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The tobacco industry is still profitable and projections are

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The tobacco industry is still profitable and projections are [#permalink] New post 21 Jan 2008, 22:25
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The tobacco industry is still profitable and projections are that it will remain so. In the United States this year, the total amount of tobacco sold by tobacco-farmers has increased, even though the number of adults who smoke has decreased.

Each of the following, if true, could explain the simultaneous increase in tobacco sales and decrease in the number of adults who smoke EXCEPT:
A. During this year, the number of women who have begun to smoke is greater than the number of men who have quit smoking
B. The number of teen-age children who have begun to smoke this year is greater than the number of adults who have quit smoking during the same period
C. During this year, the number of nonsmokers who have begun to use chewing tobacco or snuff is greater than the number of people who have quit smoking
D. The people who have continued to smoke consume more tobacco per person than they did in the past
E. More of the cigarettes made in the United States this year were exported to other countries than was the case last year.

I am confusing it
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Re: CR-Paradox [#permalink] New post 22 Jan 2008, 06:24
sondenso wrote:
The tobacco industry is still profitable and projections are that it will remain so. In the United States this year, the total amount of tobacco sold by tobacco-farmers has increased, even though the number of adults who smoke has decreased.

Each of the following, if true, could explain the simultaneous increase in tobacco sales and decrease in the number of adults who smoke EXCEPT:
A. During this year, the number of women who have begun to smoke is greater than the number of men who have quit smoking this doesn't explain the paradox because we are told that the total number of adults has decreased. So if more women have begun smoking then men have quit smoking, that doesn't give us any concrete information...
B. The number of teen-age children who have begun to smoke this year is greater than the number of adults who have quit smoking during the same period this explains it since if the descrease in consumption by adults is exceeded by the increase consumption by children, the net would be an increase..so eliminate
C. During this year, the number of nonsmokers who have begun to use chewing tobacco or snuff is greater than the number of people who have quit smoking this explains it because the decrease in consumption by smoking could be exceeded by the increase in consumption of chewing...so eiminate
D. The people who have continued to smoke consume more tobacco per person than they did in the past eliminate this since this scenario could still make the overall net consumption go up
E. More of the cigarettes made in the United States this year were exported to other countries than was the case last year. net production could go up if increase exports is greater than the decrease in local production, elimintate

I am confusing it




i'd go with A. whats the OA?
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Re: CR-Paradox [#permalink] New post 22 Jan 2008, 08:37
definitely A.
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Re: CR-Paradox [#permalink] New post 22 Jan 2008, 22:07
buffdaddy - nice explanation.

Thanks
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Re: CR-Paradox [#permalink] New post 23 Jan 2008, 01:34
buffdaddy wrote:
sondenso wrote:
The tobacco industry is still profitable and projections are that it will remain so. In the United States this year, the total amount of tobacco sold by tobacco-farmers has increased, even though the number of adults who smoke has decreased.

Each of the following, if true, could explain the simultaneous increase in tobacco sales and decrease in the number of adults who smoke EXCEPT:
A. During this year, the number of women who have begun to smoke is greater than the number of men who have quit smoking this doesn't explain the paradox because we are told that the total number of adults has decreased. So if more women have begun smoking then men have quit smoking, that doesn't give us any concrete information...
B. The number of teen-age children who have begun to smoke this year is greater than the number of adults who have quit smoking during the same period this explains it since if the descrease in consumption by adults is exceeded by the increase consumption by children, the net would be an increase..so eliminate
C. During this year, the number of nonsmokers who have begun to use chewing tobacco or snuff is greater than the number of people who have quit smoking this explains it because the decrease in consumption by smoking could be exceeded by the increase in consumption of chewing...so eiminate
D. The people who have continued to smoke consume more tobacco per person than they did in the past eliminate this since this scenario could still make the overall net consumption go up
E. More of the cigarettes made in the United States this year were exported to other countries than was the case last year. net production could go up if increase exports is greater than the decrease in local production, elimintate

I am confusing it




i'd go with A. whats the OA?


Thank you buffdaddy, OA is A

Have you got any tips for paradox prob.? I am always twisted by paradox.
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Re: CR-Paradox [#permalink] New post 23 Jan 2008, 19:47
Key word in the argument is "adults",

answer must be B. Hmmmm but OA is different.
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Re: CR-Paradox [#permalink] New post 23 Jan 2008, 19:52
LM wrote:
Key word in the argument is "adults",

answer must be B. Hmmmm but OA is different.


because "each ... could explain ... EXCEPT"
Re: CR-Paradox   [#permalink] 23 Jan 2008, 19:52
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