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Difficulty: 655-705 Levelx   Resolve Paradoxx               
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reply by gmatdetroyer.i find it helpful.pls read it carefully...


let us say earlier it used to cost $50 to get 1 unit of power using solar power system....and one barrel of oil costing $20 produced 1 unit of energy using oil fired system....

oil wud have to rise to $50 per barrel so that we cud switch to solar power...or solar power wud have to fall to $20 to make the switch economically viable...

Now if Oil prices have fallen dramatically!!!
we were getting 1 unit from $20 of oil...lets say oil prices have fallen to $5 per barrel .... and now we are getting 1 unit from oil power for $5 ...

Also solar power has become more efficient...say now we are getting 2 units of energy from $ 50 using solar power...this means 1 unit for $25 ... in this case solar power wud have to fall to $5 or oil wud have to rise to $25 ....
SO you can see THRESHOLD HAS CHANGED....BUT ACCORDING TO STIMULI THRESHOLD REMAINS UNCHANGED...

sO wat wud have happened..??

now with increased efficiency..we can get 2 units of energy from solar power and it still costs us $50 ....

As the stimuli says the threshold remains the same....
wat if oil power plants have become efficient ... earlier we were getting 1 unit from $20 ...NOW WE GET 2 UNITS USING $20 ...???

in this case..either solar power drops to $20 or oil rises to $50 .... threshold remains the same...

Important thing in this question is THRESHOLD....thats wat makes it confusing....hope it helps...
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C) Correct. For Solar plants to become more viable, oil price has to go up so that electricity
generated by Oil plants become costlier than Solar plants because as Oil-fire based technology
also evolved. So if oil price doesn't go above $35, oil based electricity will be cheaper.

Also in "(that is, the price per barrel to which oil would have to rise in order for new solar
power plants to be more economical than new oil-fired power plants)", author is comparing Solar
plants to new oil based plants.


-STL
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Re: Technological improvements and reduced equipment costs have made conve [#permalink]
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boeinz wrote:
How to kill 'A'?


A is incorrect because the premise also said that the the price per oil barrel is unchanged (=$35). We cannot change the premise of the argument. A is counter-fact in saying that oil price has fallen.
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How to kill 'A'?
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Re: Technological improvements and reduced equipment costs have made conve [#permalink]
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firstly, the argument compares the efficiency of Solar energy manufaction nowadays with the solar energy manufaction last decades and concludes that solar energy today is created more efficiently than the past solar energy did.
Second, it raises the paradox that why the efficiency of solar energy comparing with efficiency of other kinds energy like oil is unchanged (through a blah blah blah measure called threshold or oil price rise whatever) ??? The reason that other energy like oil is also improved in technical is a possible concilement for the paradox which underminds the author's presumtion.
(A) does not give any resolution for paradox when saying that oil price is fallen. If oil price falls rather than increases, the efficiency of solar energy operation is decreased relatively with other kind of energy while the premises also said that the connection between these two energy is unchange though a decade by giving evidence of threshold viability of 35$.
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Following can be used to kill A,

Threshold did not change for NEW oil-fired plant
(implicit Threshold probably did change for OLD oil-fired plant)

Combine both and one can see that it can only be explained by increased efficiency of NEW oil-fired plant and not by lowered price of oil
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I chose (C). The approach to solve this question is the same with the question about recycle and new paper. The solar energy industry have its own advance in technology that make the price of solar energy reduce.
But the oil industry also have its own advance in technology. Together, both two price of each kind fall equally. the gap is unchange.
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Re: Technological improvements and reduced equipment costs have made conve [#permalink]
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boeinz wrote:
How to kill 'A'?


I will try to explain how to kill A.

Initially we have 2 power plants: oil-fired and solar.
Now, technological improvements and reduced equipment costs brought down solar-power plants cost.
But oil-fired power plants are still economical because the threshold stuck at some value.

It can happen only either oil price has come down or similar improvements happened in oil-powered plants as well.

But as the question is to select something that helps explain most, C is the right answer.

A is not answer only because E is present.
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Simplest explanation for A vs C:

Comparing cost per unit in both cases:

Case 1: Initially, cost of solar power per unit will be equal when price to which oil should rise = $35. So for 1 unit, lets say,

(cost of solar power) C1 = $35 (cost of oil equalized) + P1 (cost of production)

Case 2: even with new technology

(cost of solar power) C2 = $35 (cost of oil equalized) + P2 (cost of production)

Since cost of solar power has decreased, C2 < C1
hence P2 < P1
which means efficiency of production for oil plants has increased.


Even I selected the wrong one before :(

Its my first post... Kudos plz :wink:
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Re: Technological improvements and reduced equipment costs have made conve [#permalink]
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∆C unit= 1/E( Csolar - n*Cbarrel )

n = number of barrels used to generate E units of energy
Csolar = Cost to generate E units of Solar Power
Cbarrel = Cost of a barrel
∆C = Difference in costs between generation of solar power and generation of thermal power

for solar power to be economically viable
∆C unit = 0
Then Csolar = n*Cbarrel
Question says that although Csolar↓ ,But Cbarrel is still = $35, which means n has to come down. n is inversely proportional to efficiency.

Therefore, C
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Technological improvements and reduced equipment costs have made converting solar energy directly into electricity far more cost-efficient in the last decade. However, the threshold of economic viability for solar power (that is, the price per barrel to which oil would have to rise in order for new solar power plants to be more
economical than new oil-fired power plants) is unchanged at thirty-five dollars.
Which of the following, if true, does most to help explain why the increased cost-efficiency of solar power has not decreased its threshold of economic viability?

Economic viability = EV = threshold/difference between cost effectiveness of new solar power plants and new oil-fired power plants
tech improvements have made solar power plants more efficient. still, EV is unchanged at $35.

(A) The cost of oil has fallen dramatically. the argument compares EV only between new solar power plants and new oil-fired power plants and not old oil-fired power plants. but dramatic cost reduction in oil will lead to cost efficiency of old oil based power plants as well.
(B) The reduction in the cost of solar-power equipment has occurred despite increased raw material costs for that equipment. does not explains why EV has not changed. In fact, supports the fact that it should have changed.
(C) Technological changes have increased the efficiency of oil-fired power plants. correct - tech improvements increased the efficiency of both new solar power plants and new oil-fired power plants. Good enough reason for EV to be unchanged
(D) Most electricity is generated by coal-fired or nuclear, rather than oil-fired, power plants. irrelevant
(E) When the price of oil increases, reserves of oil not previously worth exploiting become economically viable does not explains why EV has not changed
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fozzzy wrote:
greatps24 wrote:

Have to choose between A & C. But, not sure how to prove which one is better or wrong is tough.


This is a pretty tough resolve the paradox question from what usually appears.


Let's use numbers to understand what's happening in the passage:

In the last decade,

Suppose, it used to cost $2 to produce one unit of energy from Solar power plants
We are given that price per barrel has to be minimum $35 for solar energy to be economically viable. What does economically viable means? It means that the cost of production of energy from solar power plant is not greater than the cost from oil run power plants.

So, at threshold level, cost per unit of energy from solar power plant = cost per unit of energy from oil power plant

Now, we are given that this threshold level is at oil price of $35 per barrel.

So, a barrel of oil should produce 17.5 units of energy (so that the cost is $2 per unit).

Now, coming to today,
Solar power sources have become very efficient. Therefore, let's suppose the cost of solar energy today is $1 per unit.

However, we are given that the threshold price level of barrel of oil is same i.e. $35.

This means that the same barrel oil must produce 35 units of energy for the costs of both solar energy and oil energy to remain same.

This means that the efficiency of oil power plants must have increased in same proportion as that of solar power plants.

Therefore, Option C is correct.

For completion sake, let's also look at option A. It says that the cost of oil has fallen - First of all, we are not concerned about cost of oil; we are concerned about price of oil to the power plants. Even if we say that the cost here refers to the price paid by the power plants, it is still irrelevant because when we are talking of a threshold price level of oil, we are referring to a hypothetical level below which solar energy would not be viable. We are not talking about actual price level; just as we are not talking about whether solar energy is economically viable in reality or not. We are just talking of conditions that are needed to make it economically viable.

I think this is pretty tough.

Hope I made some sense.

Let me know if some further clarification is required.

Thanks,
Chiranjeev
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I would better guess and move on , then spend so much time on a question with the approach mentioned above . Not practical solution to eliminate A .
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ishancrazee wrote:
I would better guess and move on , then spend so much time on a question with the approach mentioned above . Not practical solution to eliminate A .


Actually, you don't have to take numbers and analyze them to eliminate (A). Most probably, people who have explained why (A) doesn't work using numbers, didn't actually take numbers when they were looking for the answer themselves. You simply have to understand that the "threshold of economic viability" has nothing to do with the actual cost of oil. It depends on the difference between 'cost to create solar power' vs 'cost of convert oil to power'. The numbers have been taken to explain the perspective.
And as for guessing, this is a GMAT prep 700+ level question. At that level, all questions are a little tricky and make you think. You might need to take these questions seriously if you are aiming for 700+.
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Re: Technological improvements and reduced equipment costs have made conve [#permalink]
Of whatever reasons, I would not agree that we can prove A to be incorrect by putting numbers.

I eliminated A because it is too negative. The word "dramatically" means unexpected or sudden change. It is not practical to say "The cost of oil has fallen dramatically in the last decade". A decade is a longer period of time to say dramatic increase or decrease.

Threshold = Cost of Solar - Cost Of Oil (Assume Profit is same in both the cases)
T = S - O

Now since my T is constant, S and O should either increase or decrease together to same extent.
As per the premise, S has become "far more cost-efficient in the last decade", it doesn't use any strong word like "dramatically" , "extraordinarily" , "unexpectedly" etc, So O should keep pace with S.

In such case, C sounds a better option, as the reason for cost-efficiency is common.
A could be correct, had it been simply "The cost of oil has fallen"
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ConnectTheDots wrote:
Of whatever reasons, I would not agree that we can prove A to be incorrect by putting numbers.

I eliminated A because it is too negative. The word "dramatically" means unexpected or sudden change. It is not practical to say "The cost of oil has fallen dramatically in the last decade". A decade is a longer period of time to say dramatic increase or decrease.

Threshold = Cost of Solar - Cost Of Oil (Assume Profit is same in both the cases)
T = S - O

Now since my T is constant, S and O should either increase or decrease together to same extent.
As per the premise, S has become "far more cost-efficient in the last decade", it doesn't use any strong word like "dramatically" , "extraordinarily" , "unexpectedly" etc, So O should keep pace with S.

In such case, C sounds a better option, as the reason for cost-efficiency is common.
A could be correct, had it been simply "The cost of oil has fallen"


Actually, ignoring an option because it is too 'extreme' is not the right approach. An option, even with 'never', 'all' etc could be true. It's all about the context. Usually, the contexts used in CR questions are real life and there are few absolutes in life hence, you might have heard that extreme answers are not correct. It is just a rule of thumb and may not always hold.

As for this option being extreme due to the presence of 'dramatic', I don't see how that word is a problem. If we are talking about multiple decades, oil price falling dramatically over the last decade could make sense. Say, if it is $100 a barrel for many decades and then falls to $50 a barrel over the last decade.

(A) is incorrect because the actual cost of oil is immaterial.
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I know that the crux of the solution is to eliminate one from A and C. But if we pick A as the right answer, we are assuming that the efficiency of Oil-Fired plants hasn't decreased and if we chose C as the right answer, we are assuming that the price of Oil either hasn't risen or doesn't affect the cost efficiency of Oil-Fired plants.
I am having loads of confusions like these I would be grateful if someone could clear this for me. :cry:
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