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The overall rate of emphysema has declined 15 percent over

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The overall rate of emphysema has declined 15 percent over [#permalink] New post 26 Sep 2012, 19:15
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The overall rate of emphysema has declined 15 percent over the last 15 years in region A. During that period, the total cost of care for emphysema sufferers in region A, after accounting for inflation, declined by two percent per year until eight years ago, at which time it began increasing by approximately two percent per year. Now the total health care cost for treating emphysema is approximately equal to what it was 15 years ago.

Which one of the following best resolves the apparent discrepancy between the incidence of emphysema in region A and the cost of caring for emphysema sufferers?

A . The overall cost of health care in region A has increased by seven percent in the last 15 years, after accounting for inflation.
B. Improvements in technology have significantly increased both the cost per patient and the success rate of emphysema care in the past 15 years.
C. About seven years ago, the widespread switch to health maintenance organizations halted overall increases in health care costs in region A after accounting for inflation.
D. The money made available for research into the causes and cures emphysema had been declining for many years until approximately eight years ago, since which time it has shown a modest increase.
E. Beginning about nine years ago, the most expensive-to-treat advanced cases of emphysema have been decreasing in region A at a rate of about five percent per year.

Kindly explain how the original answer is justified in resolving the paradox ?
[Reveal] Spoiler: OA
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Re: The overall rate of emphysema has declined 15 percent over [#permalink] New post 27 Sep 2012, 07:39
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The discrepancy we are addressing is that on one hand the rate of emphysema is decreasing in a population, but on the other hand the amount of money being spent on treating this disease is about the same. Why would we be spending the same amount of money treating less people?

If you look closely at B, it is saying that technology has been introduced to improve the treatment of emphysema. We would therefore expect the number of sufferers (i.e. the rate) to decrease with time. Ticks the first box, doesn’t it? It also says that this technology is getting more expensive. So it is possible that the decrease in emphysema sufferers is roughly balancing out the rising cost of treating patients. So B is our answer.
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Re: The overall rate of emphysema has declined 15 percent over [#permalink] New post 27 Sep 2012, 08:21
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The overall rate of emphysema has declined 15 percent over the last 15 years in region A. During that period, the total cost of care for emphysema sufferers in region A, after accounting for inflation, declined by two percent per year until eight years ago, at which time it began increasing by approximately two percent per year. Now the total health care cost for treating emphysema is approximately equal to what it was 15 years ago.

Which one of the following best resolves the apparent discrepancy between the incidence of emphysema in region A and the cost of caring for emphysema sufferers?

A . The overall cost of health care in region A has increased by seven percent in the last 15 years, after accounting for inflation. No - At first go, I thought that this can be ruled out because it is mentioned that "the overall cost for treating emphysema is approximately equal to what it was 15 yrs ago" . But later I realised that this option actually mentions the "overall cost of health care in Region A" not the "Total health care cost for treating emphysema in region A". Anyways, In both the cases - this option is safely ruled out.

B. Improvements in technology have significantly increased both the cost per patient and the success rate of emphysema care in the past 15 years. Correct - if the Improvements in tech have increased cost per patient and also helped in bringing down the rate of emphysema , this shows the discrepancy between the incidence of emphysema in region A and the cost of caring for emphysema sufferers.

C. About seven years ago, the widespread switch to health maintenance organizations halted overall increases in health care costs in region A after accounting for inflation. - No, Opposite to what is mentioned in the argument. "until eight years ago, at which time it began increasing by approximately two percent per year" , which means seven years ago - it actually started increasing. Another problem with this option is the same as in "A". It does not specifically talk about emphysema rather talks about overall cost of healthcare.

D. The money made available for research into the causes and cures emphysema had been declining for many years until approximately eight years ago, since which time it has shown a modest increase. - No, The money for research is out of scope unless it provides a solid proof that the money would indeed have been used if it was available

E. Beginning about nine years ago, the most expensive-to-treat advanced cases of emphysema have been decreasing in region A at a rate of about five percent per year. - No, If the most expensive-to-treat cases are decreasing the cost of health care should decrease considering the fact that the overall rate of emphysema has declined 15 percent over the last 15 years in region A



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Re: The overall rate of emphysema has declined 15 percent over [#permalink] New post 27 Sep 2012, 11:25
Dear, I got the point. even I had the same approach while solving the problem and even got it correct. But during further analysis I realized that it should explain more.

Shouldn't the correct option explain that why there was a decrease in the costs initially and then an increase in the latter half finally ending up at same level as it was initially, while at the same time the RATE OF DISEASE emphysema declined by 15% over the entire period.

Option B only explains that success rate of disease increased but it does not explain that how an increase in cost per patient would result in the pattern of cost variation described in the argument. Ultimately we have to answer the discrepancy.

Please tell me if I am thinking the entire argument in a wrong way. I will appreciate it highly.

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Re: The overall rate of emphysema has declined 15 percent over [#permalink] New post 28 Sep 2012, 00:11
Can anyone explain ?
how to prephase such argument?
i started reading question then after reading below middle information :
"During that period, the total cost of care for emphysema sufferers in region A, after accounting for inflation, declined by two percent per year until eight years ago, at which time it began increasing by approximately two percent per year"

i got confuse and lost.
although, after just reading 'Skientist' prephase of question:
"The discrepancy we are addressing is that on one hand the rate of emphysema is decreasing in a population, but on the other hand the amount of money being spent on treating this disease is about the same. Why would we be spending the same amount of money treating less people? "

i was able to get understand the argument and i got right answer

is middle 'blah blah information' just to misguide test taker?
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Re: The overall rate of emphysema has declined 15 percent over [#permalink] New post 28 Sep 2012, 00:55
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psdeol wrote:
Dear, I got the point. even I had the same approach while solving the problem and even got it correct. But during further analysis I realized that it should explain more.

Shouldn't the correct option explain that why there was a decrease in the costs initially and then an increase in the latter half finally ending up at same level as it was initially, while at the same time the RATE OF DISEASE emphysema declined by 15% over the entire period.

Option B only explains that success rate of disease increased but it does not explain that how an increase in cost per patient would result in the pattern of cost variation described in the argument. Ultimately we have to answer the discrepancy.

Please tell me if I am thinking the entire argument in a wrong way. I will appreciate it highly.

Press +1 Kudos if you like my explanation
[/quote]

The discrepancy that we need to address here is that the success rate of disease increased but the overall cost of healthcare for treating emphysema became equal to what it was 15 years ago. The second option is providing a reason why there was in increase in the latter half.

The overall cost of health care after 15 years remains the same [ why it decreased in first half is not mentioned but why it may have increased in second half thereby leading to an overall high cost as it was 15 yrs ago is mentioned in second option - ( Improvements in technology)

I hope this explains.


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Re: The overall rate of emphysema has declined 15 percent over   [#permalink] 28 Sep 2012, 00:55
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