vdadwal wrote:
If the probability of Sita getting selected to a school is 20% and she applied to 3 schools. What is the probability that she will get selected in at least one school?
A. 24/125
B. 21/125
C. 61/125
D. 12/125
E. 18/125
My answer is : 1/5 *4/5*4/5+1/5*1/5*4/5+1/5*1/5*1/5 = 21/125
However if i go by another approach the answer is 1- 4/5 * 4/5*4/5 =61/125
What i am missing , Please comment?
It's much better to calculate the probability of the opposite event, which would be that Sita will be rejected by all three schools, and subtract that value from 1: \(P=1-(\frac{4}{5})^3=\frac{61}{125}\).
Direct approach:The probability that she will be selected by at least one school equals to the sum of the probabilities of the following three events:
1. She is selected by only one school: \(P(SRR)=\frac{3!}{2!}*\frac{1}{5}*\frac{4}{5}*\frac{4}{5}=\frac{48}{125}\) (S stands for selected and R stands for rejected). We are multiplying by \(\frac{3!}{2!}\), since SRR scenario can occur in several ways: SRR, RSR, RRS, (so \(\frac{3!}{2!}\) is # of permutations of 3 letters SRR out of which 2 R's are identical);
2. She is selected by only two school: \(P(SSR)=\frac{3!}{2!}*\frac{1}{5}*\frac{1}{5}*\frac{4}{5}=\frac{12}{125}\), the same reason of multiplying by \(\frac{3!}{2!}\);
3. She is selected by all three school: \(P(SSS)=(\frac{1}{5})^3=\frac{1}{125}\), we are not multiplying this time since SSS can occur only in one way.
So \(P=\frac{48}{125}+\frac{12}{125}+\frac{1}{125}=\frac{61}{125}\).
Answer: C.
Hope it's clear.
BB's answers are 99.99999 times crystal clear..