First sentence: "
If central business districts were restricted to commercial traffic, which includes taxis and buses, most personal cars would not enter urban centers"
- There is a clear assumption here. That is, personal cars do not belong to commercial traffic type. So, a limit use to only commercial traffic will exclude the appearance of personal cars.
Answer C (as the official fits very well).
Second sentence, also the conclusion: "
Such a reduction in traffic would reduce the risk of congestion and collisions in central business districts"
- "Such a reduction in traffic" equally means that "such a reduction in the appearance of personal cars". and this will reduce the risk of congestion and collisions. Problems appear:
why does the reduction of personal cars help to reduce the risk of congestion and collisions in central business districts?
-
Doubtless there are two assumptions:
1) Personal cars must have contributed to the increasing risk congestion and collisions in central business districts, and a reduction in personal cars will reduce such risk.
- However, logically, we have the pattern:
A causes B. Then,
Not A DOES NOT NECESSARILY mean Not B.
- Therefore, the reduction in personal cars does not guarantee that the risk of congestion and collisions is reduced UNLESS it rests upon the second assumptions:
2) Between commercial traffic and personal cars, the former will cause less (or even no) risk of congestion and collision THAN personal cars. At that time, when there is much less appearance of personal cars and mostly the appearance of commercial traffic, the risk of congestion and collision WILL BE reduced.
- Such assumption is equally to: "
Personal cars are more likely to cause congestion or be involved in collisions than commercial traffic." It is
answer D.
I believe I just use the words and answers from the questions to deal with the understanding. So I strongly think that I put no more common sense or "real world" factors which others often claim as the flaw in student's reasoning. With such reasoning, I suggest that this is not a good question.
Answer C indeed helps us to strengthen the conclusion tremendously because the lack of it will make the claim meaningless outright. HOWEVER, even if C true, can the conclusion hold without D? Absolutely NOT! (as my reasoning above)
Assumption is a decisive factor that if it is not there, the conclusion cannot hold, C and D should be both important. One CANNOT say that assumption C appears before assumption D and assumption C bears a heavy weight of an assumption. That would be a ridiculous thing to say because such claim indeed is based on the flow of one's own thinking, whereas we are dealing with the meaning of the possible assumptions themselves in the already claimed conclusion.
unstoppable wrote:
If central business districts were restricted to commercial traffic, which includes taxis and buses, most personal cars would not enter urban centers. Such a reduction in traffic would reduce the risk of congestion and collisions in central business districts.
The conclusion drawn in the first sentence depends on which of the following assumptions?
A.Roads and parking facilities outside urban centers are as convenient as those in central business districts for personal cars.
B.Most roads and parking facilities outside urban centers are not designed to handle commercial traffic.
C.Most personal cars are not used for commercial purposes.
D.Personal cars are more likely to cause congestion or be involved in collisions than commercial traffic.
E.A reduction in personal cars in central business districts would lead eventually to increases in commercial traffic.
My doubt: How do we identify the conclusion here? Since it is already mentioned that the conclusion is the "first sentence",I could get the question right. But otherwise I feel the conclusion is the second sentence.