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In the city of North Haverbrook, where a new tourism industry is growi

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In the city of North Haverbrook, where a new tourism industry is growi  [#permalink]

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New post 16 Aug 2019, 03:10
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Question Stats:

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In the city of North Haverbrook, where a new tourism industry is growing, hotels have been booked to capacity and forced to turn away potential visitors with increasing frequency. The number of desired room bookings is expected to increase by 25 percent within the next four years. Meanwhile, the local chamber of commerce believes that the establishment of new hotels will increase booking capacity by only 3 percent per year. Nevertheless, the chamber believes that this growth in the hotel industry will be sufficient to ensure that North Haverbrook's hotels do not turn away more potential bookings than they presently do.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest grounds for the officials' prediction?

A. Visitors to North Haverbrook can easily stay in nearby South Haverbrook, where hotel capacity exceeds demand by 15 percent.

B. Many of the new visitors to North Haverbrook are campers, and there is ample excess capacity to camp in North Haverbrook's park.

C. Many of the new visitors are students who intend to save costs by sleeping several people to a room.

D. Many of the new visitors to North Haverbrook will visit at times of year other than the two peak months.

E. Visitors to North Haverbrook can reach the city only by cable car up a mountain, and the capacity of the cable car traffic will grow even more slowly than that of the hotel rooms.

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New post 17 Aug 2019, 03:37
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Why is option C wrong and D right?
What makes option D better than option B
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New post 17 Aug 2019, 05:42
sleeping several people to a room is for "money"
reservation a room for 3 people = occupy 3 room capacity

correlation between those bias and room capacity is relatively vague.
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New post 18 Aug 2019, 07:05
GMATNinja need help why C is wrong.
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In the city of North Haverbrook, where a new tourism industry is growi  [#permalink]

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New post 18 Aug 2019, 07:43
devavrat wrote:
Why is option C wrong and D right?
What makes option D better than option B



I think C talks about the current state, whereas 25% increase is expected in the future, that is exactly targeted in option D
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In the city of North Haverbrook, where a new tourism industry is growi  [#permalink]

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New post Updated on: 20 Aug 2019, 17:15
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Bunuel wrote:
In the city of North Haverbrook, where a new tourism industry is growing, hotels have been booked to capacity and forced to turn away potential visitors with increasing frequency. The number of desired room bookings is expected to increase by 25 percent within the next four years. Meanwhile, the local chamber of commerce believes that the establishment of new hotels will increase booking capacity by only 3 percent per year. Nevertheless, the chamber believes that this growth in the hotel industry will be sufficient to ensure that North Haverbrook's hotels do not turn away more potential bookings than they presently do.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest grounds for the officials' prediction?

A. Visitors to North Haverbrook can easily stay in nearby South Haverbrook, where hotel capacity exceeds demand by 15 percent. Sure. That may be true. But am I strengthening the claim that hotels will stop saying no to the customers? No.

B. Many of the new visitors to North Haverbrook are campers, and there is ample excess capacity to camp in North Haverbrook's park. Same reasoning. Tourist may wish to do whatever they want but will hotels stop turning down the customers ? No.

C. Many of the new visitors are students who intend to save costs by sleeping several people to a room. You can either categorise it as not relevant or you can also think on the lines of why students will stay in hotels and hotels are not hostels. Either way this is not strong.

D. Many of the new visitors to North Haverbrook will visit at times of year other than the two peak months. Even if I keep the number of hotels same but tourists start coming in equal numbers throughout the year then the hotels will stop turning down the customers. Yes. This answers my question.

E. Visitors to North Haverbrook can reach the city only by cable car up a mountain, and the capacity of the cable car traffic will grow even more slowly than that of the hotel rooms. Sure. But again are you answering the question? No.


I just tried to provide a simple explanation. Any comments would be appreciated. Thank you :)
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Originally posted by TheNightKing on 19 Aug 2019, 20:22.
Last edited by TheNightKing on 20 Aug 2019, 17:15, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: In the city of North Haverbrook, where a new tourism industry is growi  [#permalink]

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New post 20 Aug 2019, 00:35
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Bunuel wrote:
In the city of North Haverbrook, where a new tourism industry is growing, hotels have been booked to capacity and forced to turn away potential visitors with increasing frequency. The number of desired room bookings is expected to increase by 25 percent within the next four years. Meanwhile, the local chamber of commerce believes that the establishment of new hotels will increase booking capacity by only 3 percent per year. Nevertheless, the chamber believes that this growth in the hotel industry will be sufficient to ensure that North Haverbrook's hotels do not turn away more potential bookings than they presently do.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest grounds for the officials' prediction?

A. Visitors to North Haverbrook can easily stay in nearby South Haverbrook, where hotel capacity exceeds demand by 15 percent.

B. Many of the new visitors to North Haverbrook are campers, and there is ample excess capacity to camp in North Haverbrook's park.

C. Many of the new visitors are students who intend to save costs by sleeping several people to a room.

D. Many of the new visitors to North Haverbrook will visit at times of year other than the two peak months.

E. Visitors to North Haverbrook can reach the city only by cable car up a mountain, and the capacity of the cable car traffic will grow even more slowly than that of the hotel rooms.


OFFICIAL EXPLANATION:



Reading the question: although the question stem isn't really phrased as such, the prompt has the structure of an "explain" question. There are two facts seemingly in contradiction, and we must choose the statement that accommodates and reconciles them.

Creating a filter: How could 1) a 3% increase in capacity be sufficient when 2) room bookings go up 25%? Supposing that we don't have a prediction, we can turn to the answer choices and look for choices that don't contradict the facts and address both 1) and 2).

Applying the filter: choice (A) contradicts the prompt; the whole point is that we won't have to turn anyone away. Same with (B): room bookings are supposed to go up 25%, not just visitors, so (B) is either contradictory or irrelevant. Choice (E) is irrelevant to the comparison of demand and capacity in the hotel rooms.

Logical proof: so we're left with (C) and (D). We can examine cases to elucidate what they mean and which is correct. Choice (D) would be wrong if we were told that the peak booking or simultaneous booking is up 25 percent... but we are not told that. Does (C) have a problem? Yes, it does: we are talking about room bookings, not the number of people. So (C) is actually irrelevant; it can be true and the number of room bookings is still going up 25%. So the explanation is that capacity doesn't need to grow as fast as the bookings because the bookings will show up at times with excess capacity, not the busy times.

The correct answer is (D).
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Re: In the city of North Haverbrook, where a new tourism industry is growi   [#permalink] 20 Aug 2019, 00:35
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