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Re: Community activist: If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping [#permalink]
GMATNinja wrote:
The passage begins with the conclusion: "If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping district healthy, it should prevent the opening of a huge SaveAll discount department store on the outskirts of Morganville."

The activist bases this conclusion on the following evidence: "Records from other small towns show that whenever SaveAll has opened a store outside the central shopping district of a small town, within five years the town has experienced the bankruptcies of more than a quarter of the stores in the shopping district."

Sure, this doesn't PROVE that the same thing will happen in Morganville. However, the evidence seems to suggest that if Morganville opens a SaveAll on the outskirts of town, then we would expect more than a quarter of the stores in the central shopping district to experience bankruptcy within five years.

According to the author, these bankruptcies would indicate that the central shopping district is no longer healthy (here "healthy" means "flourishing" or "prospering"). The author believes that this effect can be avoided if the town prevents the SaveAll from opening.

The answer to which of the following would be most useful for evaluating the community activist’s reasoning?

Quote:
A. Have community activists in other towns successfully campaigned against the opening of a SaveAll store on the outskirts of their towns?

Perhaps community activists have thwarted the opening of SaveAll stores in other towns. So what? Maybe if we knew that the bankruptcy rates were LOWER in those towns, then we would have information relevant to the argument.

But simply knowing the answer to (A) doesn't help us evaluate the author's logic. Regardless of the answer, the author would still be concerned about the evidence from the towns in which a SaveAll DID open. (A) is irrelevant and can be eliminated.

Quote:
B. Do a large percentage of the residents of Morganville currently do almost all of their shopping at stores in Morganville?

We don't care whether residents do all, most, some, or very little of their shopping at stores in Morganville. Whatever the percentage, we would simply want to know whether that percentage will CHANGE if a SaveAll is opened.

Knowing whether the percentage will increase or decrease in Morganville's shopping district would certainly be useful, but simply knowing the current percentage would not help us evaluate the argument. Eliminate (B).

Quote:
C. In towns with healthy central shopping districts, what proportion of the stores in those districts suffer bankruptcy during a typical five-year period?

Let's say we find out that roughly a quarter of stores in a HEALTHY central shopping district suffer bankruptcy during a typical five-year period. This would be evidence that losing a quarter of the stores to bankruptcy is NOT a sign that a shopping district is "unhealthy". In that case, the records from the other towns would simply show that, DESPITE having a SaveAll, the shopping districts maintained healthy bankruptcy rates.

So, the fact that a quarter of stores in Morganville's central shopping district will likely experience bankruptcy is no cause for alarm. This is what we would expect in ANY healthy central shopping district. So, based on the evidence, there is no reason to expect that opening a SaveAll will negatively affect the health of the central shopping district.

Answering this question would certainly be useful in evaluating the argument, so hang on to (C).

Quote:
D. What proportion of the employees at the SaveAll store on the outskirts of Morganville will be drawn form Morganville?

We don't care about the staff at the SaveAll. The argument is not related to employment/unemployment stats. Maybe most of the employees are from Morganville and maybe not. Either way, will opening a SaveAll cause an unhealthy level of bankruptcies? (D) does not help us evaluate the argument, so eliminate this one.

Quote:
E. Do newly opened SaveAll stores ever lose money during their first five years of operation?

Maybe they do and maybe they don't. In either case, the SaveAll stores could negatively affect business in the central shopping districts and cause bankruptcies within five years. (E) is irrelevant and can be eliminated.

(C) is the best answer.


I did not understand your explanation for option C , can you please put more insight ?
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Re: Community activist: If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping [#permalink]
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ManyataM wrote:
GMATNinja wrote:
The passage begins with the conclusion: "If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping district healthy, it should prevent the opening of a huge SaveAll discount department store on the outskirts of Morganville."

The activist bases this conclusion on the following evidence: "Records from other small towns show that whenever SaveAll has opened a store outside the central shopping district of a small town, within five years the town has experienced the bankruptcies of more than a quarter of the stores in the shopping district."

Sure, this doesn't PROVE that the same thing will happen in Morganville. However, the evidence seems to suggest that if Morganville opens a SaveAll on the outskirts of town, then we would expect more than a quarter of the stores in the central shopping district to experience bankruptcy within five years.

According to the author, these bankruptcies would indicate that the central shopping district is no longer healthy (here "healthy" means "flourishing" or "prospering"). The author believes that this effect can be avoided if the town prevents the SaveAll from opening.

The answer to which of the following would be most useful for evaluating the community activist’s reasoning?

Quote:
C. In towns with healthy central shopping districts, what proportion of the stores in those districts suffer bankruptcy during a typical five-year period?

Let's say we find out that roughly a quarter of stores in a HEALTHY central shopping district suffer bankruptcy during a typical five-year period. This would be evidence that losing a quarter of the stores to bankruptcy is NOT a sign that a shopping district is "unhealthy". In that case, the records from the other towns would simply show that, DESPITE having a SaveAll, the shopping districts maintained healthy bankruptcy rates.

So, the fact that a quarter of stores in Morganville's central shopping district will likely experience bankruptcy is no cause for alarm. This is what we would expect in ANY healthy central shopping district. So, based on the evidence, there is no reason to expect that opening a SaveAll will negatively affect the health of the central shopping district.

Answering this question would certainly be useful in evaluating the argument, so hang on to (C).


I did not understand your explanation for option C , can you please put more insight ?

The activist's reasoning for hating SaveAll depends on one fact: when a SaveAll opened up outside of other towns, over a quarter of downtown stores in those towns went bankrupt in a five year period.

Sounds pretty bad! If you want your downtown to be healthy and vibrant, you don't want a bunch of downtown stores to go bankrupt. The activist seems to believe that opening a SaveAll causes other downtown stores to go bankrupt. This the reason that the activist advises against having a SaveAll outside of his/her town.

There is a problem with the activist's argument, though: we have no idea how many downtown stores would have gone bankrupt even WITHOUT a SaveAll opening up. It could be totally normal for 25% of stores downtown stores to go bankrupt in 5 years. In this case, the author's reasoning would be greatly weakened, because perhaps the SaveAll didn't cause this problem in the other small towns at all. Perhaps those 25% of stores would have gone bankrupt anyway, and the SaveAll had nothing to do with it.

If that were true, then building a SaveAll just outside of the activist's town might not have a negative impact on the downtown stores. This would weaken the activist's argument.

On the other hand, what if it's not normal at all to have so many stores go bankrupt? Maybe under normal circumstances only 5% of downtown businesses go bankrupt in a 5 year period. Then, when a SaveAll moves in, it really DOES cause a lot of the downtown businesses to go bankrupt.

This would strengthen the author's argument, because it would support the claim that building a SaveAll would hurt the other downtown stores.

Knowing the typical proportion of stores that go bankrupt would either strengthen or weaken the activist's reasoning. So, knowing the answer to the question posed in (C) would greatly help in evaluating the argument.

I hope that helps!
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Community activist: If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping [#permalink]
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achandak wrote:
My interpretation for option B:
Currently means 'at Present'
If higher percentage of people are shopping at Mv, then there would be more impact.
If lower percentage of people are shopping at Mv, then less impact.


I'm replying to an old post, and GMATNinja has already shared a detailed reply to it too. I'd still like to highlight a specific nuance that I find many test-takers miss in answer choice (B).

Quote:
(B) Do a large percentage of the residents of Morganville currently do almost all of their shopping at stores in Morganville?


The question can be answered with a Yes or a No.

Let's understand the two sides:

Yes: Yes, a large percentage of the residents of Morganville DO currently do almost all of their shopping at stores in Morganville.
No: No, a large percentage of the residents of Morganville DO NOT currently do almost all of their shopping at stores in Morganville.

The question would only help us figure out whether a high proportion of the population does almost all of their shopping at Morgalville stores or not.

Quote:
If lower percentage of people are shopping at Mv


The answer choice would NOT help us understand whether a large percentage of the population shops at Morganville - only whether a large percentage does almost all of their shopping at Morganville or not.

Even those people who do not do almost all their shopping at Morganville stores, could very well still be shopping at those stores; just that their shopping would be spread over other stores as well. Maybe they do some shopping in neighbouring towns, maybe they do some shopping online, etc.

So, in answer to the question, we'd learn that either a large chunk of the population does almost all of their shopping at Morganville or it does not. Either way, the point we need to understand is: would the current level of sales of Morganville stores (no matter what that level may be) get negatively impacted by a SaveAll opening? It doesn't matter what the current level is. All that matters is what would happen to that level once a SaveAll opens.

The question in answer choice (B) is irrelevant.

Aside: The reasoning in the argument makes that classic mistake of confusing correlation with causation. Just because over a quarter of the stores went bankrupt within five years of SaveAll stores opening, does not mean that the stores went bankrupt because of SaveAll stores opening. It is a classic ploy in GMAT arguments (and in real life). Just because an event happened after another, does not mean the latter was caused by the former.
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Re: Community activist: If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping [#permalink]
GMATNinja wrote:
The passage begins with the conclusion: "If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping district healthy, it should prevent the opening of a huge SaveAll discount department store on the outskirts of Morganville."

The activist bases this conclusion on the following evidence: "Records from other small towns show that whenever SaveAll has opened a store outside the central shopping district of a small town, within five years the town has experienced the bankruptcies of more than a quarter of the stores in the shopping district."

Sure, this doesn't PROVE that the same thing will happen in Morganville. However, the evidence seems to suggest that if Morganville opens a SaveAll on the outskirts of town, then we would expect more than a quarter of the stores in the central shopping district to experience bankruptcy within five years.

According to the author, these bankruptcies would indicate that the central shopping district is no longer healthy (here "healthy" means "flourishing" or "prospering"). The author believes that this effect can be avoided if the town prevents the SaveAll from opening.

The answer to which of the following would be most useful for evaluating the community activist’s reasoning?

Quote:
A. Have community activists in other towns successfully campaigned against the opening of a SaveAll store on the outskirts of their towns?

Perhaps community activists have thwarted the opening of SaveAll stores in other towns. So what? Maybe if we knew that the bankruptcy rates were LOWER in those towns, then we would have information relevant to the argument.

But simply knowing the answer to (A) doesn't help us evaluate the author's logic. Regardless of the answer, the author would still be concerned about the evidence from the towns in which a SaveAll DID open. (A) is irrelevant and can be eliminated.

Quote:
B. Do a large percentage of the residents of Morganville currently do almost all of their shopping at stores in Morganville?

We don't care whether residents do all, most, some, or very little of their shopping at stores in Morganville. Whatever the percentage, we would simply want to know whether that percentage will CHANGE if a SaveAll is opened.

Knowing whether the percentage will increase or decrease in Morganville's shopping district would certainly be useful, but simply knowing the current percentage would not help us evaluate the argument. Eliminate (B).

Quote:
C. In towns with healthy central shopping districts, what proportion of the stores in those districts suffer bankruptcy during a typical five-year period?

Let's say we find out that roughly a quarter of stores in a HEALTHY central shopping district suffer bankruptcy during a typical five-year period. This would be evidence that losing a quarter of the stores to bankruptcy is NOT a sign that a shopping district is "unhealthy". In that case, the records from the other towns would simply show that, DESPITE having a SaveAll, the shopping districts maintained healthy bankruptcy rates.

So, the fact that a quarter of stores in Morganville's central shopping district will likely experience bankruptcy is no cause for alarm. This is what we would expect in ANY healthy central shopping district. So, based on the evidence, there is no reason to expect that opening a SaveAll will negatively affect the health of the central shopping district.

Answering this question would certainly be useful in evaluating the argument, so hang on to (C).

Quote:
D. What proportion of the employees at the SaveAll store on the outskirts of Morganville will be drawn form Morganville?

We don't care about the staff at the SaveAll. The argument is not related to employment/unemployment stats. Maybe most of the employees are from Morganville and maybe not. Either way, will opening a SaveAll cause an unhealthy level of bankruptcies? (D) does not help us evaluate the argument, so eliminate this one.

Quote:
E. Do newly opened SaveAll stores ever lose money during their first five years of operation?

Maybe they do and maybe they don't. In either case, the SaveAll stores could negatively affect business in the central shopping districts and cause bankruptcies within five years. (E) is irrelevant and can be eliminated.

(C) is the best answer.



But it would still have an inherent assumption right that Morganville is comparable to the other towns?
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Re: Community activist: If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping [#permalink]
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KashishGandhi wrote:
But it would still have an inherent assumption right that Morganville is comparable to the other towns?

Hi KashishGandhi,

Yes, but although the correct option does ask us to look at something about healthy central shopping districts in other towns and connect it to Morganville's central shopping district, keep in mind that the community activist's argument also depends on the same link ("records from other small towns show that...").
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Re: Community activist: If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping [#permalink]
1. How do you define the scope of the answer
4. Is there any technique that gives comfort that we selected the right option [eg. Negation technique for assumption] because if we apply variance test to option B there is a possibility to say that :
A. Say 5% shop - this means anyway business wont be affected - Weaken
B. 90% shop - will be affected - Strengthen

Also to understand
VERY IMPORTANT

To understand, some CR are solved as how the option affect the conclusion
-Focus is on the conclusion

and some CR are solved as how does the premise provided - weaken or strengthen the conclusion (above CR)
-Focus is on the premise for the conclusion
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Re: Community activist: If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping [#permalink]
The community activist argues that preventing the opening of a SaveAll discount department store on the outskirts of Morganville is necessary to maintain the health of the central shopping district. To evaluate this reasoning, we need to identify the option that would be most useful.

Option (A) asks whether community activists in other towns have successfully campaigned against the opening of a SaveAll store on the outskirts of their towns. While this information may provide insights into the effectiveness of such campaigns, it does not directly evaluate the reasoning presented by the community activist in Morganville.

Option (B) inquires about the shopping habits of the residents of Morganville. While this information may be relevant to understanding the potential impact of a SaveAll store on the outskirts, it does not directly evaluate the reasoning presented by the community activist.

Option (C), the correct answer, asks about the proportion of stores in towns with healthy central shopping districts that experience bankruptcy during a typical five-year period. This information is directly relevant to evaluating the community activist's argument, as it provides a comparison to determine whether the bankruptcies mentioned are actually significant.

Option (D) seeks information about the proportion of employees at the SaveAll store drawn from Morganville. While this information may be of interest, it does not directly evaluate the reasoning presented by the community activist.

Option (E) inquires about whether newly opened SaveAll stores ever lose money during their first five years of operation. Although this information may be informative, it does not directly evaluate the community activist's argument regarding the impact on the central shopping district.

In conclusion, option (C) is the most useful for evaluating the community activist's reasoning, as it provides information on the typical proportion of store bankruptcies in towns with healthy central shopping districts.
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Re: Community activist: If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping [#permalink]
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