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On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet

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On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet  [#permalink]

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New post 14 Jun 2018, 20:43
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On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet that he must beware the ides, or 15th, of March, since he sees a bad omen for the Emperor on the following day. The Emperor did not heed the prophet and was killed on the 15th of March. A history professor has claimed, on the basis of this, that the Emperor was killed because the omen was real.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the professor's claim?


A. A survey conducted last year shows that over 83% of people above the age of 18 do not believe in omens.

B. The prophet himself didn't believe in the omen he was prophesizing of.

C. Four other prophets prophesized that very same day in the same city and none of their prophecies came true.

D. The prophecy was made on March the 14th, 49 B.C. and the Emperor was killed on March the 15th, 44 B.C.

E. Every former prophecy made by the prophet in question came true.

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Re: On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet  [#permalink]

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New post 14 Jun 2018, 20:52
manishbatra92 wrote:
Bunel, is it D?

Sent from my Moto G (5S) Plus using GMAT Club Forum mobile app


The OA will be automatically revealed on Wednesday 20th of June 2018 08:43:53 PM Pacific Time Zone

Meanwhile would you like to elaborate as to why you think it's D? Thank you.
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Re: On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet  [#permalink]

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New post 15 Jun 2018, 02:06
Bunuel wrote:
On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet that he must beware the ides, or 15th, of March, since he sees a bad omen for the Emperor on the following day. The Emperor did not heed the prophet and was killed on the 15th of March. A history professor has claimed, on the basis of this, that the Emperor was killed because the omen was real.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the professor's claim?


A. A survey conducted last year shows that over 83% of people above the age of 18 do not believe in omens.

B. The prophet himself didn't believe in the omen he was prophesizing of.

C. Four other prophets prophesized that very same day in the same city and none of their prophecies came true.

D. The prophecy was made on March the 14th, 49 B.C. and the Emperor was killed on March the 15th, 44 B.C.

E. Every former prophecy made by the prophet in question came true.


D seems good, may be the teacher didn't take care about the B.C. and because of that he claimed something which is not true.
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Re: On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet  [#permalink]

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New post 15 Jun 2018, 03:16
Imo C
Because the option undermines the power of the omen/prophecies

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Re: On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet  [#permalink]

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New post 15 Jun 2018, 08:56
A. A survey conducted last year shows that over 83% of people above the age of 18 do not believe in omens.- irrelevant. Who believes in omens and who not, is irrelevant.

B. The prophet himself didn't believe in the omen he was prophesizing of.- irrelevant.

C. Four other prophets prophesized that very same day in the same city and none of their prophecies came true.- ok. So according to the argument's line of reasoning, they did not come true, because, they were not real. This doesn't weaken at all.

D. The prophecy was made on March the 14th, 49 B.C. and the Emperor was killed on March the 15th, 44 B.C.- this is what the professor is missing. The project was made in another year and the event happened in some other year.

E. Every former prophecy made by the prophet in question came true. - strengthens kinda.... irrelevant.

Thus, D is best.

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Re: On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet  [#permalink]

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New post 15 Jun 2018, 09:16
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the professor's claim? D.
The prophet "sees a bad omen for the Emperor on the following day" which strongly suggests tomorrow... even though the year is never stated. Thus if the prophet made the prediction on March 14, Year YYYY that the Emperor would be killed on the "following day" March 15, the likelihood of it being true is greater when not restricting it to March 15 of Year YYYY as opposed March 15 of any year.
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Re: On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet  [#permalink]

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New post 15 Jun 2018, 09:50
IMO C

A. A survey conducted last year shows that over 83% of people above the age of 18 do not believe in omens. - out of focus.

B. The prophet himself didn't believe in the omen he was prophesizing of. - Irrelevant

C. Four other prophets prophesized that very same day in the same city and none of their prophecies came true. - This statement indicates that the prophecy made by the other prophet became true by chance. So, weakens the conclusion.

D. The prophecy was made on March the 14th, 49 B.C. and the Emperor was killed on March the 15th, 44 B.C. - The prediction was made much before and it became true. This increases the likelihood of what prophet told to be true. In another way, it strengthens the conclusion.

E. Every former prophecy made by the prophet in question came true. - Irrelevant.
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Re: On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet  [#permalink]

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New post 15 Jun 2018, 18:30
I would like to go with option D, since The prophecy was made on March the 14th, 49 B.C. and the Emperor was killed on March the 15th, 44 B.C. Prediction was made in year 49 BC but emperor got killed after 5 years in 44 B.C.Hence it undermines claim.
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Re: On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet  [#permalink]

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New post 15 Jun 2018, 23:23
Bunuel wrote:
On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet that he must beware the ides, or 15th, of March, since he sees a bad omen for the Emperor on the following day. The Emperor did not heed the prophet and was killed on the 15th of March. A history professor has claimed, on the basis of this, that the Emperor was killed because the omen was real.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the professor's claim?


A. A survey conducted last year shows that over 83% of people above the age of 18 do not believe in omens.

B. The prophet himself didn't believe in the omen he was prophesizing of.

C. Four other prophets prophesized that very same day in the same city and none of their prophecies came true.

D. The prophecy was made on March the 14th, 49 B.C. and the Emperor was killed on March the 15th, 44 B.C.

E. Every former prophecy made by the prophet in question came true.


@Bunnel - OA is D ?
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Re: On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet  [#permalink]

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New post 16 Jun 2018, 03:04
The correct answer should be D.

The prophet said that the emperor had to take care at the day following the 14th March 49 BC. However, the emperor wasn't murdered on the following day but five years later.
Hence, the prediction that the following day would be dangerous was incorrect. In this light, the fact that the emperor was killed on the 15th March 44 BC seems to be a coincidence.

Hope that helps :-)
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Re: On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet  [#permalink]

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New post 04 Aug 2018, 23:09
Plus one for option D. The key word here is "the following day". Only D fits the bill !
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Re: On the 14th of March, the Emperor of the South was warned by a prophet &nbs [#permalink] 04 Aug 2018, 23:09
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