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Re: A man can hit a target once in 4 shots. If he fires 4 shots in success [#permalink]
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Try a bernoulli trial here.
P(k)=nCk*p^k*(1-p)^(n-k) where n is the number of shots k is the number of hits p is probability of a hit

set k=0 and you get

P(k)=4C0*(3/4)^4=3^4/4^4=81/256

1-P(k)=(256-81)/256=175/256

Hope this helped

Originally posted by joeshmo on 08 Jan 2012, 14:43.
Last edited by joeshmo on 08 Jan 2012, 15:18, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: A man can hit a target once in 4 shots. If he fires 4 shots in success [#permalink]
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joeshmo wrote:
Try a bernoulli trial here.
P(k)=nCk*p^n*(1-p)^(n-k) where n is the number of shots k is the number of hits p is probability of a hit

set k=0 and you get

P(k)=4C0*(3/4)^4=3^4/4^4=81/256

1-P(k)=(256-81)/256=175/256

Hope this helped


Thanks Joe.

This does lead to the right answer, but I am still missing how to add them all up. It's the classical, albeit slower, way of going about these problem.s
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Re: A man can hit a target once in 4 shots. If he fires 4 shots in success [#permalink]
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You are missing the nCk multiplier portion so for 1 hit it would be 4C1 for 2 hits it would be 4C2 for 3 hits it would be 4C3

So 1 hit

P(1 hit)=4C3*(1/4)*(3/4)^3
P(2 hit)=4C2*(1/4)^2*(3/4)^2
P(3 hit)=4C1*(1/4)^3*(3/4)^1
P(4 hit)=4C0*(1/4)^4

P(1)=108/256
P(2)=54/256
P(3)=12/256
P(4)=1/256
P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)=175/256
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Re: A man can hit a target once in 4 shots. If he fires 4 shots in success [#permalink]
Thanx Bunuel....i guess the wording just got me confused.
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Re: A man can hit a target once in 4 shots. If he fires 4 shots in success [#permalink]
Here's the question

A man can hit a target once in 4 shots. If he fires 4 shots in succession, what is the probability that he will hit his target?

A. 1

B. 255/256

C. 175/256

D. 1/4

E. 1/2

I do know how to get it using the 1-(No hits). However, I can't for the life of me get it by adding probabilities together.

This is what I am doing

P(One hit) = (1/4)*(3/4)^3 = 27/256
P(Two hits)=(1/4)^2 * (3/4)^2= 9/256
P(Three hits)=(1/4)^3 * (3/4)= 3/256
P(Four hits) = (1/4)^4 = 1/256

Adding them all together would yield 40/256 which is wrong.

I am missing something.

Thanks in advance.

Source is 4gmat.com
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Re: A man can hit a target once in 4 shots. If he fires 4 shots in success [#permalink]
Probability = 1st hit + 2nd hit + 3rd hit + 4th hit
1st = (1/4)(3/4)^3 X 4C3
2nd = (1/4)^2(3/4)^2 x 4C2
3rd = (1/4)^3(3/4)^1 x 4C1
4th = (1/4)^4

Total = 175/256

Total =
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Re: A man can hit a target once in 4 shots. If he fires 4 shots in success [#permalink]
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Re: A man can hit a target once in 4 shots. If he fires 4 shots in success [#permalink]
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