NEW HERE? LEARN MORE
closeclose
Last visit was: 24 Apr 2024, 03:17 It is currently 24 Apr 2024, 03:17
Decision Tracker
My Rewards
New posts
New comers' posts

Close
GMAT Club Daily Prep
Thank you for using the timer - this advanced tool can estimate your performance and suggest more practice questions. We have subscribed you to Daily Prep Questions via email.

Customized
for You

we will pick new questions that match your level based on your Timer History

Track
Your Progress

every week, we’ll send you an estimated GMAT score based on your performance

Practice
Pays

we will pick new questions that match your level based on your Timer History
Not interested in getting valuable practice questions and articles delivered to your email? No problem, unsubscribe here.
Go to My Error Log Learn more
Close
Request Expert Reply
Confirm Cancel

US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction

SORT BY:
Date
Kudos
 1   2   
User avatar
solaris1
VP
VP
Joined: 05 Aug 2007
Posts: 1431
Own Kudos [?]: 223 [0]
Given Kudos: 22
Concentration: General Management
Schools:NYU Stern '11
US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   Updated on: 03 Nov 2008, 08:41
**Posting this under the B-School Application forum temporarily for more page views**

GMATClub Wonks and Wonkettes, less than 24 hours to go before the polls open, folks.
Post your predictions below:

I'm calling it for Obama, he takes 311 EVs as opposed to McCain's 227.

Obama takes PA, VA, CO, NM and OH.
McCain takes NC, IN, MO and FL.

+1 from me to whoever comes closest to predicting the actual EV count. 8-)

Electoral Map: https://elections.nytimes.com/2008/president/whos-ahead/key-states/map.html

Originally posted by solaris1 on 03 Nov 2008, 08:23.
Last edited by solaris1 on 03 Nov 2008, 08:41, edited 3 times in total.
Admin: I will move this thread back to Off-Topic tomorrow evening.
avatar
atlmba2009
Current Student
Joined: 24 Oct 2008
Posts: 103
Own Kudos [?]: 16 [0]
Given Kudos: 2
 Q49  V42
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 09:04
I am going to state the obvious and call it for Obama, and I am calling it 338-200. I think Obama takes Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Virginia, and McCain sweeps North Dakota, Montana, North Carolina, Missouri, and Indiana.
User avatar
bostonsparky
Current Student
Joined: 21 Aug 2008
Posts: 348
Own Kudos [?]: 39 [0]
Given Kudos: 0
Concentration: Management Consulting, Social Enterprise, Environmental Sustainability, International Business
Schools:Fuqua '11
 Q48  V47
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 09:53
Obama in VA / PA / CO(check the early voting stats) / NH / NM / NV, and NC.

McCain takes at least one of FL / OH, however.

The real races to watch are the Senate in Minnesota(Franken/Coleman/Barkley) and Georgia(Martin/Chambliss). The MN one seems like the only true toss-up.

for the numbers freaks out there, I highly recommend fivethirtyeight dot com, great site esp. for projections.
User avatar
solaris1
VP
VP
Joined: 05 Aug 2007
Posts: 1431
Own Kudos [?]: 223 [0]
Given Kudos: 22
Concentration: General Management
Schools:NYU Stern '11
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 09:59
I will be pleasantly surprised if Obama wins Florida comfortably. 80% chance of him winning without OH and FL however, according to fivethirtyeight.com.
User avatar
msday
Director
Director
Joined: 25 Dec 2007
Posts: 516
Own Kudos [?]: 64 [0]
Given Kudos: 28
Concentration: General Management
Schools:Harvard '11
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 10:59
I call 329-209. Florida to McCain, Ohio to Obama.
avatar
atlmba2009
Current Student
Joined: 24 Oct 2008
Posts: 103
Own Kudos [?]: 16 [0]
Given Kudos: 2
 Q49  V42
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 11:03
bostonsparky wrote:
The real races to watch are the Senate in Minnesota(Franken/Coleman/Barkley) and Georgia(Martin/Chambliss). The MN one seems like the only true toss-up.


Yeah, I live in Georgia, and Chambliss is very unpopular around here. That race is going to come down to the wire I think and it should be very interesting to see how it pans out. Both Chambliss and Martin have been running ads non-stop in prime-time for the past couple of weeks, and one candidate's ad always follows the other's.

It seems very possible that the Dems are going to get a supermajority this time around.
User avatar
bostonsparky
Current Student
Joined: 21 Aug 2008
Posts: 348
Own Kudos [?]: 39 [0]
Given Kudos: 0
Concentration: Management Consulting, Social Enterprise, Environmental Sustainability, International Business
Schools:Fuqua '11
 Q48  V47
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 11:08
atlmba2009 wrote:
bostonsparky wrote:
The real races to watch are the Senate in Minnesota(Franken/Coleman/Barkley) and Georgia(Martin/Chambliss). The MN one seems like the only true toss-up.


Yeah, I live in Georgia, and Chambliss is very unpopular around here. That race is going to come down to the wire I think and it should be very interesting to see how it pans out. Both Chambliss and Martin have been running ads non-stop in prime-time for the past couple of weeks, and one candidate's ad always follows the other's.

It seems very possible that the Dems are going to get a supermajority this time around.


atlmba what do you think the odds of a run-off in GA are? it sounds as if there's a decent chance. It'd be crazy if it ended up being for the 60th seat.
avatar
atlmba2009
Current Student
Joined: 24 Oct 2008
Posts: 103
Own Kudos [?]: 16 [0]
Given Kudos: 2
 Q49  V42
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 11:30
bostonsparky wrote:
atlmba2009 wrote:
bostonsparky wrote:
The real races to watch are the Senate in Minnesota(Franken/Coleman/Barkley) and Georgia(Martin/Chambliss). The MN one seems like the only true toss-up.


Yeah, I live in Georgia, and Chambliss is very unpopular around here. That race is going to come down to the wire I think and it should be very interesting to see how it pans out. Both Chambliss and Martin have been running ads non-stop in prime-time for the past couple of weeks, and one candidate's ad always follows the other's.

It seems very possible that the Dems are going to get a supermajority this time around.


atlmba what do you think the odds of a run-off in GA are? it sounds as if there's a decent chance. It'd be crazy if it ended up being for the 60th seat.


That's very difficult to say, but as Senate elections go, particularly in this area of the country, I would guess that the odds are very good. Allen Buckley, a third contender for that Senate seat has gained popularity lately, particularly with Republicans, and it is rumored that he may just take enough votes from both Chambliss and Martin to force a run-off.
User avatar
Ntang
Manager
Manager
Joined: 09 Sep 2008
Posts: 164
Own Kudos [?]: 18 [0]
Given Kudos: 0
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 12:37
As a North Carolina resident, I'm also watching the Senate race here between Elizabeth Dole and Kay Hagan. It's really tight, but right now, I'm predicting Hagan by a nose.

President Obama will rock it out tomorrow night by 75+ EVs.

Any thoughts here on CA's Proposition 8? That's another must-watch tomorrow night.
User avatar
Leverandon
Senior Manager
Senior Manager
Joined: 24 Aug 2008
Posts: 278
Own Kudos [?]: 6 [0]
Given Kudos: 0
Location: New York City
Concentration: Non-profit, GM
Schools:Ross, Darden, Yale SOM, Wharton, Kellogg (JD/MBA)
 Q44  V44
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 13:22
My predictions.

Obama: Nevada, New Mexico, Virginia, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Colorado, New Hampshire
McCain: Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Missouri, anything else that seems kind of close

Senators:

MN: Norm Coleman (R)
OR: Jeff Merkley (D)
NH: Jeanne Shaheen (D)
LA: Mary Landrieu (D)
NC: Kay Hagan (D)
GA: Saxby Chambliss (R)
MI: Roger Wicker (R)
CO: Mark Udall (D)
NM: Tom Udall (D)

Prop 8 will pass narrowly. All of the other CA ballot propositions (except the high speed train one) will fail.
User avatar
spiridon
Senior Manager
Senior Manager
Joined: 04 Aug 2008
Posts: 274
Own Kudos [?]: 124 [0]
Given Kudos: 1
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 13:41
Gmatclubbers, do we all agree to endorse senator Obama :)

Vote for Change!!!

:))))
User avatar
solaris1
VP
VP
Joined: 05 Aug 2007
Posts: 1431
Own Kudos [?]: 223 [0]
Given Kudos: 22
Concentration: General Management
Schools:NYU Stern '11
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 13:49
I think Al Franken will take Minnesota. Remember this is the state that made Jesse Ventura Governor! They like pseudo-celebrities apparently. :)

Leverandon wrote:
MN: Norm Coleman (R)
User avatar
Raabend
Current Student
Joined: 16 May 2008
Posts: 884
Own Kudos [?]: 156 [1]
Given Kudos: 29
Location: Earth
Concentration: Brand
Schools:Cornell '11
 Q47  V40
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 13:59
1
Kudos
364-174 in favor of Obama. Landside mutha scrunchas.
User avatar
refurb
Current Student
Joined: 28 Feb 2008
Posts: 1321
Own Kudos [?]: 156 [0]
Given Kudos: 6
Schools:Tuck
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 14:17
raabenb wrote:
364-174 in favor of Obama. Landside mutha scrunchas.


Landslide would be Reagan in 1984:

Reagan: 525
Mondale: 13

RF
User avatar
Raabend
Current Student
Joined: 16 May 2008
Posts: 884
Own Kudos [?]: 156 [0]
Given Kudos: 29
Location: Earth
Concentration: Brand
Schools:Cornell '11
 Q47  V40
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 14:25
Landslide is usually when a candidate crosses the 300 barrier and holds a 5-7+ point advantage in the popular vote. So by those measurements, Reagan had a mudslide, landslide, avalanche, and an Oprah fart all in one. Thats power.
User avatar
refurb
Current Student
Joined: 28 Feb 2008
Posts: 1321
Own Kudos [?]: 156 [0]
Given Kudos: 6
Schools:Tuck
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 14:47
raabenb wrote:
Landslide is usually when a candidate crosses the 300 barrier and holds a 5-7+ point advantage in the popular vote. So by those measurements, Reagan had a mudslide, landslide, avalanche, and an Oprah fart all in one. Thats power.


Hmmm..... I didn't know "landslide" had a formal definition.

There you go, I learned something else from gmatclub!

RF
User avatar
Raabend
Current Student
Joined: 16 May 2008
Posts: 884
Own Kudos [?]: 156 [0]
Given Kudos: 29
Location: Earth
Concentration: Brand
Schools:Cornell '11
 Q47  V40
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 14:57
Haha it doesnt! Thats just what all the pundits keep saying when asked what a landslide is in a pretty evenly split two party country.
User avatar
GoBruin
Current Student
Joined: 05 Aug 2008
Posts: 1262
Own Kudos [?]: 175 [0]
Given Kudos: 20
Concentration: Management Consulting
Schools: Ross 2012
 Q50  V44
WE 1: 5 Years at Fortune 50 Company in Manufacturing
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 15:20
Obama 322 +PA, Indiana, Ohio
McCain 216 +Florida, NC

Prop 8 fails 53-47%

Senate Race
D-58 R-42
Alaska - Begich (D)
Colorado - Udall (D)
Georgia - Chambliss (R)
Kentucky - McConnell(R)
Mississippi - Wicker(R)
Minnisota - Coleman
New Hampshire - Shaheen (D)
New Mexico - Udall (D)
North Carolina - Hagen (D) -BY WIDE MARGINS!
Virginia - Warner (D)
Oregon - Merkeley (D)

House races
D262-R173


Anti Abortion
Colorado Prop 48 - Fails
South Dakota Measure 11- Passes
User avatar
kwam
VP
VP
Joined: 09 Jan 2007
Posts: 1019
Own Kudos [?]: 166 [0]
Given Kudos: 3
Location: New York, NY
Concentration: Analytic Finance, Economics and Strategic Management
Schools:Chicago Booth Class of 2010
 Q49  V44
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 16:46
Obama 311 + Ohio
Mccain 227 + Florida, NC, Indiana and MO
User avatar
Leverandon
Senior Manager
Senior Manager
Joined: 24 Aug 2008
Posts: 278
Own Kudos [?]: 6 [0]
Given Kudos: 0
Location: New York City
Concentration: Non-profit, GM
Schools:Ross, Darden, Yale SOM, Wharton, Kellogg (JD/MBA)
 Q44  V44
Send PM
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink] New post   03 Nov 2008, 19:18
spiridon wrote:
Gmatclubbers, do we all agree to endorse senator Obama :)

Vote for Change!!!

:))))


Sorry, spiridon...I'm a McCain man, but I'm at peace with what I know is coming...

Oh and Ted Stevens loses...but it will be close...closer than it should be for a felon.
GMAT Club Bot
gmatclubot
Re: US Elections 2008 - Your Electoral Vote Prediction [#permalink]
03 Nov 2008, 19:18
 1   2   

Powered by phpBB © phpBB Group | Emoji artwork provided by EmojiOne
Main navigation
GMAT Resources
Partners
MBA Resources
www.gmac.com|www.mba.com | | GMAT Club Rules | Terms and Conditions