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# When people predict that certain result will not take place

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Senior Manager
Joined: 12 Mar 2006
Posts: 363

Kudos [?]: 75 [0], given: 3

Schools: Kellogg School of Management
When people predict that certain result will not take place [#permalink]

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25 Apr 2006, 20:00
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When people predict that certain result will not take place unless a certain action is taken, they believe that they have learned that the prediction is correct when the action is taken and the result occurs. On reflection, however, it often becomes clear that the result admits of more than one interpretation.
Which of the following, if true, best supports the claims above?
(A) Judging the success of an action requires specifying the goal of the action.
(B) Judging which action to take after a prediction is made requires knowing about other actions that have been successful in similar past situations.
(C) Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires knowing the result using that strategy through several trials.
(D) Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect prediction and ineffective action is often impossible.
(E) Making a successful prediction requires knowing the facts about the context of that prediction.

Kudos [?]: 75 [0], given: 3

VP
Joined: 07 Nov 2005
Posts: 1115

Kudos [?]: 52 [0], given: 1

Location: India

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25 Apr 2006, 20:08
Going with C.

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Director
Joined: 24 Oct 2005
Posts: 659

Kudos [?]: 16 [0], given: 0

Location: London

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26 Apr 2006, 01:49
Wow.. a confusing one !!
The passage basically says.. one action can have multiple interpretation ie. multiple results. ie. it is difficult to say which action/prediction achieves what result.
I think it might be D by POE.

Kudos [?]: 16 [0], given: 0

Senior Manager
Joined: 07 Mar 2006
Posts: 351

Kudos [?]: 37 [0], given: 1

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26 Apr 2006, 11:44
Can someone please tell me what is the claim here.Is a claim an argument or a conclusion??

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Manager
Joined: 31 Mar 2006
Posts: 162

Kudos [?]: 25 [0], given: 0

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27 Apr 2006, 05:36
It is C.
Kindly let us know the OA

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Manager
Joined: 07 Mar 2006
Posts: 128

Kudos [?]: 2 [0], given: 0

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27 Apr 2006, 09:16
I think it is D.
ma466

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GMAT Club Legend
Joined: 07 Jul 2004
Posts: 5036

Kudos [?]: 437 [0], given: 0

Location: Singapore

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27 Apr 2006, 09:33
A,B and E --> out of scope

Between C and D, I'll go with C.

D says distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect prediction and ineffective action is often impossible. But the passage is only concerned with prediction. It's not concerned with distinguishing effective action from ineffective action.

C statest that a method of prediction is good only if the results from a course of action is tested several times to ensure consistency.

Kudos [?]: 437 [0], given: 0

Intern
Joined: 15 Sep 2003
Posts: 1

Kudos [?]: [0], given: 0

Location: USA

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27 Apr 2006, 13:10
I would also say that it is "C"
As this specifically points out that a prediction needs to tested with several trials to ensure that it holds.

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VP
Joined: 07 Nov 2005
Posts: 1115

Kudos [?]: 52 [0], given: 1

Location: India

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27 Apr 2006, 20:52
OA plz

Kudos [?]: 52 [0], given: 1

Senior Manager
Joined: 12 Mar 2006
Posts: 363

Kudos [?]: 75 [0], given: 3

Schools: Kellogg School of Management

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03 May 2006, 20:58
OA is D ...i can sorta convince myself of the right answer after seeing the OA but this one is confusing...

Kudos [?]: 75 [0], given: 3

03 May 2006, 20:58
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