SonofPegasus wrote:
My best guess is that there are 150 spots left to give them flexibility as they go through 2+2 apps. If they take 150, no spots for anyone else...if it's a weak pool and they only take 75, they back-fill with candidates they consider borderline. At least that's how I would do it.
Just my two cents.
2+2 has the same admissions deadline as full-time MBA applicants, so I'm sure HBS knows good and well by now the strength of the 2+2 pool and how many from that pool they intend to accept. I would bet anything that they've thoroughly gone through all of those applications by now. As such, I wouldn't believe they would work it like you've laid out.
Obviously, it's just all reading of the tea leaves for everyone on the outside, but if I had to wager I would say they probably keep 25-50 full-time MBA invites open for the final day, just to fully think it over on the most borderline of the borderline candidate pool. Honestly, it's not a good situation to be in either way. Either you've been rejected, or the adcom wasn't impressed with you to the point that they had no problem coming within a hair of rejecting you, which means you're probably still looking at a rejection even if you get an invite.