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Based on following lines from passage:

Arctic lemmings are typical of arctic climates and are unlikely to have changed their adaptation for temperature over a period as short as 16,000 years. So Region Z probably had an arctic climate around 14,000 B.C

Is E the answer?

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A. Arctic lemmings were, around 14,000 B.C., well adapted to the climate of the region where the bones were found.

   - This assumption is necessary for the argument because it establishes the suitability of the climate for arctic lemmings around 14,000 B.C. If the lemmings were not adapted to the climate, their presence would not provide evidence of the climate conditions at that time.
   - Example: Suppose further analysis of the lemming bones reveals specific physiological adaptations consistent with cold climates, such as thick fur or specialized metabolism. This information would support the assumption that the lemmings were well adapted to the climate of the region during the specified time period.


B. Adjacent layers did not contain bones of arctic lemmings.

   - This assumption is not explicitly required for the argument because the absence of arctic lemming bones in adjacent layers does not necessarily impact the conclusion about the climate around 14,000 B.C.
   - Example: Even if adjacent layers did contain arctic lemming bones, the presence of such bones in a specific layer corresponding to 14,000 B.C. still provides evidence of the climate at that time, regardless of the absence or presence of lemming bones in adjacent layers.


C. Temperature shifts between arctic and temperate climates are common over the long term.

   - This assumption is not necessary for the argument because the argument focuses on the specific climate conditions of Region Z around 14,000 B.C. Whether temperature shifts are common over the long term does not directly impact the conclusion about the climate at that specific time period.
   - Example: Even if temperature shifts between arctic and temperate climates are common over the long term, it does not change the fact that arctic lemming bones were found in Region Z around 14,000 B.C., suggesting an arctic climate at that time.


D. No bones of warm-weather animals from any period were found in nearby caves in Region Z.

   - This assumption is not necessary for the argument because the absence of bones from warm-weather animals in nearby caves does not directly relate to the evidence presented regarding arctic lemming bones in a specific layer of sediment.
   - Example: Even if bones of warm-weather animals were found in nearby caves, it would not necessarily impact the conclusion drawn from the discovery of arctic lemming bones in a specific layer of sediment in Region Z.


E. The bones were from a species of lemming that was probably not well adapted for survival in the region where their bones were found.
   - This assumption contradicts the argument's premise, which states that arctic lemmings are typical of arctic climates. Therefore, this assumption would weaken rather than strengthen the argument.
   - Example: If it were assumed that the lemming bones belonged to a species not well adapted to arctic climates, it would cast doubt on the conclusion that Region Z had an arctic climate around 14,000 B.C.
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I don't understand why C is not the correct assumption. If shift in temperatures is not common in the long term, doesn't it defeat the conclusion that Region Z has an arctic climate. It is clearly mentioned that now this region has temperate climate. Then for sure we would need to assume that a shift in temperature is possible right?

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I don't understand why C is not the correct assumption. If shift in temperatures is not common in the long term, doesn't it defeat the conclusion that Region Z has an arctic climate. It is clearly mentioned that now this region has temperate climate. Then for sure we would need to assume that a shift in temperature is possible right?

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­Hi Jayam.

Look above at what you said. I bolded two parts of it.

Notice that those two parts are not  the same.

Yes, for the argument to work, "temperature shifts between arctic and temperate climates" must be "possible."

On the other hand, the argument still works even if they are not "common."

After all, we need such a shift to have occurred just once, not commonly, for the conclusion to be correct.
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@Bunuel Would appreciate an experts analysis on this one, thank you
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­1. The argument states: Arctic lemmings are suited for arctic climates and wouldn't adapt significantly in 16,000 years.
2. They found: Bones of arctic lemmings in a layer dated to 14,000 B.C. in Region Z (now temperate).
3. They conclude: Region Z must have had an arctic climate around 14,000 B.C.

=> Why is this conclusion made? Because if the first two statements are true, then the only logical explanation for finding arctic lemming bones is that the climate back then was suited to them, which means arctic.

=> What assumption is required for this conclusion to hold? The argument assumes that the lemmings found were indeed adapted to the climate where they were found (Region Z at 14,000 B.C.). If the lemmings could survive in temperate climates as well, then their presence wouldn't necessarily indicate an arctic past.


So, the key assumption is: A. Arctic lemmings were, around 14,000 B.C., well adapted to the climate of the region where the bones were found.­
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­Watch this solution to see how to tackle a challenging Critical Reasoning question that tests your ability to identify and evaluate factors crucial for the conclusion's validity.
Learn to distinguish between relevant and irrelevant information, and see how to quickly pinpoint the assumptions underlying the argument.
This approach will help you save valuable time in the exam by focusing on the core elements that strengthen or weaken the conclusion.



Can you spot the key assumption before it's revealed in the explanation?

 ­
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­Climate researchers examined sediments in a cave in Region Z, which now has a temperate climate, and they found arctic lemming bones in a buried layer corresponding to about 14,000 B.C. Arctic lemmings are typical of arctic climates and are unlikely to have changed their adaptation for temperature over a period as short as 16,000 years. So Region Z probably had an arctic climate around 14,000 B.C.

Which of the following is an assumption that the argument requires?

A. Arctic lemmings were, around 14,000 B.C., well adapted to the climate of the region where the bones were found. - ok.

B. Adjacent layers did not contain bones of arctic lemmings. - out of scope.

C. Temperature shifts between arctic and temperate climates are common over the long term. - common or not common is out of scope.

D. No bones of warm-weather animals from any period were found in nearby caves in Region Z. - "Any period" is out of scope, which is "about 14,000 BC"

E. The bones were from a species of lemming that was probably not well adapted for survival in the region where their bones were found. - weakener.
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I eliminated C for the wrong reasons. I thought hey the answer choice says 'over the long term' but the question stem says 16,000 years is a 'short period'. This contradiction sort of me put me off C. But now that I've read the explanations, it makes sense. Thank you!
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