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When people predict that certain result will not take place

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When people predict that certain result will not take place [#permalink] New post 31 Jan 2010, 12:13
00:00
A
B
C
D
E

Difficulty:

  5% (low)

Question Stats:

30% (02:37) correct 70% (02:18) wrong based on 13 sessions
When people predict that certain result will not take place unless a certain action
is taken, they believe that they have learned that the prediction is correct when
the action is taken and the result occurs. On reflection, however, it often becomes
clear that the result admits of more than one interpretation.
Which of the following, if true, best supports the claims above?
(A) Judging the success of an action requires specifying the goal of the action.
(B) Judging which action to take after a prediction is made requires knowing
about other actions that have been successful in similar past situations.
(C) Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires knowing the
result using that strategy through several trials.
(D) Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect
prediction and ineffective action is often impossible.
(E) Making a successful prediction requires knowing the facts about the context
of that prediction.
[Reveal] Spoiler:
D


Source :LSAT Material
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Last edited by mojorising800 on 01 Feb 2010, 08:08, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Torugh CR [#permalink] New post 31 Jan 2010, 12:28
mojorising800 wrote:
When people predict that certain result will not take place unless a certain action
is taken, they believe that they have learned that the prediction is correct when
the action is taken and the result occurs. On reflection, however, it often becomes
clear that the result admits of more than one interpretation.
Which of the following, if true, best supports the claims above?
(A) Judging the success of an action requires specifying the goal of the action.
(B) Judging which action to take after a prediction is made requires knowing
about other actions that have been successful in similar past situations.
(C) Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires knowing the
result using that strategy through several trials.
(D) Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect
prediction and ineffective action is often impossible.
(E) Making a successful prediction requires knowing the facts about the context
of that prediction.



Would go with E.....

CN = the result of the action admits of more than one interpretation...
Only E supports this conclusion!
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Re: Torugh CR [#permalink] New post 01 Feb 2010, 07:32
My answer is C. The predictive strategy can be deemed good if the desired result is seen after several trials.

This is a tough one though, what is the source?
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Re: Torugh CR [#permalink] New post 01 Feb 2010, 08:15
I was stuck btw C and E too, but will go with "E" because, let's take it reverse from q/stem an action is correct when prediction is correct.

therefore, we have to make sure the facts about the context of that prediction will make an action success.
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Re: Torugh CR [#permalink] New post 01 Feb 2010, 08:16
no way.. the OA is.....8-(. somebody pls explain :?: :shock:
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Re: Torugh CR [#permalink] New post 01 Feb 2010, 09:17
I gotta be honest, the more I see of these LSAT CRs the less like GMAT CRs they seem.
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Re: Torugh CR [#permalink] New post 02 Feb 2010, 03:42
Egads! This one was confusing.
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Re: Torugh CR [#permalink] New post 02 Feb 2010, 07:14
D
Got it right. But definitely a yucky one ....

B C and E: all of them consider "knowing" as a factor to be able to predict something, to a varying degree. They basically imply that some kind of prediction is possible from enough 'knowing'.
A: judging not covered in the argument. Abit of a stretch there.

D is talking about something unpredictable, something uknown; the passage conveys a similar sense.
Re: Torugh CR   [#permalink] 02 Feb 2010, 07:14
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