carcass wrote:
The Wheat Farmers Alliance, a political action committee, attracts 70 percent of its contributors from an advertisement requesting contributions placed only in the September, October, and November issues of the Grange Report, a monthly newsletter for wheat farmers. The president of the Wheat Farmers Alliance, to increase the number of contributors, decides to advertise in each of the monthly issues of the Grange Report. She expects that, as a result of the additional Grange Report advertisements, the number of contributors will be increased to at least double the present number.
Which of the following, if true, would most strongly support the president's expectation?
(A) The September, October, and November advertisements were noticed by fewer than one-third of those readers of the Grange Report who would be willing to contribute to the Wheat Farmers Alliance.
(B) Wheat farmers traditionally repay their bank loans in late summer after the winter wheat crop has been harvested and sold.
(C) The majority of the readers of the Grange Report with a great enough interest in the Wheat Farmers Alliance to contribute have already responded to the advertisements.
(D) Most of those who contribute to the Wheat Farmers Alliance in the course of a year do so in response to advertisements in the Grange Report.
(E) The total number of readers of the Grange Report is stable from year to year.
Kudos for the right answer and explanation
Correct answer: A
(A): Correct. The math flows as follows, taking 100 contributors:
70 contributors by ads
30 not by ads
At least 2x more contributors from ads (2/3 of the 3/3) by adding the months = 70x3 = +140
New total = 240 (2.4x original)
(B): Incorrect. (B) is out of scope; we do not know how the cash position of wheat farmers their propensity to contribute in the fall or by what amount they will increase contributions (i.e., will the number of contributors double?).
(C): Incorrect. (C) opposes the president's conclusion, suggesting that contributors will not increase by a large amount if ads are increased.
(D): Incorrect. (D) merely restates an established fact: 70% of contributors come from the ads.
(E): Incorrect. (E) is out of scope by referring only to the number of readers, not how those readers will contribute to the PAC if advertisements are increased.
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