It is currently 28 Jun 2017, 05:29

### GMAT Club Daily Prep

#### Thank you for using the timer - this advanced tool can estimate your performance and suggest more practice questions. We have subscribed you to Daily Prep Questions via email.

Customized
for You

we will pick new questions that match your level based on your Timer History

Track

every week, we’ll send you an estimated GMAT score based on your performance

Practice
Pays

we will pick new questions that match your level based on your Timer History

# Events & Promotions

###### Events & Promotions in June
Open Detailed Calendar

# When people predict that certain result will not take place

Author Message
TAGS:

### Hide Tags

Manager
Joined: 06 Sep 2006
Posts: 76
Location: New York City
When people predict that certain result will not take place [#permalink]

### Show Tags

18 Sep 2006, 07:59
1
This post was
BOOKMARKED
00:00

Difficulty:

(N/A)

Question Stats:

67% (01:09) correct 33% (02:06) wrong based on 8 sessions

### HideShow timer Statistics

When people predict that certain result will not take place unless a certain action is taken, they believe that they have learned that the prediction is correct when the action is taken and the result occurs. On reflection, however, it often becomes clear that the result admits of more than one interpretation.
Which of the following, if true, best supports the claims above?
(A) Judging the success of an action requires specifying the goal of the action.
(B) Judging which action to take after a prediction is made requires knowing about other actions that have been successful in similar past situations.
(C) Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires knowing the result using that strategy through several trials.
(D) Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect prediction and ineffective action is often impossible.
(E) Making a successful prediction requires knowing the facts about the context of that prediction.
_________________

'Hakuna matata'

Director
Joined: 10 Oct 2005
Posts: 526
Location: US

### Show Tags

18 Sep 2006, 08:49
E.

argument says that result may have many interpretations. So context can help one predict accurately.

I also used POE.
VP
Joined: 25 Jun 2006
Posts: 1166

### Show Tags

18 Sep 2006, 18:10
sounds very tough.

but i will choose B.
VP
Joined: 21 Aug 2006
Posts: 1016

### Show Tags

18 Sep 2006, 20:18
_________________

The path is long, but self-surrender makes it short;
the way is difficult, but perfect trust makes it easy.

VP
Joined: 25 Jun 2006
Posts: 1166

### Show Tags

18 Sep 2006, 22:06
ak_idc wrote:

Is B the OA?

If not, dude, better don't post it as if yours were the OA.
VP
Joined: 21 Mar 2006
Posts: 1127
Location: Bangalore

### Show Tags

19 Sep 2006, 01:28
Between C and D, I'll go for D even though its a little extreme...
Senior Manager
Joined: 13 Sep 2006
Posts: 279
Location: New York

### Show Tags

19 Sep 2006, 10:08
E for me ...but this is a tricky one. I have never seen a question like this before. What is the source and OA/OE please?
Manager
Joined: 06 Sep 2006
Posts: 76
Location: New York City

### Show Tags

19 Sep 2006, 10:28
The OA is D
_________________

'Hakuna matata'

Director
Joined: 10 Oct 2005
Posts: 526
Location: US

### Show Tags

19 Sep 2006, 12:06

or can someone explain why it can be D.
VP
Joined: 21 Aug 2006
Posts: 1016
Re: 1000CR - Predicting the results. [#permalink]

### Show Tags

19 Sep 2006, 19:54
punnu_mba wrote:
When people predict that certain result will not take place unless a certain action is taken, they believe that they have learned that the prediction is correct when the action is taken and the result occurs. On reflection, however, it often becomes clear that the result admits of more than one interpretation.
Which of the following, if true, best supports the claims above?
(A) Judging the success of an action requires specifying the goal of the action.
(B) Judging which action to take after a prediction is made requires knowing about other actions that have been successful in similar past situations.
(C) Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires knowing the result using that strategy through several trials.
(D) Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect prediction and ineffective action is often impossible.
(E) Making a successful prediction requires knowing the facts about the context of that prediction.

In the argument, it is said that predictions are not so useful as they often have more than one interpretation. That means they are not definite.

D says the same thing. It is impossible to distinguish a correct prediction from an incorrect one. Is nt D supporting the above argument?
_________________

The path is long, but self-surrender makes it short;
the way is difficult, but perfect trust makes it easy.

VP
Joined: 21 Mar 2006
Posts: 1127
Location: Bangalore

### Show Tags

19 Sep 2006, 22:06
First of all, wohooo! I'm finally improving on CRs

This is basically an inference CR.
Premise: When people say that if A(action) happens B(result) will happen and A(action) and B(result) end up happening, they think they made a sucessfull prediction.

Premise2: But B(result) has more than one interpretation. Thats means C(another action) hapenning could cause B to happen.

In short: We cannot say the prediction was good or bad because the result has been caused by some other action also.

(A) Judging the success of an action requires specifying the goal of the action. - we are not concerned with sucess of an action, we are concerned with sucess of a prediction. WRONG

(B) Judging which action to take after a prediction is made requires knowing about other actions that have been successful in similar past situations. - We don't judge which action to take AFTER a prediction. Its the other way around, when we state that an action causes a result, we are making a prediction. WRONG

(C) Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires knowing the result using that strategy through several trials. - CLOSE. I didn't like the predicitve strategy part of this. We have to stay focussed on prediction.

(D) Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect prediction and ineffective action is often impossible. - RIGHT. Since results cannot be attributed to a particlar action, you cannot differenciate between a correct/incorrect prediction.

(E) Making a successful prediction requires knowing the facts about the context of that prediction. - Context of prediction?? Out of scope. WRONG
Manager
Joined: 25 May 2007
Posts: 229
Schools: Cornell

### Show Tags

29 Sep 2007, 20:39
kripalkavi, very good interpretation!
GMAT Club Legend
Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 10145
Re: When people predict that certain result will not take place [#permalink]

### Show Tags

23 Jul 2016, 11:56
Hello from the GMAT Club VerbalBot!

Thanks to another GMAT Club member, I have just discovered this valuable topic, yet it had no discussion for over a year. I am now bumping it up - doing my job. I think you may find it valuable (esp those replies with Kudos).

Want to see all other topics I dig out? Follow me (click follow button on profile). You will receive a summary of all topics I bump in your profile area as well as via email.
Re: When people predict that certain result will not take place   [#permalink] 23 Jul 2016, 11:56
Similar topics Replies Last post
Similar
Topics:
2 There is a widespread belief that people can predict 3 23 Apr 2017, 13:46
3 When unscrupulous people shoplift, a vicious cycle results. Retailers 6 05 Apr 2017, 01:14
1 When interest rates are low, classical economics predicts that a 1 12 Sep 2016, 11:45
1 When people predict that certain result will not take place 9 19 Feb 2016, 11:16
2 When people predict that certain result will not take place 18 29 Aug 2016, 05:08
Display posts from previous: Sort by