Hi there and thank you for your time.

I am currently considering applying to MBA programs in the U.S. and I am wondering if anyone had any idea what are my chances for McCombs, Columbia, Yale and Rice

Work Experience: 1.5 yr today but it will be 2.5 yr when I intend to start a MBA program. I think it is my most notable shortcomings. All the programs I mention have median work experience of 5 yr (which to be honest seems a lot to me).
1. 1 year in energy structured finance in London with a major European bank
2. 6 months in DCM in London with another major European bank (current job)
3. 1 summer internship in Frankfurt in equity research with another European bank
All the jobs were fairly quantitative and modelling-intensive however it is neither M&A nor trading, which sound much sexier on a resume I guess

Education: Top university in continental Europe (5 yr program for a combined bachelor + master, but it's just the way university is in continental Europe). GPA equivalent is 3.3-3.5 (it actually makes little sense given the grading scale in continental Europe is just way too different than in the U.S.)
Spent a full year as an exchange student at a Top 25 university in the U.S. (think Emory, Vanderbilt, Notre Dame)

Extracurricular: Founded a business-centered club in my university but nothing much to show though.
Was also an eagle scout in my country for a very long time and organized some summer camps but it was a long time ago

GMAT/GRE: I took the GRE and did quite well 98th quant percentile and 96th verbal percentile. UT Austin and Texas A&M accept the GRE but not Rice. I'll take the GMAT in September and hope to get 720/730. Should I also use my gmat scores when I apply to UT and A&M? I heard the GRE is not really respected by b-schools even though the accept it.

TOELF: Did very well too (98th percentile).

Recommendations: My manager, my manager from my energy structured finance job and my former manager from my summer internship (will it look bad and stress the fact I am still quite inexperienced vs other candidates?)

Essays: I'll talk about my goal to work in the energy industry in Texas/Louisiana, hence the focus on Texas MBAs.

Thank you for the help.

If you are seriously looking at specific schools for energy make sure you don't assume and check on linkedIn to see if there are alumni in the companies you want. You never know where you might find a good schol fit for you and a good link to the industry. You go to B-School so that you have options not so that you can be cornered.