisements for lotteries more than those who do not buy tickets).
I went with B and request the expert to correct me. Much thanks.
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Re: People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by obse [#permalink] New post   12 Jul 2023, 05:08
I would disagree with the answer provided here, nowhere in the passage is it hinted that lottery buyers look at winning faces of lottery winner,while it is very obvious that lottery outfits run those ads for people in general to gaslight them into thinkin tat they can win the lottery.
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Re: People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by obse [#permalink]
12 Jul 2023, 05:08
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