The third round is pretty tight, but sustainability is a hot field and your GMAT score, even with the lower quant should not be a problem, but rather an asset since it would likely bring up the average at just about any school. Your academics will be a standout, with ND a top school with a great brand, and your MS in analytics will attract positive attention since analytics is all the rage. You should build this up in your application. The good news is, if you don't get in R3, your odds as a reapplicant go up (as reapplicants have a higher rate of admission). If this happens, you will want to beef up your extracurricular leadership as you indicate is weak. Not to harp on reapplying, but you likely know that if you find yourself in that position, you will need to demonstrate improvement in your profile, which could easily come from filling the EC gap.
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