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Stuck on Probability Question

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Stuck on Probability Question [#permalink] New post 13 Nov 2010, 09:04
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Hi I was wondering if anyone knows how to work this question out:

There are 5 different coloured balls in a bag. A ball is chosen and replaced 4 times. What is the probability that:

all the balls chosen are different colours?
2 of the balls are the same colour?
3 of the balls are the same colour?
all the balls are the same colour?


Working out the all same and all different is not too hard but is there a quick way to do the other parts without drawing the 625 branch tree diagram?
Manager
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Joined: 16 Oct 2010
Posts: 89
Location: United States
Concentration: Finance, Entrepreneurship
GMAT 1: 700 Q49 V35
WE: Information Technology (Investment Banking)
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Re: Stuck on Probability Question [#permalink] New post 13 Nov 2010, 23:12
greed1 wrote:
Hi I was wondering if anyone knows how to work this question out:

There are 5 different coloured balls in a bag. A ball is chosen and replaced 4 times. What is the probability that:

all the balls chosen are different colours?
2 of the balls are the same colour?
3 of the balls are the same colour?
all the balls are the same colour?


Working out the all same and all different is not too hard but is there a quick way to do the other parts without drawing the 625 branch tree diagram?


I would like to give it a try.
1) All of the balls cosen are of different color
P = 5/5 * 4/5 * 3/5 * 2 /5 = 24/125

2) p = 5/5 * 1/5 * 4/5 * 3/5 * 4C2 = 72/125

3) p = 5/5 * 1/5 * 1/5 * 4/5 * 4C3 = 16/125

4) p = 5/5 * 1/5 * 1/5 * 1/5 = 1/125
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Re: Stuck on Probability Question [#permalink] New post 14 Nov 2010, 01:28
syog wrote:
greed1 wrote:
Hi I was wondering if anyone knows how to work this question out:

There are 5 different coloured balls in a bag. A ball is chosen and replaced 4 times. What is the probability that:

all the balls chosen are different colours?
2 of the balls are the same colour?
3 of the balls are the same colour?
all the balls are the same colour?


Working out the all same and all different is not too hard but is there a quick way to do the other parts without drawing the 625 branch tree diagram?


I would like to give it a try.
1) All of the balls cosen are of different color
P = 5/5 * 4/5 * 3/5 * 2 /5 = 24/125

2) p = 5/5 * 1/5 * 4/5 * 3/5 * 4C2 = 72/125

3) p = 5/5 * 1/5 * 1/5 * 4/5 * 4C3 = 16/125

4) p = 5/5 * 1/5 * 1/5 * 1/5 = 1/125


The right method. Your answers add up to 113/125, so what would account for the remaining 12/125?
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Re: Stuck on Probability Question [#permalink] New post 14 Nov 2010, 02:15
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greed1 wrote:
Hi I was wondering if anyone knows how to work this question out:

There are 5 different coloured balls in a bag. A ball is chosen and replaced 4 times. What is the probability that:

all the balls chosen are different colours?
2 of the balls are the same colour?
3 of the balls are the same colour?
all the balls are the same colour?


Working out the all same and all different is not too hard but is there a quick way to do the other parts without drawing the 625 branch tree diagram?


1) All balls of different colors --> (5/5) * (4/5) * (3/5) * (2/5) = (24/125)

2) 2 balls of the same color --> ((pick the color to be repeated twice) * (pick the other 2 color) * (number of permutations))/(Total permutations) = (5 * C(4,2) * (4!/2!))/(5^4) = (72/125)

3) 3 balls of the same color --> ((pick the common color) * (pick the other color) * (number of permutations))/(total permutations) = (5 * C(4,1) * (4!/3!))/5^4 = (16/125)

4) All same color --> Only 1 such combination possible for each color, there are 5 colors, so total probability = 5/5^4 = (1/125)

5) Two balls of one color and two of another color --> ((choose 2 colors) * (permute))/(total permutations) = C(5,2) * (4!/2!2!) / 5^4 = (12/125)

Total probability for all cases = 1
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1 KUDOS received
Manager
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Joined: 16 Oct 2010
Posts: 89
Location: United States
Concentration: Finance, Entrepreneurship
GMAT 1: 700 Q49 V35
WE: Information Technology (Investment Banking)
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Re: Stuck on Probability Question [#permalink] New post 14 Nov 2010, 02:28
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greed1 wrote:
syog wrote:
greed1 wrote:
Hi I was wondering if anyone knows how to work this question out:

There are 5 different coloured balls in a bag. A ball is chosen and replaced 4 times. What is the probability that:

all the balls chosen are different colours?
2 of the balls are the same colour?
3 of the balls are the same colour?
all the balls are the same colour?


Working out the all same and all different is not too hard but is there a quick way to do the other parts without drawing the 625 branch tree diagram?


I would like to give it a try.
1) All of the balls cosen are of different color
P = 5/5 * 4/5 * 3/5 * 2 /5 = 24/125

2) p = 5/5 * 1/5 * 4/5 * 3/5 * 4C2 = 72/125

3) p = 5/5 * 1/5 * 1/5 * 4/5 * 4C3 = 16/125

4) p = 5/5 * 1/5 * 1/5 * 1/5 = 1/125


The right method. Your answers add up to 113/125, so what would account for the remaining 12/125?


as suggested above, the remaining 12/125 is the probability of getting 2 balls of one colour and another 2 balls of another one colur.

p = 5/5 * 1/5 * 4/5 * 1/5 * 4C2/2 = 12/125

When we say probability of getting 2 balls of one colour, it inherently means that remaining balls are of different colours.
Re: Stuck on Probability Question   [#permalink] 14 Nov 2010, 02:28
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