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Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here

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AtifS
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 08:26
Hmmm! I hope Bunuel wins it. I know rules are rules but I am on Bunuel's side (praying his win :) ). May deserving win the biggest prize. But, in the end who knows Bunuel may decline that too.

And yea, Congrats! gurpreet & barinhurt (never saw him before here on GC, may be I've been away for long).
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 08:30
AtifS wrote:
Hmmm! I hope Bunuel wins it. I know rules are rules but I am on Bunuel's side (praying his win :) ). May deserving win the biggest prize. But, in the end who knows Bunuel may decline that too.


I am on Bunuel's side as well, but Bunuel be careful not to reject by habit the prize this time too. :)
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brainhurt
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   Updated on: 12 Oct 2010, 09:53
1
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bb wrote:
I may have to run the first prize multiple times and see whose name comes up twice first so that the most deserving member gets it....

Not feeling very comfortable leaving it to a chance....


Based on a quick analysis, this would change the probability distribution as follows:

Bunuel: 15% -> 62%
Shaselai 7% -> 15%
Shrouded1 3.6% -> 4.2%
Sandeep800 2.8% -> 2.6%
suyashjhawar 2.4% -> 2.0%
...
Dreamy 1.5% -> .75%
...
siyer 1.0% -> 0.4%
...
kryzak 0.5% -> 0.08%
...
and so on.

This is an approximation based on the various iterations up to 4 draws, but should be very close to the true picture.

So this approach would definitely put more weight on the top contributors, but luck would still play a role.

Originally posted by brainhurt on 12 Oct 2010, 09:52.
Last edited by brainhurt on 12 Oct 2010, 09:53, edited 1 time in total.
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gurpreetsingh
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 09:52
I can not wait for the Noon....;) go go go
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shaselai
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 10:12
brainhurt wrote:
bb wrote:
I may have to run the first prize multiple times and see whose name comes up twice first so that the most deserving member gets it....

Not feeling very comfortable leaving it to a chance....


Based on a quick analysis, this would change the probability distribution as follows:

Bunuel: 15% -> 62%
Shaselai 7% -> 15%
Shrouded1 3.6% -> 4.2%
Sandeep800 2.8% -> 2.6%
suyashjhawar 2.4% -> 2.0%
...
Dreamy 1.5% -> .75%
...
siyer 1.0% -> 0.4%
...
kryzak 0.5% -> 0.08%
...
and so on.

This is an approximation based on the various iterations up to 4 draws, but should be very close to the true picture.

So this approach would definitely put more weight on the top contributors, but luck would still play a role.


this is just speculation though. But if this is what's going to be implemented then pretty much everybody except like a few are screwed over.
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Dawgie
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 10:29
brainhurt wrote:
bb wrote:
I may have to run the first prize multiple times and see whose name comes up twice first so that the most deserving member gets it....

Not feeling very comfortable leaving it to a chance....


Based on a quick analysis, this would change the probability distribution as follows:

Bunuel: 15% -> 62%
Shaselai 7% -> 15%
Shrouded1 3.6% -> 4.2%
Sandeep800 2.8% -> 2.6%
suyashjhawar 2.4% -> 2.0%
...
Dreamy 1.5% -> .75%
...
siyer 1.0% -> 0.4%
...
kryzak 0.5% -> 0.08%
...
and so on.

This is an approximation based on the various iterations up to 4 draws, but should be very close to the true picture.

So this approach would definitely put more weight on the top contributors, but luck would still play a role.

Good use of that actuary background :) Bunuel is guarenteed a win if BB uses that draw method.
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martie11
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 10:35
We need to get a bookie in here to start taking bets :)
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sandeep800
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 10:40
martie11 wrote:
We need to get a bookie in here to start taking bets :)


No need of Bookie coz every Rookie knows who is the winner :)
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brainhurt
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 10:42
Dawgie wrote:
Good use of that actuary background :)


Finally someone who knows what an actuary is!! :wink:
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 11:05
So, finally we are here... 1st prize!!
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 11:06
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Gents,

I'm 300% sure that Bunuel will decline the First Prize in case he wins :)

:)
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suyashjhawar
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 11:24
Financier wrote:
Gents,

I'm 300% sure that Bunuel will decline the First Prize in case he wins :)

:)



Hahaha..Well said.You never know....or may be the 1st time he will accept something from this forum after giving so many people so much! :wink:
Feeling sleepy....but have to wait another half an hour... :lol:
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whiplash2411
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 11:30
Financier: You seem to be doing exceedingly well with probability these days. I have a feeling he might, too, but that just defeats why he'd want to enter the contest in the first place. All this assuming, he hasn't changed his mind about the privacy issues after he entered. No clue.
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sandeep800
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 11:53
bb wrote:
5 minutes left


u will be using that twice method BB, or any hopes for we poor people too??? :?
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mainhoon
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 11:56
Bunuel window or aisle seat? Oh wait first class!

Posted from my mobile device

Posted from my mobile device
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bb
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 11:58
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Expert Reply
Here is what the machine decided:

1. geturdream - winner
2. Bunuel
3. shrouded1
4. shaselai
5. suyashjhawar
6. sandeep800
7. lagomez
8. rid82
9. Dreamy
10. ezhilkumarank
11. Pkit



Bunuel did not win ........yet
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shaselai
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 11:58
good one getudream!!!! you got your dream!!!
i guess lesson here is cant keep pushing your luck (even if the probability is very high)....
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gurpreetsingh
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 12:00
bb wrote:
Here is what the machine decided:

1. geturdream - winner
2. Bunuel
3. shrouded1
4. shaselai
5. suyashjhawar
6. sandeep800
7. lagomez
8. rid82
9. Dreamy
10. ezhilkumarank
11. Pkit



Bunuel did not win ........yet


Congrats geturdream.....its the party time... :woohoo
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shaselai
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 12:01
gurpreetsingh wrote:
bb wrote:
Here is what the machine decided:

1. geturdream - winner
2. Bunuel
3. shrouded1
4. shaselai
5. suyashjhawar
6. sandeep800
7. lagomez
8. rid82
9. Dreamy
10. ezhilkumarank
11. Pkit



Bunuel did not win ........yet


Congrats geturdream.....its the party time... :woohoo


any good hackers here? maybe hack into the top 3's email and decline and pass it to me? :P
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sandeep800
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink] New post   12 Oct 2010, 12:03
bb wrote:
Here is what the machine decided:

1. geturdream - winner
2. Bunuel
3. shrouded1
4. shaselai
5. suyashjhawar
6. sandeep800
7. lagomez
8. rid82
9. Dreamy
10. ezhilkumarank
11. Pkit



Bunuel did not win ........yet



wowwww congratssssssss geturdream....enjoy ur tour upto the hilt......;)
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Re: Win a School Visit of Your Dreams - Register Here [#permalink]
12 Oct 2010, 12:03
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