Smokers who switched to a low-tar, light or mild brand of cigarette will not find it easier to quit and in fact may find harder.
It may be that smokers think that a lighter brand is better for their health and is therefore an acceptable alternative to giving up completely. As per a study conducted on 50,000 smokers,
those who switched brands were 58% more likely to have tried to quit smoking than those who stuck with their brands. But they were 60% less likely to actually succeed in quitting. Other research has shown that so-called low-tar cigarettes have just as much tar, nicotine and other compounds as regular cigarettes.
In the above argument, the two portions in boldface play which of the following roles?
B. The first part is a prediction that, if correct, would support the main conclusion; the second is a conclusion drawn in order to support the main conclusion.
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Out of the blue and different from all other votes,
B. is the option I contend for.
Main Conclusion- "
Smokers who switched to a low-tar, light or mild brand of cigarette will not find it easier to quit and in fact may find harder." (Since main conclusion can never be a data reported as premise, the last sentence of premise is not the main conclusion, as possibly believed by many.)
If the BF1, a prediction, is correct, then smokers
actually think that a lighter brand is better for their health and is therefore an acceptable alternative to giving up completely. This provides a strong support that the smokers are much less likely to quit smoking after switching to a lighter brand. In fact, the perception of "lighter brands are healthier" will make it harder for smokers to quit, thus supporting the main conclusion.
BF2- "those who switched brands were 58% more likely to have tried to quit smoking than those who stuck with their brands. But they were 60% less likely to actually succeed in quitting" - clearly drawn to support the main conclusion by providing statistical information about the relative ease of quitting among the two groups.
Great Question!!
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