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Re: What is the probability that a field gun will hit thrice on [#permalink]
Smita04 wrote:
What is the probability that a field gun will hit thrice on target in five tryouts?

(1) The field gun maintains a history of hitting once on target in every five tryouts.
(2) The probability that the field gun will hit twice on target in five tryouts is 0.2048.


This cannot be a real GMAT test question. The probability of hitting twice the target in 5 tryouts is not complementary to the probability of hitting the target three times in 5 tryouts. From the equation presented by Bunuel, it follows that between 0 and 1, there are two solutions for p. Moreover, the method of proving/finding the roots of that equation, is beyond the scope of the GMAT.

I guess the author of the question meant a D answer, as it can be easily checked that 1/5 is a solution of the equation in (2), and the same as the probability in (1). But probably he/she didn't think further, that there might be another valid solution.
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Re: What is the probability that a field gun will hit thrice on [#permalink]
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It's definitely not a GMAT question. Even the first statement "The field gun maintains a history of hitting once on target in every five tryouts." doesn't define the probability of hitting the target with the gun. History can be just 5 shots or 5000 shots but you need infinite historical data to say that p=1/5.
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Re: What is the probability that a field gun will hit thrice on [#permalink]
Probability of getting exactly k results out of n trails = nCk/2^n (isn't this problem the same as getting three heads in five coin flips)

Can't we use the above formula to calculate the prob. for k= 3 hits

5C3/2^5

Shouldn't this be the answer?
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Re: What is the probability that a field gun will hit thrice on [#permalink]
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teal wrote:
Probability of getting exactly k results out of n trails = nCk/2^n (isn't this problem the same as getting three heads in five coin flips)

Can't we use the above formula to calculate the prob. for k= 3 hits

5C3/2^5

Shouldn't this be the answer?


The probability of success is 1/5 not 1/2, thus your solution is not correct.

Check here: what-is-the-probability-that-a-field-gun-will-hit-thrice-on-127334.html#p1042999 (also check the links provided there for better understanding of the concept).

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