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# 90) ERNESTO:Sales of VCR's-videocassette recorders-will

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Senior Manager
Joined: 06 Dec 2003
Posts: 366
Location: India
90) ERNESTO:Sales of VCR's-videocassette recorders-will [#permalink]

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24 Sep 2004, 23:12
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(90) ERNESTO:Sales of VCR's-videocassette recorders-will decline in the
next few years because the saturation level among U.S. household has virtualty been reached.
MILTON: Every year a greater number of popular feature films is released on cassette - at least 6 per month . Clearly VCR sales will
remain constant, if not rise.
Which of the following is the best logical evaluatoin of Milton's response to Ernesto's arhument?

(a) He cites evidence that, if true, disproves the evidence cited by Ernesto in drawing his conclusion.
(b) He points out a gap in the logic followed by Ernesto in drawing his conclusion.
(c) He cites an issue ignores by Ernesto and which outweighs the issues raised by Ernesto.
(d) He does not speak to Ernesto's point because he fails to raise the issue of whether VCR sales may be linked to sales of other leisure related products.
(e) He fails to respond to Ernesto's argument because he assumes that nothing will significantly retard the sale of VCR's, which was the issue
that Ernesto raised.

Dharmin
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Perseverance, Hard Work and self confidence

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Joined: 16 Jun 2004
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24 Sep 2004, 23:47
I will go with D on this one. the no. of vidoe casettes coming out could be because every household anyway has a VCR (saturation point). But will vidoe casette sales in such case have any influence on VCR sales - need not be.
Director
Joined: 31 Aug 2004
Posts: 606

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25 Sep 2004, 06:26
I remember this one from kaplan home study book and verbal worbook...

The trap is between D & E, "retard" in E being not IMO the appropriate word to speak about saturation or canibalisation anyway ; D provides direct argument from tapes sales...

I let dharmin provide the OA[/i]
SVP
Joined: 30 Oct 2003
Posts: 1790
Location: NewJersey USA

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26 Sep 2004, 07:03
I believe (D) is the answer.

He does not address the issue raised by ERNESTO.
Manager
Joined: 27 Aug 2004
Posts: 124
Location: US

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26 Sep 2004, 07:08
Yes agree. D should be the answer.
Senior Manager
Joined: 06 Dec 2003
Posts: 366
Location: India

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26 Sep 2004, 23:59
I have also choosed "D"
Though OA given is "E", it seems typo

Dharmin
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27 Sep 2004, 03:05
I did this one from Kaplan home study book... OA was E and I was unable to choose between D & E.

Dharmin, what is your source ?

As I mentioned previously what sounds awkward to me in E is this "retard" word. I can only understand it as "delay" but my english is to poor to be sure it is the unique meaning.

What makes me puzzled is that tapes is not really the business problem, penetration rate of VCR is.
Senior Manager
Joined: 06 Dec 2003
Posts: 366
Location: India

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28 Sep 2004, 12:26
Hi twixt, I am wading through G+ right now and it has no explanation.
Has kaplan book given any explanation for this one ?

Dharmin
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03 Oct 2004, 05:42
E for me.
He does talk about the cassette's which is a leisure item, hence D can't be true.
He fails to address ernesto's point and speaks to something that is in no way related to VCR sales...how does the number of cassettes relate to VCR's ..no way. Thus he is pretty confident to the extent that he speaks garbage, as far as logical response is considered
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Franky
http://franky4gmat.blogspot.com

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03 Oct 2004, 15:26
Dharmin,

here is the Kaplan explaination :

E's Conclusion : VCR sales will decline
E's Evidence : the saturation level for households has been reached

M's Conclusion : VCR sales won't decline
M's Evidence : more and more films are released on videotape

Milton ignores Ernesto's argument that the stauration point has been reached for VCRs. He concentrates on the new cassettes coming out, but te availability of new cassettes does not mean people need buiy or will buy more recorders. Milton ignores the relevant issue of saturation raised by Ernesto and simply assumes that sales of VCRs will continue as before.
M's evidence does not disprove E's evidence (A)
The video appearing each year have nothing to do with whether the saturation point in VCR ownership has been reached. "finding a gap" (B) in an argument means demonstrating that the evidence does not lead to the conclusion ; Milton merely brings up some irrelevant information thet has nothing to do with E's reasoning? Milton does cite an issue that E ignored (C) but the claim that this issue out weighs the issue of saturation is unsupported.
Milton does fail to speak to E's point (D) but for the bizrre reason given here? E has absolutely nothing to say about other leisure related products there is no reasn for M to raise this issue...

I am not really convinced anyway that's the OA...
03 Oct 2004, 15:26
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