Thank you for using the timer - this advanced tool can estimate your performance and suggest more practice questions. We have subscribed you to Daily Prep Questions via email.
Customized for You
we will pick new questions that match your level based on your Timer History
Track Your Progress
every week, we’ll send you an estimated GMAT score based on your performance
Practice Pays
we will pick new questions that match your level based on your Timer History
Not interested in getting valuable practice questions and articles delivered to your email? No problem, unsubscribe here.
It appears that you are browsing the GMAT Club forum unregistered!
Signing up is free, quick, and confidential.
Join other 500,000 members and get the full benefits of GMAT Club
Registration gives you:
Tests
Take 11 tests and quizzes from GMAT Club and leading GMAT prep companies such as Manhattan GMAT,
Knewton, and others. All are free for GMAT Club members.
Applicant Stats
View detailed applicant stats such as GPA, GMAT score, work experience, location, application
status, and more
Books/Downloads
Download thousands of study notes,
question collections, GMAT Club’s
Grammar and Math books.
All are free!
Thank you for using the timer!
We noticed you are actually not timing your practice. Click the START button first next time you use the timer.
There are many benefits to timing your practice, including:
PS: MGMAT Challenge of the week [#permalink]
03 Nov 2005, 21:55
00:00
A
B
C
D
E
Difficulty:
(N/A)
Question Stats:
0% (00:00) correct
0% (00:00) wrong based on 0 sessions
This topic is locked. If you want to discuss this question please re-post it in the respective forum.
All gnomes that solve this problem will get some underpants from our friends at Manhattan on Monday, when they provide OA/OE for this Try it out.
In October 2005, there was a record 75% chance of rain in New York City on any given day (along with a 25% chance of no rain). Assuming that each dayâ€™s weather was independent of the weather on any other day, what was the probability that in a given week, it rained at least 5 days in a row?
Re: PS: MGMAT Challenge of the week [#permalink]
03 Nov 2005, 22:13
duttsit wrote:
All gmones that solve this problem will get some underpants from our friends at Manhattan on Monday, when they provide OA/OE for this Try it out.
In October 2005, there was a record 75% chance of rain in New York City on any given day (along with a 25% chance of no rain). Assuming that each dayâ€™s weather was independent of the weather on any other day, what was the probability that in a given week, it rained at least 5 days in a row?
This is what I get so far using the binomial theorem:
"Wow! Brazil is big." â€”George W. Bush, after being shown a map of Brazil by Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Brasilia, Brazil, Nov. 6, 2005
Titleist, you will get underpants if I do. My answer/strategy is same as yours
anyone else?
Really??? You made my day or night I should say! Darn, it's already 1:26am my time - gots to get some sleep. Goodnight Duttsit! I'll dream of getting more underpants! _________________
"Wow! Brazil is big." â€”George W. Bush, after being shown a map of Brazil by Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Brasilia, Brazil, Nov. 6, 2005
I know how you guys approached the problem.
But I was wondering if one of you could help me with my probability concept here..
When they say 5 days in a row.. It means. MTWHF OR TWHFS or WHFSS..
It does not mean MTWHS.. which is 5 days in a week..
So, 7C5 GIVES US.. number of ways I can choose 5 numbers out of 7, right? so how does that relate to the question.. _________________
Success is my only option, failure is not -- Eminem
I know how you guys approached the problem. But I was wondering if one of you could help me with my probability concept here..
When they say 5 days in a row.. It means. MTWHF OR TWHFS or WHFSS.. It does not mean MTWHS.. which is 5 days in a week.. So, 7C5 GIVES US.. number of ways I can choose 5 numbers out of 7, right? so how does that relate to the question..
I'm giving it a quick relook - and I think I need to adjust the number of days that it can rain 5 days in a row to 3 choices
RRRRRNN
NNRRRR
NRRRRN
So only 3 choices x (3/4)^5x(1/4)^2
For at least 5 or 6 days you can have 4 choices
NRRRRRR
RRRRRRN
RNRRRRR
RRRRRNR
So 4 choices x (3/4)^5x(1/4)^2
And of course there's only 1 way it can rain 7 days in a row
thus (3/4)^7
Thus the answer is 3(3/4)^5*(1/4)^2+4(3/4)^6(1/4)+(3/4)^7
So it is Answer choice C
I won't bother doing MGMAT problems at 2am anymore. _________________
"Wow! Brazil is big." â€”George W. Bush, after being shown a map of Brazil by Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Brasilia, Brazil, Nov. 6, 2005
Bewakoof thanks for pointing that out! _________________
"Wow! Brazil is big." â€”George W. Bush, after being shown a map of Brazil by Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Brasilia, Brazil, Nov. 6, 2005
All gmones that solve this problem will get some underpants from our friends at Manhattan on Monday, when they provide OA/OE for this Try it out.
In October 2005, there was a record 75% chance of rain in New York City on any given day (along with a 25% chance of no rain). Assuming that each dayâ€™s weather was independent of the weather on any other day, what was the probability that in a given week, it rained at least 5 days in a row?
Answer
The probability that we are being asked to calculate here is comprised of multiple scenarios. Put differently, there are a number of ways for it to rain at least 5 days in a row. To solve for the overall probability, we must find the probability for each one of these independent scenarios and add them together.
Letâ€™s set: R = rainy day
S = sunny day
There are 3 different types of scenarios that we need to consider: (1) 5Râ€™s 2Sâ€™s (2) 6Râ€™s 1S and (3) 7Sâ€™s. Of course we must remember that within each scenario it must rain for at least 5 consecutive days.
TYPE 1: There are 3 ways for it to rain exactly 5 out of 7 days and for the 5 days to be consecutive: RRRRRSS, SSRRRRR, SRRRRRS (two Sâ€™s at the end, the beginning, or one on each end).
TYPE 2: There are 4 ways for it to rain exactly 6 out of 7 days and for at least five of the rainy days to be consecutive: RRRRRRS, SRRRRRR, RSRRRRR, RRRRRSR (S in position 1, 2, 6 or 7).
TYPE 3: There is one way for it to rain exactly 7 out of 7 days: RRRRRRR.
Now that we have counted and identified the different scenarios, we must find the probability of each scenario (or at least of each type of scenario).
TYPE 1: If the probability of R is Â¾ and the probability of S is Â¼, the probability of 5Râ€™s and 2Sâ€™s (it doesnâ€™t matter what order) is (3/4)^5(1/4)^2. There are three such scenarios so this contributes 3(3/4)^5(1/4)^2 to the final probability.
TYPE 2: If the probability of R is Â¾ and the probability of S is Â¼, the probability of 6Râ€™s and 1S (it doesnâ€™t matter what order) is (3/4)^6(1/4)^1. There are four such scenarios so this contributes 4(3/4)^6(1/4) to the final probability.
TYPE 3: If the probability of R is Â¾ and the probability of S is Â¼, the probability of 7Râ€™s is (3/4)^7. There is only one such scenario so this contributes (3/4)^7 to the final probability.
The final probability is 3(3/4)^5(1/4)^2 + 4(3/4)^6(1/4) + (3/4)^7.
The correct answer is C.
Note: This is just a small sample from our full list of Challenge Problems. Our students have access to our entire database of Challenge Problems and Strategy Series. CLICK HERE to register for a class _________________
"Wow! Brazil is big." â€”George W. Bush, after being shown a map of Brazil by Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Brasilia, Brazil, Nov. 6, 2005
Wow..Titleist. you got it right. You will surely get some underpants from Manhattan guys
I only accept used underpants... _________________
"Wow! Brazil is big." â€”George W. Bush, after being shown a map of Brazil by Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Brasilia, Brazil, Nov. 6, 2005