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Re: If a child flips a coin five times in a row, what is the probability [#permalink]
awssc wrote:
VeritasPrepKarishma wrote:

I still don't understand why multiplication should not be used.

Probability of At Least One Head = 1 - Probability of No Heads = 1 - (1/32) = 31/32
Probability of At Least One Tail = 1 - Probability of No Tails = 1 - (1/32) = 31/32

Probability of At Least One Tail AND One Head = (31/32) * (31/32)...

I'm just confused because if I were to consider the Probability of At Least One Tail (which includes the scenario of all tails and no heads) OR the Probability of At Least One Head (which includes the scenario of all heads and no tails), then I'm not finding the probability of at least one head and one tail combination...


Same question please :

Why isn't probability of At Lease 1 head AND 1 tail = Probability of At Least 1 head x Probability of At Last 1 Tail ? i.e (31/32)*(31/32).

Bunuel GMATPrepNow chetan2u

Will appreciate a conceptual explanation and any links to relevant resources.
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If a child flips a coin five times in a row, what is the probability [#permalink]
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altairahmad wrote:
Same question please :

Why isn't probability of At Lease 1 head AND 1 tail = Probability of At Least 1 head x Probability of At Last 1 Tail ? i.e (31/32)*(31/32).

Bunuel GMATPrepNow chetan2u

Will appreciate a conceptual explanation and any links to relevant resources.



Hi,

Why it is not \(\frac{31}{32}*\frac{31}{32}\)?
The EVENT of flipping the coin is only one. At least one head and at least one tail are NOT talking of different events..

So, when will it be \(\frac{31}{32}*\frac{31}{32}\)?
If the question was that he flips coins 5 times twice. In the first he gets at least one head and in other he gets at least one tail.

What is the question here?
Quote:
If a child flips a coin five times in a row, what is the probability that she will receive at least one head and one tail?


So we are talking of SAME 5 flips where there is at least one head and at least one tail is there.

TWO ways to do it..

(I) Find when this does not happen and subtract from total ways..
When will we NOT get at least one head and at least one tail? - when all are head or all are tail. -- 2 ways
Total ways \(2*2*2*2*2 = 32\) --- since 2 outcomes for each flip
Probability that all are head or all are tail = \(\frac{2}{32}=\frac{1}{16}\), so probability that at least one head and at least one tail = \(1-\frac{1}{16}=\frac{15}{16}\)

(II) Find ways in which we have at least one head and at least one tail
1 head and 4 tails -- 5C4 = 5 ways
2 heads and 3 tails -- 5C3 = 10 ways
3 heads and 2 tails -- 5C2 = 10 ways
4 heads and 31 tail -- 5C1 = 5 ways
Total possibilities = 5+10+10+5=30
Total ways = 2*2*2*2*2=32

Probability = \(\frac{30}{32}=\frac{15}{16}\)

C
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Re: If a child flips a coin five times in a row, what is the probability [#permalink]
chetan2u wrote:
altairahmad wrote:
Same question please :

Why isn't probability of At Lease 1 head AND 1 tail = Probability of At Least 1 head x Probability of At Last 1 Tail ? i.e (31/32)*(31/32).

Bunuel GMATPrepNow chetan2u

Will appreciate a conceptual explanation and any links to relevant resources.



Hi,

Why it is not \(\frac{31}{32}*\frac{31}{32}\)?
The EVENT of flipping the coin is only one. At least one head and at least one tail are NOT talking of different events..

So, when will it be \(\frac{31}{32}*\frac{31}{32}\)?
If the question was that he flips coins 5 times twice. In the first he gets at least one head and in other he gets at least one tail.

What is the question here?
Quote:
If a child flips a coin five times in a row, what is the probability that she will receive at least one head and one tail?


So we are talking of SAME 5 flips where there is at least one head and at least one tail is there.

TWO ways to do it..

(I) Find when this does not happen and subtract from total ways..
When will we NOT get at least one head and at least one tail? - when all are head or all are tail. -- 2 ways
Total ways \(2*2*2*2*2 = 32\) --- since 2 outcomes for each flip
Probability that all are head or all are tail = \(\frac{2}{32}=\frac{1}{16}\), so probability that at least one head and at least one tail = \(1-\frac{1}{16}=\frac{15}{16}\)

(II) Find ways in which we have at least one head and at least one tail
1 head and 4 tails -- 5C4 = 5 ways
2 heads and 3 tails -- 5C3 = 10 ways
3 heads and 2 tails -- 5C2 = 10 ways
4 heads and 31 tail -- 5C1 = 5 ways
Total possibilities = 5+10+10+5=30
Total ways = 2*2*2*2*2=32

Probability = \(\frac{30}{32}=\frac{15}{16}\)

C


Doubt cleared. Thanks for the explanation.
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Re: If a child flips a coin five times in a row, what is the probability [#permalink]
VeritasKarishma

Would it be possible to use combinations here? For instance 2C1/2^5?.This would give you the probability of All heads or All tails. Can you please confirm my understanding?
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Re: If a child flips a coin five times in a row, what is the probability [#permalink]
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gmatapprentice wrote:
VeritasKarishma

Would it be possible to use combinations here? For instance 2C1/2^5?.This would give you the probability of All heads or All tails. Can you please confirm my understanding?


Flipping a coin 5 times involves arrangements. The number of ways in which you can get all heads is different from the number of ways in which you can get 1 Heads and 4 Tails because all heads can be arranged in only 1 way HHHHH while 1 Heads and 4 Tails can be arranged in 5 ways HTTTT, THTTT, TTHTT, TTTHT and TTTTH.
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If a child flips a coin five times in a row, what is the probability [#permalink]
Total events 2^5 = 32
there are 2 events when either all Head occur or all Tail occur i.e : HHHHH, TTTTT
else in every case either 1 or more head n tail occur
favourable cases: (32-2) =30

P= 30/32 => 15/16. Answer is C
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