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Re: Tariffs on particular products tend to protect the small percentage of [#permalink]
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Tariffs on particular products tend to protect the small percentage of the population that works in industries
that make those products while hurting everyone else through higher costs. Polls show that in fact most people oppose such tariffs. So politicians would be more likely to be reelected if they voted against these tariffs.

The first question that should arise upon reading the conclusion is that whether this issue is so important that it will cause a re-election. A fills this crucial gap.


(A) Supporters of tariffs on particular products are not significantly more likely than opponents to base their vote for a politician on the politician's stand on this issue.
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Re: Tariffs on particular products tend to protect the small percentage of [#permalink]
Is it correct to say that B, C, D are too extreme since they use the words "always" and "should"?
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Re: Tariffs on particular products tend to protect the small percentage of [#permalink]
"Most people oppose such tariffs", so why does opinion of the supporters of tariffs on particular products even matter?
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Re: Tariffs on particular products tend to protect the small percentage of [#permalink]
IMO E
People who would be hurt by tariffs generally know that they would be hurt by them.

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Re: Tariffs on particular products tend to protect the small percentage of [#permalink]
VeritasKarishma wrote:

(A) Supporters of tariffs on particular products are not significantly more likely than opponents to base their vote for a politician on the politician's stand on this issue.

Let's see what happens when we negate this - supporters are significantly more likely to base their vote on this issue.
Then supporters of tariffs will vote against the politician who stands against tariffs.
But opposers of tariff may not give any preference to the political who stands against tariffs.
So my standing against tariffs, the politician may get no extra votes (since tariff opposers give her no preference) but may lose some votes (because tariff supporters don't like her). Then the politician will not be more likely to be re-elected. This is an assumption.


VeritasKarishma

I got a question related to the word "most (51%) people are in opposition of the tariff". According to your rationale for A, if the most people in opposition don't have a preference in voting, and the supporters (49%) of the tariff vote for the politician then the politician might loose some votes and end up in a situation of 49/48 (Support of Tariff/ Opposition of Tariff).

Clearly the politician will not get reelected, but what if the there is a minimum benchmark that until 51% votes are in a for or against, the politican does not get reelected in a 49/48 scenario. Does the conclusion say that that people always have to vote and that there is not a No Vote scenario, where some people just don't vote.
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Re: Tariffs on particular products tend to protect the small percentage of [#permalink]
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rye wrote:
VeritasKarishma wrote:

(A) Supporters of tariffs on particular products are not significantly more likely than opponents to base their vote for a politician on the politician's stand on this issue.

Let's see what happens when we negate this - supporters are significantly more likely to base their vote on this issue.
Then supporters of tariffs will vote against the politician who stands against tariffs.
But opposers of tariff may not give any preference to the political who stands against tariffs.
So my standing against tariffs, the politician may get no extra votes (since tariff opposers give her no preference) but may lose some votes (because tariff supporters don't like her). Then the politician will not be more likely to be re-elected. This is an assumption.


VeritasKarishma

I got a question related to the word "most (51%) people are in opposition of the tariff". According to your rationale for A, if the most people in opposition don't have a preference in voting, and the supporters (49%) of the tariff vote for the politician then the politician might loose some votes and end up in a situation of 49/48 (Support of Tariff/ Opposition of Tariff).

Clearly the politician will not get reelected, but what if the there is a minimum benchmark that until 51% votes are in a for or against, the politican does not get reelected in a 49/48 scenario. Does the conclusion say that that people always have to vote and that there is not a No Vote scenario, where some people just don't vote.


Tariffs help a small percentage but hurt all others. Likely, this would be 20/80 kind of split.
20 will support tariffs and 80 oppose tariffs.

If the politician voted against tariff, would he get the support of 80? We are assuming he would.
But what if supporters of tariffs feel much more strongly about this issue while opposers do not?
What if the 20 definitely do not vote for such a politician but the 80 have no special preference for him? Then he may get 40 of the 80 votes and another politician may get all 60.

People don't always have to vote. We are talking about increasing probability of winning. Making it more likely, not making the politician win. Note the use "more likely" in the argument.
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Re: Tariffs on particular products tend to protect the small percentage of [#permalink]
Got to A thru PoE... everything is easily out of scope here except A and E

I was stuck between A and E and was able to negate E and see how it wasnt relevant to the argument. The poll shows people are against tariffs, regardless of knowing whether or not they are hurt by them.

def 700 level.
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Re: Tariffs on particular products tend to protect the small percentage of [#permalink]
I think A is not assumption here it is stated in the stem "Tariffs on particular products tend to protect the small percentage of the population that works in industries
that make those products while hurting everyone else through higher costs"
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Re: Tariffs on particular products tend to protect the small percentage of [#permalink]
The crux of this argument is what is more important in the case of these tariffs for the politician in terms of likelihood of getting elected. B, C, and D are easy to eliminate.

Negating A and E:

(A) Supporters of tariffs on particular products “are” significantly more likely than opponents to base their vote for a politician on the politician's stand on this issue
This means that the standing of the supporters of tariffs is much more important than the standing of the opposers. The opposers could be indifferent in this case and might base their vote on issues other than the tariffs. Note that there is a good chance that the politician will not get the opposers vote even after opposing the tariffs. Definitely hurts the politician’s chances if he or she goes against the supporters of tariffs.

(E) People who would be hurt by tariffs generally “do not” know that they would be hurt by them.
This one is a bit tricky because it seems like if supporters don’t know if the tariffs hurt them, they won’t oppose. But the argument already tells us that most people oppose the tariffs, so it is irrelevant why or how they oppose the tariffs and if they know that the tariffs hurt them or not. Also, it might be that they oppose tariffs because they are generally against them, it is just a coincidence that in this case the tariffs actually hurt them.

A is the answer.
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Re: Tariffs on particular products tend to protect the small percentage of [#permalink]
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