MacFauz wrote:
If this were an AWA question, I would bring up the following points :
1) The number of people admitted in each round is not the same. R1 and R2 are more or less the same. But R3 is more often drastically lesser. Maybe about 10% of the class.
2) A major chunk of the internationals are Indians... Maybe a third of all internationals are Indians. So I think 10% would be more accurate.. So by numbers, closer to 20.
Even going by these numbers there should be around 40 calls i.e for Indians at least. Actual numbers might even be more depending on what percent of interviewed applicants are actually accepted.
You are of course correct in saying that it is too early to press the panic button.
linzhouu wrote:
Not to sound too depressing and negative.. but i had nothing better to do, so i took to doing some maths on tepper's on class profile ..
201 - total students,
32% international i.e 64 students,
31 countries represented i.e average of 2-3 per country.. and say from india they pick up 5-6 may be 10(too many?) from all three rounds
with yield of say max 50% they call in 20, may be 25 for interview (again all three rounds) ... == 7-8 calls per international country/round ..
I think its too early to press the panick button but ...
:!: :!:
If this is generally true for the whole applicant pool, the number of invites could be more. Also the site says 22% of 1554 applicants are admitted out of which there are 726 full-time applicants. So to conform to a class size of 201, the acceptance percentage has to be 28%. Assuming they interview 40% of the pool, then this year out of 101 applicants 50 of which are roughly Indian, 20 of them will get invites on that site. However 101 is a very small sample, hence it may not be generically applied to a larger pool but just for maths sake anyway
. Note that if we extend that unitarily to 726 full-time applicants (assuming same number of applications this year), then roughly 20 x (726/101) = 144 Indians will get the invites. Out of these 28%, i.e. 40 will get accepted. So the rest 24 will be from other countries as 32% of 201 = 64.
Word of Caution in this analysis: This information might make sense iff the number of Indian applicants scales uniformly (i.e. half of applicants are always Indians). If they don't then the accepted number will reduce, so one can assume 40 as maximum number of acceptances given that condition.
Ultimately we should not read too much into this. I was just trying to play around with numbers looking for an optimistic pattern
.