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Traditionally, decision making by governmental policy makers

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Traditionally, decision making by governmental policy makers [#permalink] New post 09 Aug 2012, 22:44
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54% (02:03) correct 45% (01:14) wrong based on 0 sessions
Traditionally, decision making by governmental policy makers that is based on solid statistical evidence has been considered preferable to more seat-of-the-pants, intuitive decision making. However, a recent study found that top governmental policy makers use intuition far more often than low-level governmental policy makers. This strongly supports the opposite view that decision making using intuition is more effective than decision making based on statistical evidence.

The conclusion above is based on which of the following assumptions?

A. The use of statistics is often inappropriate for making fast decisions in real life.
B. Top governmental policy makers have the ability to make decisions based on statistical evidence or intuition.
C. Low-level governmental policy makers make decisions based on intuition some of the time.
D. Top governmental policy makers use intuitive reasoning in the majority of their important decisions.
E. Top governmental policy makers are more effective at decision making than are low-level governmental policy makers.
[Reveal] Spoiler: OA
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Re: Traditionally, decision making by governmental policy makers [#permalink] New post 09 Aug 2012, 23:02
macjas wrote:
Traditionally, decision making by governmental policy makers that is based on solid statistical evidence has been considered preferable to more seat-of-the-pants, intuitive decision making. However, a recent study found that top governmental policy makers use intuition far more often than low-level governmental policy makers. This strongly supports the opposite view that decision making using intuition is more effective than decision making based on statistical evidence.

The conclusion above is based on which of the following assumptions?

A. The use of statistics is often inappropriate for making fast decisions in real life.
B. Top governmental policy makers have the ability to make decisions based on statistical evidence or intuition.
C. Low-level governmental policy makers make decisions based on intuition some of the time.
D. Top governmental policy makers use intuitive reasoning in the majority of their important decisions.
E. Top governmental policy makers are more effective at decision making than are low-level governmental policy makers.


'A' - No connection with conclusion above.
'B' - Fickle thought. no concrete reasoning for the conclusion.
'C' - No direct linkage in absolute term.
'D' - It is dividing the situation in Improtant Decision and unimprotant decision.
'E' - Right and clearly explain the situation.
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Re: Traditionally, decision making by governmental policy makers [#permalink] New post 09 Aug 2012, 23:19
Two methods for decision making
-statistical
-intuitive


"... top governmental policy makers use intuition far more often than low-level governmental policy makers..."

Assumption:-
May be the decision making chosen by the officials(intuitive) yield more accurate results/beneficial results, so the intuitive decision making is often preferred.

(E) has it.
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Re: Traditionally, decision making by governmental policy makers [#permalink] New post 10 Aug 2012, 07:13
conclusion is : This strongly supports the opposite view that decision making using intuition is more effective than decision making based on statistical evidence.

therefore assumption is top govt officials are better policy makers (e)
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Re: Traditionally, decision making by governmental policy makers [#permalink] New post 10 Aug 2012, 08:15
Is it not inference type question. ? What can be inferred seems to be better !!
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Re: Traditionally, decision making by governmental policy makers   [#permalink] 10 Aug 2012, 08:15
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