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# At the present time, 98% of the world energy consumption comes from st

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At the present time, 98% of the world energy consumption comes from st  [#permalink]

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Updated on: 09 Oct 2019, 22:46
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At the present time, 98% of the world energy consumption comes from stored sources, such as fossil fuels or nuclear fuel. Only hydroelectric and wood energy represent completely renewable sources on ordinary time scales. Discovery of large additional fossil fuel reserves, solution of the nuclear safety and waste disposal problems, or the development of controlled thermonuclear fusion will provide only a short-term solution to the world’s energy crisis. Within about 100 years, the thermal pollution resulting from our increased energy consumption will make solar energy a necessity at any cost.

Man’s energy consumption is currently about one part in ten thousand that of the energy we receive from the sun. However, it is growing at a 5% rate, of which about 2% represents a population growth and 3% a per capita energy increase. If this growth continues, within 100 years our energy consumption will be about 1 percent of the absorbed solar energy, enough to increase the average temperature of the earth by about one degree centigrade if stored energy continues to be our predominant source. This will be the point at which there will be significant effects in our climate, including the melting of the polar ice caps, a phenomenon that will raise the level of the oceans and flood parts of our major cities. There is positive feedback associated with this process, since the polar ice cap contributes to the partial reflectivity of the energy arriving from the sun: As the ice caps begin to melt, the reflectivity will decrease, thus heating the earth still further.

It is often stated that the growth rate will decline or that energy conservation measures will preclude any long-range problem. Instead, this only postpones the problem by a few years. Conservation by a factor of 2, together with a maintenance of the 5% growth rate, delays the problem by only 14 years. Reduction of the growth rate to 4% postpones the problem by only 25 years; in addition, the inequities in standards of living throughout the world will provide pressure toward an increase in growth rate, particularly if cheap energy is available. The problem of a changing climate will not be evident until perhaps 10 years before it becomes critical due to the nature of an exponential growth rate together with the normal annual weather variations. This may be too short a period to circumvent the problem by converting to other energy sources, so advance planning is a necessity.

The only practical means of avoiding the problem of thermal pollution appears to be the use of solar energy. (Schemes to “air-condition” the earth do not appear to be feasible before the twenty-second century.) Using the solar energy before it is dissipated to heat does not increase the earth’s energy balance. The cost of solar energy is extremely favorable now, particularly when compared to the cost of relocating many of our major cities.

1. The author is primarily concerned with

(A) describing a phenomenon and explaining its causes
(B) outlining a position and supporting it with statistics
(C) isolating an ambiguity and clarifying it by definition
(D) presenting a problem and advocating a solution for it
(E) citing a counterargument and refuting it

2. According to the passage, all of the following are factors which will tend to increase thermal pollution EXCEPT

(A) the earth’s increasing population
(B) melting of the polar ice caps
(C) increase in per capita energy consumption
(D) pressure to redress standard of living inequities by increasing energy consumption
(E) expected anomalies in weather patterns

3. The positive feedback mentioned in means that the melting of the polar ice caps will

(A) reduce per capita energy consumption
(B) accelerate the transition to solar energy
(C) intensify the effects of thermal pollution
(D) necessitate a shift to alternative energy sources
(E) result in the inundations of major cities

4. The author mentions the possibility of energy conservation in order to

(A) preempt and refute a possible objection to his position
(B) support directly the central thesis of the passage
(C) minimize the significance of a contradiction in the passage
(D) prove that such measures are ineffective and counterproductive

5. It can be inferred that the “airconditioning” of the earth refers to proposals to

(A) distribute frigid air from the polar ice caps to coastal cities as the temperature increases due to thermal pollution
(B) dissipate the surplus of the release of stored solar energy over absorbed solar energy into space
(C) conserve completely renewable energy sources by requiring that industry replace these resources
(D) avoid further thermal pollution by converting to solar energy as opposed to conventional and nuclear sources
(E) utilize hydroelectric and wood energy to replace nonconventional energy sources such as nuclear energy

6. The tone of the passage is best describe as one of

(A) unmitigated outrage
(B) cautious optimism
(C) reckless abandon
(D) smug self-assurance
(E) pronounced alarm

7. Which of the following would be the most logical topic for the author to address in a succeeding paragraph?

(A) The problems of nuclear safety and waste disposal
(B) A history of the development of solar energy
(C) The availability and cost of solar energy technology
(D) The practical effects of flooding of coastal cities
(E) The feasibility of geothermal energy

Source: Master GMAT
Difficulty Level: 700

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Last edited by SajjadAhmad on 09 Oct 2019, 22:46, edited 5 times in total.
Updated - Complete topic (911).
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Re: At the present time, 98% of the world energy consumption comes from st  [#permalink]

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29 Dec 2018, 17:27

+1 kudos to the posts containing answer explanations of all questions

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Re: At the present time, 98% of the world energy consumption comes from st  [#permalink]

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30 Dec 2018, 08:28
For Q4, can someone explain how the answer is A? I selected D because the following sentence in the passage says "Instead, this only postpones the problem by a few years" This sounds like the "energy conservation" mentioned in the previous sentence will be ineffective.

For Q5, how do we know the answer is B from the passage?

For Q6, I heavily believe the tone is more aligned with "pronounced alarm" than "cautious optimism". The entire passage basically states why we need to move away from energy sources that heat up the earth... Could someone please explain this?
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Re: At the present time, 98% of the world energy consumption comes from st  [#permalink]

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30 Dec 2018, 09:36
kchen1994 wrote:
For Q4, can someone explain how the answer is A? I selected D because the following sentence in the passage says "Instead, this only postpones the problem by a few years" This sounds like the "energy conservation" mentioned in the previous sentence will be ineffective.

For Q5, how do we know the answer is B from the passage?

For Q6, I heavily believe the tone is more aligned with "pronounced alarm" than "cautious optimism". The entire passage basically states why we need to move away from energy sources that heat up the earth... Could someone please explain this?

I have the same set of questions. Anybody coming up with the explanations would be great.
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Re: At the present time, 98% of the world energy consumption comes from st  [#permalink]

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Updated on: 30 Dec 2018, 13:36
3
7 mins 41 secs... Got 6 out of 7. Great passage and great questions. Very challenging yet somehow doable.

Will post my thoughts on individual solutions in an edit to this post.

Edit 1:

Summary/Main point: Author is optimistic that starting to convert to solar from conventional energy can help us solve the thermal pollution problem. Lots of info about positive feedback loop.. effects of excess heat and why conservation is no good as it will only delay but not solve the problem is presented by the author.

need to understand the main point of the passage to tackle this.
1. The author is primarily concerned with

(A) describing a phenomenon and explaining its causes TRAP - if the thermal pollution was the phenomenon then author just does not explain causes but goes ahead and talks a lot about solution as well. Discard
(B) outlining a position and supporting it with statistics Discard. Too vague and does not capture the central idea.
(C) isolating an ambiguity and clarifying it by definitionThere is no ambiguity. Discard
(D) presenting a problem and advocating a solution for itPerfect. The author does exactly this.
(E) citing a counterargument and refuting itBS option. Discard.

Detail question. Pretty straightforward as it is mentioned verbatim in the passage
2. According to the passage, all of the following are factors which will tend to increase thermal pollution EXCEPT

(A) the earth’s increasing populationYep. The population growth part
(B) melting of the polar ice caps TRAP - this is both the result of and also a cause of... Refer to positive feedback process.
(C) increase in per capita energy consumptionYep. This is the per capita increment part leading to more demand overall .
(D) pressure to redress standard of living inequities by increasing energy consumptionyep.. me tioned in the passage that such inequalities speed up the growth of energy demand as energy becomes cheap
(E) expected anomalies in weather patternsBingo - this is a pure effect of increase in thermal pollution

Detail question. Positive feedback is explained in melting of icecaps.. which is a result of thermal pollution causes less reflection of suns rays leading to more melting.. like a positive feedback loop
3. The positive feedback mentioned in means that the melting of the polar ice caps will

(A) reduce per capita energy consumption BS option. Discard
(B) accelerate the transition to solar energyBS option. discard
(C) intensify the effects of thermal pollution BINGO! Exactly mentioned in passage
(D) necessitate a shift to alternative energy sourcesTRAP - vague indirect result of this.. but not explaining what it does directly.
(E) result in the inundations of major cities discard... Does mention about submergence of costal areas but the option is vague...

Interesting question. This feels like a CR inside a RC passage. The position of the statement comes right after conservation of energy alternative is introduced only to point out that conservation is a temporary solution unlike what it's proponents convey. Hence it is a counterpoint to it.
4. The author mentions the possibility of energy conservation in order to

(A) preempt and refute a possible objection to his position Bingo! You beauty..
(B) support directly the central thesis of the passage opposite.. discard.
(C) minimize the significance of a contradiction in the passagethere is no contradiction in the passage
(D) prove that such measures are ineffective and counterproductiveTRAP #1: this may be true but this is not the purpose of the statement as used by the author. Need to think from a CR point of view here... This is a classic real world trap.

Q5 - Didn't get this one.. will add explanation in an edit if I find one or come up with new ideas.

easiest of the lot. Pretty straightforward if you understand the main point
6. The tone of the passage is best describe as one of

(B) cautious optimismBingo! The author wants to caution about the evils of current way of life and it's draw back while showing that solar energy ( shifting to it right away) will solve the problem.
(D) smug self-assuranceBS option. Almost an insult to your intellect
(E) pronounced alarm TRAP - this may seem the case if you focus only on the first half of the passage... Overall this is not the time as it is too extreme keeping in light the way the author ends the passage

Follow up passage question . I always mix up these but here it is pretty straightforward due to options and the last sentence of passage
7. Which of the following would be the most logical topic for the author to address in a succeeding paragraph?

(A) The problems of nuclear safety and waste disposal irrelevant to discussion. Discard
(B) A history of the development of solar energy Trap - eventgoughwe are looking for solar energy .. history would be irrelevant to the discussion... Which talks about next steps
(C) The availability and cost of solar energy technologyBingo! Perfect cohesion with the last part which talks about costs etc..
(D) The practical effects of flooding of coastal citiesBS option. Almost one the verge of insane.
(E) The feasibility of geothermal energyalso a plausible candidate .. but discard as the author mentions that "solar is the only way forward" so it is likely that he would talk about next steps with solar in mind

Phew! That was one helluva passage and writing this post took me around 30+ mins... Hope you liked it. Let me know.

Best,
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Originally posted by Gladiator59 on 30 Dec 2018, 12:39.
Last edited by Gladiator59 on 30 Dec 2018, 13:36, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: At the present time, 98% of the world energy consumption comes from st  [#permalink]

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30 Dec 2018, 13:50
Q4 asks for the authors intentions of mentioning conservation. Yes, the point is to prove that conservation is inefficient in the long run, but the motive of explaining this methodology is to dismiss it as a potential objection to his argument.

Q5 is a bit ambiguous, but think about how a split pack air conditioner works. Without getting too much into the technicalities, we know that it releases cold air inside, and pushes out hot air outside. (B) can be inferred from this analogy.

Re: At the present time, 98% of the world energy consumption comes from st   [#permalink] 30 Dec 2018, 13:50
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