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Re: Sam and Jessica are invited to a dance. If there are 7 men and 7 women [#permalink]
Thank you for the wonderful explanation.
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Re: Sam and Jessica are invited to a dance. If there are 7 men and 7 women [#permalink]
Good explanation. And +1 for E 48/49
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probabilty problem "Sam & Jessica" [#permalink]
Hi!
Could one of the moderators please help me with it?
"Sam and Jessica are invited to a dance. If there are 7 men and 7 women in total at the dance, and one woman and one man ar chosen to lead the dance, what is the probability that Sam and Jessica will NOT be chosen to lead the dance?"

I know, the thread was posted a looooooonnnnnnng time ago, but I am so confused with which method I should take and WHY?

My question is: why can't I solve the problem in this way?
1 - C 1 7/C2 14= 12/13
C1 7 : I would choose one group out of 7 (since there are 14 people)
C2 14: altogether I would have chosen 2 people out of 14

The "funny" point is, I do also understand, how the original answer has been calculated.
Can someone please help me out?

Many thanks!!!!

OA:
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Re: probabilty problem "Sam & Jessica" [#permalink]
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1. You use p = 1 - q formula in which q means "Sam and Jessica"

2. \(C^{14}_2\) as the total number of all possibilities are incorrect as it counts man-man and woman-woman pairs. So, you have to use \(C^7_1 * C^7_1\) = 49 or any man and any woman combinations.

3. \(C^7_1\). I don't get the reasoning behind the formula. There is only one way to choose "Sam and Jessica" and why do you think that there is 7 groups? There is no special assignment for each woman and man.

Let me know if you need further help.
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Re: probabilty problem "Sam & Jessica" [#permalink]
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By the way, welcome to GMAT Club! :)
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Re: probabilty problem "Sam & Jessica" [#permalink]
walker wrote:
1. You use p = 1 - q formula in which q means "Sam and Jessica"

2. \(C^{14}_2\) as the total number of all possibilities are incorrect as it counts man-man and woman-woman pairs. So, you have to use \(C^7_1 * C^7_1\) = 49 or any man and any woman combinations.

3. \(C^7_1\). I don't get the reasoning behind the formula. There is only one way to choose "Sam and Jessica" and why do you think that there is 7 groups? There is no special assignment for each woman and man.

Let me know if you need further help.


Hi, "walker"!

Thank you for your explanation!

Could you be so kind and explain to me, when to use what kind of formula? My problem is, I often mix combinatorics-probability formula with simple probability formula. Is there a helpful strategy?

Again, thank you so much!
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Re: probabilty problem "Sam & Jessica" [#permalink]
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Hi fledgling2010,

I think I understand why GMAC use "counting" rather than "prob/comb" term. It seems you are trying to remember where which formula to use rather than understand how to "count". So, my advice is to read this [https://gmatclub.com/forum/math-probability-87244.html][https://gmatclub.com/forum/math-combinatorics-87345.html] and each time you see prob/comb problem try to get idea how to count and then use an appropriate formula.
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Re: probabilty problem "Sam & Jessica" [#permalink]
I personally think this problem is solved so much easier using simple probability rules

The trick here is to estimate the individual probabilities of selecting him and her and multiply them because the events are independent from each other. the probability of selecting 1 individual out of 7 is 1/7 and the probability of selecting him and her is 1/7*1/7=1/49.

P of not selecting them both is what is asked for.

1-1/49 = 48/49.

I hope u find this method much more clear and concise.
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Re: Sam and Jessica are invited to a dance. If there are 7 men [#permalink]
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Re: Sam and Jessica are invited to a dance. If there are 7 men [#permalink]
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