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In the past six pro football drafts, 4 of the 6 players selected by Te

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In the past six pro football drafts, 4 of the 6 players selected by Te  [#permalink]

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New post 05 Jan 2019, 09:17
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In the past six pro football drafts, 4 of the 6 players selected by Team A are now starters on the squad. On Team B, only 2 of the 6 players selected in the draft are starters. So, a football player selected by Team A from the draft pool has a higher probability of becoming a starter than if he is selected by Team B.

Which of the following if true, would be the best reason to reject this argument?


A. Two of the four starters on Team A are sons of the coach.

B. Team B has a new owner and coaching staff.

C. Team B has a new state-of-the art gym.

D. Team Bs pick is a quarterback, and the starting quarterback is retiring.

E. Team A has had the first draft pick for the past 6 years, while Team B had the last pick. This year it is reversed.

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Re: In the past six pro football drafts, 4 of the 6 players selected by Te  [#permalink]

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New post 05 Jan 2019, 12:07
A. Two of the four starters on Team A are sons of the coach.--Irrelevant

B. Team B has a new owner and coaching staff.--Irrelevant

C. Team B has a new state-of-the art gym.--Irrelevant

D. Team Bs pick is a quarterback, and the starting quarterback is retiring.--Irrelevant

E. Team A has had the first draft pick for the past 6 years, while Team B had the last pick. This year it is reversed. -- Since this year team B has the first pick probability of getting selected is higher if somebody is in Team B.
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Re: In the past six pro football drafts, 4 of the 6 players selected by Te  [#permalink]

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New post 15 Jan 2019, 05:56
Bunuel wrote:
In the past six pro football drafts, 4 of the 6 players selected by Team A are now starters on the squad. On Team B, only 2 of the 6 players selected in the draft are starters. So, a football player selected by Team A from the draft pool has a higher probability of becoming a starter than if he is selected by Team B.

Which of the following if true, would be the best reason to reject this argument?


A. Two of the four starters on Team A are sons of the coach.

B. Team B has a new owner and coaching staff.

C. Team B has a new state-of-the art gym.

D. Team Bs pick is a quarterback, and the starting quarterback is retiring.

E. Team A has had the first draft pick for the past 6 years, while Team B had the last pick. This year it is reversed.


KAPLAN OFFICIAL EXPLANATION:



E

Conclusion: This year, the player selected by Team B has a higher chance of becoming a starter than the player selected by Team A.

Evidence: Logically, the person drafted first from a pool of athletes is a better player than the person selected last. Thus, the first pick has a better chance of becoming a starter. In the past, Team A had the first pick; this year however, Team B possesses it.

(A) may jump out as a logical reason to reject this argument, however in a professional sport where winning is the main goal, it is highly unlikely that nepotism would occur; it is more likely that the coach is an ex-professional player and his sons inherited that talent. (B) and (C) are both irrelevant to the argument, because a player's chances of becoming a starter are primarily based on skill, not the owner, coaching staff, or team gym. As for (D), if the starting quarterback is retiring, that position is open, but not enough information is provided to infer that the drafted quarterback has a higher chance of starting than a pick who plays another position. For example, who are the other quarterbacks on Team B? Perhaps one of them is last year's pick.
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Re: In the past six pro football drafts, 4 of the 6 players selected by Te   [#permalink] 15 Jan 2019, 05:56
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